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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

1710711713715716943

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    No doubt about it. It would be like saving a wheat field from a rat infestation by setting fire to it.

    My point is that the state, or at least the ruling class that currently holds the reins, has demonstrated that there is no desire whatsoever to resolve the housing crisis, quite the opposite. I'm also not under any real illusion that SF or any other party would really do anything differently.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,349 ✭✭✭The Student


    We don't take the hard decisions nor are they fair. Simple example is road tax why not impose the charge on the price of fuel the more you use the roads the more you pay. With businesses fuel costs are an expense so can be deducted accordingly.

    Look at property tax as another example similar sized houses with 20 mins of each other are charged different rates based solely on the value of the property. Why are two houses with access to exactly the same amenities etc charged different rates they are not consuming more street lights than the other, they don't have better footpaths etc.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    Hmm, I would rather that the state would simply spend less and thus need less tax. I suppose it's a small piece of the dying libertarian in me....



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,349 ✭✭✭The Student


    Spending less does not equal votes. Its easy to spend someone else's money when they don't have any choice in how its spent. Without turning this into a political discussion we are going to far to the left in politics.

    To bring this back on topic if we as a society actually made people take some responsibility for their decisions maybe some people would think twice before making some decisions knowing they have to live with the consequences rather than the rest of us have to.



  • Posts: 14,768 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Am I really reading that posters think a Government should deliberately crash an economy, to make housing more affordable, for those who can’t buy?

    Have we really reached that point of detachment from reality?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,037 ✭✭✭Villa05


    More than half the price of fuel is tax

    Property tax proposed by the imf was envisaged as a wealth tax and inhibitor to runaway house price growth.

    I suspect our property taxes are amongst the lowest in the world and come nowhere near covering the associated state costs



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,619 ✭✭✭Timing belt


    Property tax applied correctly encourages older people to downsize etc but it’s would be political suicide and as such nearly all political parties are not in favour with SF being the strongest opponent



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 54 ✭✭fartooreasonable


    As opposed to the situation we are in now where there is a large number of people who cannot buy and are locked in renting long term which will sooner or later have the same impact on the economy.

    Its the choice between two bad options, on the one hand continue the status quo and eventually this country becomes uncompetitive and on the other hand accept that some people will lose out (but likely not go homeless) and there is at least a hope that the future can be more sustainable.

    To give a personal example I'm currently earning a very good wage in a rural area of Ireland and cannot buy due to there being absolutely no houses that aren't terrible quality due to a combination of the current housing market and defective blocks, and I am not the only one in this position. The idea that making houses more affordable will destroy everything implies that the current system is sustainable which clearly isn't the case.



  • Posts: 14,768 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    So you think the whole economy should be plunged into crisis, so you can buy a house?

    What makes you think you will be unaffected by an economic crash?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,991 ✭✭✭PommieBast


    None of us think it should be done. In my case it was a clear joke that was aimed at those who insist the solution to making housing cheaper is demand-side rather than supply-side.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,619 ✭✭✭Timing belt


    People don’t understand the reality or have been lucky to have not been impacted in the previous downturns and as a result think they are immune and forget that there deposit they have saved will be meaningless unless they can buy 100% with cash if they loose there job etc. And even if they could buy with cash would they be able to pay the bills to run a house.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,037 ✭✭✭Villa05


    With respect to ireland, making housing unaffordable is the quickest way to crashing the economy



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,349 ✭✭✭The Student


    Road tax is a crude taxing method (ironically the vast majority of which does not go to the road network).

    Property tax is based on the value of your property (if you extend your house for your own comfort/increasing family size) your are liable for the band your house value relates to. You did not increase the size of your house as an investment opportunity, you did it out of necessity. How is it fair then you should have to pay more property tax?

    Did you get an extra street light outside your house? Were flowers planted by your council to offset some of the increase in tax?

    While the above may sound silly remember the State through inheritance tax still get their cut of your estate. Albeit they need to wait till you pass but as housing values increase so does the tax take for Revenue.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 54 ✭✭fartooreasonable


    In that statement you are implying that what we are doing now will maintain economic health for the future. Given the falling home ownership rates in the younger popualations and lackluster attempts to correct it this country appears to be becoming less competitive internationally. This is already leading to brain drain in some sectors.

    Of course I am biased in wanting to own a house, you are likely a home owner (I assume) so you are biased in the opposite direction. The only difference is reducing house prices likely won't leave you homeless which maintining what is happening now will do.

    I work in the medical field, given a crash I'm unlikely to be affected in a large way. However multiple of my colleagues have had to move abroad all taking their education with them. My cousins consisting of a doctor, optomitrist and pharmacist are all in Australia with their education funded by the tax payer, they all got paid substantially and it just isn't enough.

    Regardless of what decision is made there will be winners and losers but implying that what is happening now is sustainable isn't correct.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,777 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    You are thinking of council tax which in other countries is used to fund council services such as lighting, water, sewage, amenities etc. There is no such tax in ireland.

    Local property tax is not the same.



  • Posts: 14,768 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    I work in the health sector as well, again, what makes you think a bank would lend to you if the economy tanks?

    If you work for the HSE, of course you will be affected, anyone who worked in healthcare/PS were not immune during the last recession.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 54 ✭✭fartooreasonable


    So given the status quo I likely won't be able to buy a house and if everything crashes I cannot buy a house, that's not a choice so why would it affect me. You'll find many more earning less than me feeling the same way at present and removing choice makes people make different decisions.

    Secondly I need to provide a 30% deposit at present as a first time buyer (it's a long story I won't go into). I have that saved for the places I'm bidding on and yet still cannot buy a house so I fail to see how things could get worse for me.

    This is why where we are now isn't sustainable.



  • Posts: 14,768 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    The economy cashing isn’t going to help you just because as a healthcare worker you think it won’t affect you. All of my family work in healthcare and lived through the last recession, some are in the UK for professional and economic reasons, if any of them said they wanted an economic crash just so they could buy a house, I would despair at what I raised.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,325 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump



    But Ireland did have a system of taxation based off rates on property ownership up until not that long ago. I mean not in my time, but definitely within my father and grandfathers time. It kept the price of property low..............my own grandfather sold a decent block of land and the story is that it was because the rates on it were just too high and more than he was able to make on it. But that obviously also affected the price of what someone was willing to pay for it. So it went for what would be now considered very cheap (I mean scaling up relative to today's prices). If it was to be sold today, I wouldn't be confident of it going for less than 750k.........I'm probably going back 60-70 years with that now in fairness.


    Moving to a predominantly income-based system of taxation does have advantages, but it does shift a huge portion of the burden that would have been on the most wealthy - that being the property owners. And it inflates the value of that property too.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 54 ✭✭fartooreasonable


    Well I didn't say I wanted an economic crash and I'm curious to see why you think a reduction in house price alone would cause an economic crash. From reading I can't see any article stating it would happen unless you've one.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,325 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump



    Well I am sure that some of the ones living in the UK might be happy enough if there was a crash here if they had a little war-chest of savings built up with an eye to moving home eventually.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,457 ✭✭✭SharkMX




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,516 ✭✭✭Blut2


    High property taxes are one of the better taxes a state can impose. Its a tax on immovable wealth, so its unavoidable by even the very wealthiest - you can't hide a €5mn euro house from the taxman the way you can with other assets/income much more easily.

    It has huge positive impacts on the housing market, because it reduces overall property values, makes vacant properties costly to keep, and heavily encourages people to downsize to more suitable properties as their family size shrinks.

    It also doesn't discourage people from working, the way high income taxes can.

    The one decent argument against it is that sometimes people can be asset rich but cash poor - two pensioners living in a house in South Dublin for example. But its pretty easy to account for that by letting people on low incomes defer the property tax until the property is next sold (with the outstanding tax + interest accrued then taken out of the sale price).

    Its extremely disappointing that every political party in Ireland is still against them, it just shows how populist / lacking in princples / lacking in critical thinking all of our parties are.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 54 ✭✭fartooreasonable


    It is though, we are talking about reducing house prices and an economic crash is brought up. Is there a guaranteed connection between the two?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,349 ✭✭✭The Student


    Local property is used for your locality with some going into a central fund for redistribution. The property tax is a Poll tax without the benefits.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,620 ✭✭✭combat14


    German property prices plummet as housing bubble bursts

    House prices in Germany dropped by a record 10.2pc in the third quarter in a further sign of the struggles faced by Europe’s largest economy since the pandemic.

    It was the fourth consecutive quarter of declines compared to the same time a year earlier, and the biggest since Germany’s statistics office began keeping records in the year 2000.

    The drop comes amid the biggest property crisis in decades in Europe’s largest economy.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2023/12/22/ftse-100-markets-latest-uk-recession-gdp-us-inflation/



  • Posts: 14,768 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Has this got something to do with Irish property?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,132 ✭✭✭RichardAnd


    I just made the observation that at this point, the only thing that will bring prices down would be a crash. I didn't say that I wanted it to happen, quite the opposite.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 125 ✭✭LJ12345


    Absolutely, as economies around Europe struggle the rapid reduction in interest rates becomes more likely. Germany would be generally viewed as the financial poster boy of Europe, the sensible one that doesn’t take chances economically, so to see drops of this magnitude happening, the question is why. Is it that their caution has created a doom loop as buyers hold off entirely or is there trouble brewing and will they be in need of financial help, will this mean the ECB will reduce rates. I would say yes, this info is entirely valid for this thread.



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