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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,777 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    The apartments linked are part of a 3 story block - construction methods are entirely different for mid and high rise.

    Also is that a refurb or new build block entirely? Will have significant impact on costings too. I do agree there is a huge problem with cost in Dublin for these things, but McWilliams has a habit of not comparing like with like



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 208 ✭✭Bakharwaldog


    There are zero properties that come close to that price in Dublin (or even the country)

    Comparing like with like is therefore redundant



  • Administrators Posts: 56,219 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭awec


    McWilliams is such an odd commentator, sometimes he's insightful and sometimes he's utterly obtuse, such as is in this tweet.

    "Same island" he says. Different country. Different economy. Different taxation. Significantly lower wages.

    What's next, is he going to feign confusion as to why a pint of Guinness costs 6 euro in Dublin but only 4 quid in Belfast?

    He's going to fall over in shock if he ever compares the price of a site in Donegal to one in Dublin. Same island, same grass, same soil, how can the costs possibly be so different?!?



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 12,608 Mod ✭✭✭✭Amirani


    Completely agree. My feeling is that he chooses to be deliberately obtuse, as he's part economist and part-entertainer, so there's always an element of him sensationalising things to get attention. I do find it frustrating sometimes, because I find it detracts from when he's actually insightful.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,777 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    More slowdowns in commercial space

    Lisney’s research also identified issues of long-term vacancy in new office stock, with more than 34 per cent of the 231,500 sq m of new accommodation completed in 2022 still available.

    Surely demand for building new stock will dry up if it hasnt already. More resources to build large housing schemes? Maybe, if enough schemes could get planning



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 996 ✭✭✭Ozark707


    I guess that the price of a unit in Manhattan plus how far up they can go makes it somewhat viable? I suspect the maths here don't allow for it.

    Post edited by Boards.ie: Mike on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,322 ✭✭✭✭markodaly


    Perhaps, but I guess his point is, why can NI and Germany build apartments for a fraction for what we in Ireland have to build them for?

    What components comprise the variant in price here?

    It's not good enough to just say, "well Ireland has high costs and labour..", and leave it at that. Because there is a feeling of gouging going on and rightly so.



  • Posts: 14,768 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Is there a difference between costs and labour?

    Just to provide some perspective, and I have to admit I didn’t read this whole article about the different cities in Germany, but the average m2 cost in Munich, is €11k.

    https://www.statista.com/statistics/1267270/average-price-of-houses-in-germany-by-city/#:~:text=Housing%20was%20most%20expensive%20in,to%2011%2C000%20euros%20in%202022.

    Like McWilliams, I think you are playing to the audience when you ask why it is cheaper to build in NI than here, even a cursory look at economic conditions there should give you an indication of why construction, and property prices in general differ from here.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,037 ✭✭✭Villa05


    3 story apartments category b 2021 price, sandyford dublin

    20230822_184225.jpg




  • Administrators Posts: 56,219 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭awec


    Well, straight away you can see the second highest cost is VAT.

    New build residential properties are zero-rated for VAT in the UK. I am sure David McWilliams is fully aware of this.

    Next highest cost is site purchase. There's going to be significant difference between the value of land in Dublin and land in Belfast. Again, I am sure David McWilliams is fully aware of this.

    A margin of 11%, not exactly gouging.

    It's a fairly vacuous tweet from him, and he's definitely playing to the crowd rather than dealing with substance.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,037 ✭✭✭Villa05


    They might struggle to sell for 150k, a ready to go 2 bed apt in the same postcode is asking 109k




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,139 ✭✭✭Jonnyc135


    Building materials supplies for Concrete, Blocks and Stone have absolutely fallen off a cliff this last month or so in the greater Dublin area. No clay being stripped anywhere this last year or so, so not looking good for new sites comming down the pipeline - remains to be seen how it all plays out.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,777 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Ah now, strike off vat and land purchase to 0 and you still end up with a building twice the price of a new build similar block in Belfast.

    There are definitely issues to be addressed in this jurisdiction. Not normal how not only UK but most of Europe can build apartments at reasonable prices but here each apartment retails for as much as a set of semi Ds put on site instead. It is not normal that building lowest rise semi Ds is more economical per unit than more dense apartment blocks when all is said and done. There is clearly dysfunction here in ireland.



  • Posts: 14,768 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    There are significant differences in electrical, structural, services including lifts, parking, fire safety requirements etc between apartment blocks and semi d’s. There are lots of articles on the internet explaining the reasons why building apartments are more expensive than houses, google is your friend.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,786 ✭✭✭DownByTheGarden


    If ever there was a ghetto in waiting, that place is it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,777 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    My post said apartments *retailing* for similar to a semi D on the same site. Not construction costs.

    Low density housing like that should never be same price or cheaper than higher density on a similar footprint.

    And low/mid rise has no lift requirements, no requirement for underground parking, and no huge structural changes either. A 3/4 story apartment block should be far far cheaper per unit than a semiD



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,037 ✭✭✭Villa05


    1 The Dublin price is 2021 prior to inflation issue. Belfast prices are 2023, probably built during the worst of the inflation issues

    2 tax is a function of the rip off price, therefore if you tackle the ripoff price, you bring down the tax contribution

    3 simaler to tax, the same also applies to margin. Margin on the overall development is one thing, what is the margin/profit on each of the individual inputs. We already know compliance with building regulations is a fraction of what it is in Dublin and the Belfast version is fit for purpose

    4 is Land in Dublin worth 3 to 4 times more than land in Belfast?

    5 A quick Google shows Irish wages are 20% higher than UK wages on an overall scale. I suspect like for like sector wages are a little closer otherwise we would easily attract alot of there construction workers.

    6. A pint of Guinness at 4 pounds is 4.75 euro, Dublin price 6 euros as you say

    If the price differential was the same in housing, our hosing affordability issues would be solved. The price difference of Guinness reflects the difference in wages between ireland and UK. Housing does not



  • Administrators Posts: 56,219 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭awec


    If the government zero-rated residential properties here you would be the very first person posting on this thread about how disgraceful it is and just another sop to line developers pockets and prop up the market.

    Land in Dublin is worth significantly more than Belfast yes.

    Why are you comparing Irish wages with UK wages? This is Belfast vs Dublin. You are not comparing like for like at all. We do attract a lot of their construction workers, Irish construction sites are full of northern builders! If you drive up the M1 after 5pm it's like a convoy of them heading home!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,037 ✭✭✭Villa05


    1 you did not address my taxation point

    2 again, you did not answer the question, is significantly more 300 to 400% more or 50%more

    3 is the exodus of workers north the equivalent of the exodus of Irish workers out of Dublin due to affordability of housing



  • Posts: 14,768 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    You are generalising.

    There are quite a lot of requirements which an apartment block developer has to satisfy in order to obtain planning, some may be applied more stringently than others.


    In relation to lifts, I have to admit that I don’t think I have ever been in a 4 story apartment block which didn’t have a lift, maybe the planners were more cognisant of the needs of the disabled than the ones you visit.


    As I posted, there are articles online about why apartment blocks are so expensive to build, but you carry on.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,786 ✭✭✭DownByTheGarden


    The way things are going i wouldnt at all be surprised if building regulations were soon to require a lift in anything 2 story or more in Ireland. Oh and a cat flap will have to have an airlock for the BER.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,095 ✭✭✭growleaves


    I wonder does tribal segregation affect price by winnowing the number of potential buyers.

    TripAdvisor says Templemore Ave is a 'very, very loyalist area' so its not as if anyone looking for a deal on an apartment can just rock up there and move in.



  • Posts: 573 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Belfast is a funny place, anybody who has money either lives way out in the sticks or in close proximity to the university. There is big demand for 3/4 bed detached houses which often go for twice what a 3/4 bed semi-d does and three times what a 2 bed apartment does. Apartments were aways very cheap in the North, i think they have struggled shake the image of council flats.

    Belfast has better/cheaper public transport making commuting easer. Belfast still has a lot of no go areas depending on what version of a god you believe in. Belfast hasn't benefitted to the same extent from a surplus of I.T. companies and financial companies throwing money around.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,777 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    I have been in quite a few without lifts.

    As for apartment costings - if apartments are so prohibitively expensive to build, how is it that they are built all over Europe for half the unit price of irish built apartments?

    It cant be just irish demand for apartments driving prices up, because we have developers here needing subsidies to make apartment schemes viable. And that is viable for retail at prices vastly above the norm in Europe.

    Are all European apartment builders loss making?



  • Posts: 14,768 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Different economies, different economic considerations.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,777 ✭✭✭timmyntc




  • Posts: 14,768 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Cost of build I suspect.

    Timmy, as I have said twice, there are articles online which explain why the cost of building apartments are so high, far better than I can. I’ve also linked the regulations in relations to lifts for disabled people, which I’m sure in this day and age the Councils will carefully consider, and the guidance for councils on apartment planning applications. How costs and regulations compare to other economies is something which must be taken into consideration before deciding that profit is the only consideration.

    Now I suspect you are not for turning, so maybe you can provide details on profit on other jurisdictions, and wonder why if profits are so high here, developers from other countries haven’t flooded in to gobble up money.

    Post edited by [Deleted User] on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,777 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Round and round we go.

    "Cost of build" - thats the point! Why are building costs so extortionately high here compared to UK and most of Europe. That is the question.

    I don't think anybody claimed that developers here are making a bomb, thats a strawman of your own making.

    Other countries can make apartments at viable costs that people can afford - this is not the case in Ireland and begs the question of why? It is not for shortage of demand or buyers' cash.

    Answering back "cost of build" is basically repeating the question I initially posed. You might as well have said that irish apartments cost so much "because they cost more"



  • Posts: 573 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Building standards here are high. Labour is expensive. Materials are expensive. Land is expensive. Developments are usually low density. There is a housing shortage. We have high council fees for developments. Insurance is expensive. Fuel is expensive.

    Pay is generally good and credit is easy to get a reasonable prices. People are queuing up to buy houses.

    All of the above dictate the prices of houses here.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 208 ✭✭Bakharwaldog



    They all dictate house prices but many/all are addressable - if there was political will. There is no political will to reduce cost of housing only to maintain or increase it.



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