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Donald Trump discussion Thread IX (threadbanned users listed in OP)

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,778 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    I had a rethink on why Trump would have declined the Fox News offer to debate with the other GOP candidates and it wasn't solely because he would have a better chance with Tucker Carlson [which goes without saying] in a face to face TV appearance. It's fairly certain that at least one of the others on the debate panel would have engaged with Trump over the Capitol Hill event and that Trump would probably have lost the head and just lashed out talking rubbish on prime time TV. It's a win-win situation for Trump and his fanbase for him to avoid rowing with Mike Pence live on air about the intent behind the request not to certify the election results. I'd imagine that the other candidates would not refrain from adding in their thoughts about Trumps activities resulting in Trump having a meltdown and walking off the debate complaining about a witch-hunt.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,781 ✭✭✭Flaneur OBrien


    Yup. Presenting Trump in public like that is too risky.

    As someone else said, if he can't win over swing voters, he can't win. All he is doing now is the last desperate grift. The only people that will tune into his Carson interview is his MAGA heads. He is using this time wisely, to scrounge every last dollar out of these MAGA heads. Expect his defence

    I honestly wouldn't be surprised if he withdraws from the race, after securing the nomination. "I would have won, but those pesky Democrats stopped me from being YOUR PRESIDENT because of their WITCH HUNT"


    Speaking of the last grift. IT's not going terribly well as his, "Patriot Legal Defence Fund" was hacked last Friday and is still up and hacked.

    https://patriotlegaldefensefund.com/



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,579 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody


    I'd not be surprised if he gets an cash offer in some form to step back... There are plenty of billionaire donators who I could see make such an offer to buy his debt, buildings or what ever way they set it up for $XX millions basically. He can then continue his grifting for his legal defence (until and after he dies) while the Republican party can continue on and complain about how unfair it all is while actually stand a chance of winning the middle ground voters.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,234 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    Trump isn't doing the debates because he doesn't have to. There is no cost to him on avoiding it. His supporters were quick to label Biden as running scared during the 2019 election by avoiding rallies etc (Covid was the reason) but of course when Trump does it is simply his genius.

    Second, he doesn't believe he is actually in a race. Why would he bother debating losers? He is not running for the GOP nomination, he is running for POTUS. You hear it all time. Especially that Trump shouldn't be indicted because he is running for POTUS. Technically he is only currently running for the GOP nomination but he doesn't see it that way.

    He isn't avoiding them because he is worried he will lose the head. TO think that one has to believe that at some point Trump can see that something he says or does is wrong. We have no evidence that he ever thinks that.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 17,289 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    Donald "The Rapist" Trump will reappear at the debates if/when Chris Christie is gone from the race.

    Christie doesn't give a shít and will openly attack him remorselessly.

    He'll call him what is is - A Rapist , he'll call him a liar and Trump simply can't deal with that.

    He'd either completely lose it or he'd just incriminate himself repeatedly.

    Either way Trump comes out looking like a snowflake or he'll have given Smith et all yet more ammunition.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,467 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    He'd have to be careful about under what pretences the money is grifted under. Already in trouble for Stormy Daniels case for using supposed campaign funds for other purposes.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 17,289 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    I think Smith is going to bring more charges against him for Wire/Mail Fraud in relation to his fund-raising.

    He's been moving money between various funding streams and using money donated for one thing on something completely different.

    Aside from the "Stop the Steal" fundraising that was not spent on stopping the steal , I saw an article the other day that said that 50% of ALL funds raised this year so far has been spent on Legal fees which may also be a problem.

    Technically a candidate can spend campaign funds on legal fees if they relate to his campaign , but not sure if he can argue that the documents case or the E Jean Carroll case are "campaign related"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,778 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    Doesn't he at least have to employ/use accountants to comply with PAC rules and regulations, keeping books etc to account for the donations and outgoings?

    The notion that there'd be several sets of books used to disguise where the donations were going/being used for would mean he hadn't learned from the raid on one of his lawyers, the one tried and sent to prison after more than one set of accountancy books listed as being for Trump's firm was found in his offices in Trump towers some years back.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 17,289 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    I'm sure there are lots of things that he's "supposed" to do , but Trump has always seen donations as "HIS" money and as such firmly believes he can do whatever he wants with it.

    Look at his history with Charities??



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,778 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    One thing that can [probably] be recognized as factual is that Trump looked at the two parties prior to 2014 and decided that the Dems [with the Clintons there] were not going to be a pushover for him and he chose the republican party because he saw its weaknesses when it came to flimflammery. As to whether he came in with a plan from the start to successfully remake the party in his own image, maybe history and his friends in the dirty tricks Dept will tell the republicans. I don't see history being kind to Trump though it might let the family off with their complicity and promotion of his activities.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,039 ✭✭✭✭Timberrrrrrrr


    One wonders how long he will be able to keep his mouth shut before going on a rant?





  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,021 ✭✭✭✭duploelabs


    A fish would never get caught if it kept it's mouth shut



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,778 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    One can only pray that he doesn't change his spots



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 17,289 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    Indeed - Is his cancellation of his "Press Conference" on Monday a sign that perhaps he's beginning to listen to his lawyers?

    Hard to see him not saying/doing something stupid though.

    The big question is , when he does it will any of the Judges actually do something tangible about it??

    Given all the practical issues about putting a former President in Jail it's hard to see them revoking bail and sticking him in a regular Jail.

    What are the realistic options for him breaking the terms of his bail?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,039 ✭✭✭✭Timberrrrrrrr


    I've been thinking about this myself, is it a staring competition to see who blinks first? Trump being Trump I can't see him keeping his mouth shut because he really believes they wouldn't have the guts to jail him.


    The judges on the other hand (wether making a name for themselves or just being genuinely sick of his games) will have to (?) Follow through on any stipulations to his bail? While I don't see him in orange and sharing a cell with someone called Cletus in a prison there could be some sort of house arrest with no access to phones/social media?



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,579 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody


    Honestly I'd guess warning, warning, fine, fine because he'll then turn it more generic and hence hide behind "they are all attacking me" rather than "This person in Georgia" kind of attacks.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,021 ✭✭✭✭duploelabs


    In Trump's mind, it could be a deliberate ploy to delay and force the move to a federal court, whether it plays out like that is another matter



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 17,289 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    Whilst I have no truck with the whole argument that he needs to be treated differently angle , were he to break the terms of his bail via Social Media and they put him under some form of House Arrest or even just banned him from Social Media the uproar about "Election interference" would be enormous.

    It would be a massive massive step to take by whatever Judge might make the call.

    Trumps problem is that he has made his entire campaign about the "Stolen Election" and not about the usual Election things, so removing his ability to campaign on the "injustice" basically removes his entire campaign.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,778 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    Fines could be paid from any source it seems. Would seizure of assets, including property, as bonds to ensure he complies with court orders be allowable to courts? A restriction naming the Florida Mr-A-Lago estate residence and the Bedford, NJ, golf club villa to be his residences for the duration of the federal trials [with the nod from Georgia's court].

    Stop allowing him to drag the presidential coat-trails through the courts as some sort of immunity from prosecution. He's not the serving president. he's merely a businessman now with a record of failures a mile wide. To quote a deceased Irish politician: He's a thundering disgrace.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,778 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    According to a statement of the defendant on Truth Social, he will go to Atlanta, Georgia on Thursday to be arrested by a radical left DA, Fani Willis. That's very polite considering his varied description of people who've upset him.

    In Georgia, the defendant will face a $200,000 bond and orders not to send threatening social media messages as he awaits trial, according to a bond agreement signed by the defendant's attorneys and the Fulton Country district attorney, Reuters reported.

    One thing that will face the US, if the defendant is tried and convicted of the charges and put in prison, from that time on every new foreign ambassador to the US may have to visit him in prison to present him with the ambassadors credentials. That'll be something for them to tell the grandkids.

    In breaking news, John Eastman has surrendered himself to authorities and was booked into Fulton County Jail. He is expected to have an arraignment set in the coming weeks in the racketeering case.

    Post edited by aloyisious on


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,039 ✭✭✭✭Timberrrrrrrr


    A witness has flipped and retracted his statement and implicated Trump in obstruction if justice.





  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,579 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody


    And of course the Trump pundits are going insane with accusations of "Well if he lied before so why should his testimony be trusted now" and "Oh look, he changed lawyer from the defender to the prosecutor" etc. to try to placate themselves that it does not matter. I got a feeling that a deal was struck along with the fact more deals are likely to be struck as they get a non Trump paid laywer telling them what's likely to happen to them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,778 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    Has the hack made public shown much detail on what the donations to the fund were being used for and have the owners of the hacked site managed to repair the fund firewall and stop more information leaking from it?

    I would assume the hacked information would be of use to people on the investigation and prosecution side if anything plainly illegal or improper being done by the fund manager/s was left open for view publicly without the hackers being aided or abetted by anyone connected to anyone on any of the several investigation and prosecution teams.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,778 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    Fair point raised in an Indo article about the republicans who have put their names forward for the presidency. What, knowing that Trump is going to run himself, have the candidates done to present a clear argument to the party voters that the votes must be given to them and not Trump? What are they each individually proposing as their aims and intents to get elected and to fulfil said aims if elected. Presumably the Fox debate will have enough time for them to do so.

    One candidate has given two of his aims as: 1. Pardon Trump if he's convicted and 2. run the US in the way Elon Musk would. As platforms go, that sounds stranger than any platform Trump could run on. It doesn't sound like the other candidates have mush they can use to change Trump supporters into voters definitely likely to vote for them instead.

    Post edited by aloyisious on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,111 ✭✭✭Christy42


    They can't separate from Trump and still be members of the Republican party. Trump took over the party lock stock and barrel, all that is left is his cult and RINOs who won't get anywhere.

    It is the party of Trump, their policy is just whatever Trump says and anything going against him will just see their base reject them.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,778 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    If Pence says anything about the role he took in Jan 2020 during the debate tonight, it'll be hard for Trump not to resist passing a comment in response due to his belief in free speech. Pence provided witness testimony to the Washington Grand Jury. I don't know if the Washington case witnesses are protected from Trump by way of an agreement with the prosecutor, his own lawyer's assent to the witness protection and with the judge hearing that particular case, as in the Georgia case.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,537 ✭✭✭ilkhanid


    He intends to run the USA as sucessfully as Elon has run Twitter. Sorry, 'X'. I hope we won't see any 'unscheduled disassamblies' in the US economy.



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 23,075 Mod ✭✭✭✭Brian?


    Chris Christie is the only one directly criticising Trump and his poll numbers are awful.

    they/them/theirs


    The more you can increase fear of drugs and crime, welfare mothers, immigrants and aliens, the more you control all of the people.

    Noam Chomsky



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 739 ✭✭✭ghostfacekilla


    I would disagree. There's enough 'never trumpers' and undecided on a candidate combined to beat Trump. The problem is, none of the candidates are strong enough to attract a large enough number of those points. Christie could well have been the best hope, but missed his shot to shine tonight. Nikki Haley tried to move into that lane by attacking Trump in a new strategy but the Republican voters have historically panned female candidates, Margaret Chase Smith in 1964, Dole in 2000 and Bachmann in 2012. They will only unite behind a white man.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,778 ✭✭✭✭aloyisious


    Its looks like Haley was trying to garner the female vote with her "we don't need to jail or execute women because they had abortions" but failed. It might be worthwhile keeping an eye on this issue amongst female GOP and independent-minded voters as it should be something worth a lot more to them at a personal level than it would males.

    There's also the fact that making abortion completely illegal Federally and State law wise would put many a male in a pickle where paternity cases would be an inconvenience for them. I'm surprised the male candidates haven't seen the writing on the wall on the issue.



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