Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

The 2023 All Ireland Senior Football Championship (Sam Maguire Cup)

11112141617178

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,561 ✭✭✭legendary.xix


    Are Cork, Kildare and Meath regretting voting in favour of it?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,073 ✭✭✭✭dxhound2005


    Too late now for Meath regrets. Although they do not have to negotiate Dublin to stay in Sam. Beat Offaly and the winners of Louth Westmeath for redemption. They should have kept the eye on the ball in the League, instead of handing Limerick their only point.

    I expect Cork made the calculation that they are safe, and lost to Clare on purpose. Going by the way they hammered Clare a month earlier in Ennis. They must be one of the counties thinking that losing in the Province is the best option.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,472 ✭✭✭✭Fr Tod Umptious


    Way too early for regrets with this system.

    People need to remember that a proposal a year earlier that reached over 50% support, but not the required 60% , would have seen Monaghan, Armagh, Donegal and everyone else below them except Dublin, Derry and Sligo in the TC.

    Now that's a proposal many would regret supporting had it passed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,561 ✭✭✭legendary.xix


    It is funny for county boards to comfortably vote for something and then be horrified by the reality of what they voted for!

    Tyrone winning Ulster in '03 and an All-Ireland in '05, and Kerry winning Munster in '07 and an All-Ireland in '09 are the biggest gaps between a provincial title and an All-Ireland title in the qualifier era. Counties who haven't won a provincial title in three years are unlikely to win All-Irelands. Provincial championships are attainable for many counties.

    There are 12 counties who started the provincial championships with a strong chance to win a provincial title. The majority of the remaining 20 counties should realistically be targeting the Tailteann Cup. 12 of the 16 counties who will compete in the Tailteann Cup will have a strong chance of winning it.

    The qualifiers were great when they started but then fizzled away. Provincial championships have remained. The group stage is distracting a bit from the provincial championships at the moment. Counties will quickly see the value in still winning their province.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,073 ✭✭✭✭dxhound2005


    Nobody should be horrified yet, except Leitrim. Division 2 supplied two of the Tailteann counties last year as well. Everyone knew what Division they were in when they voted.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,561 ✭✭✭legendary.xix


    Leitrim have been challenging for promotion from Division 4. A bad result for them in New York but a result that was going to happen some time. They'll be third seeds in the Tailteann Cup. If they finish second in their group, they'll host a preliminary quarter-final and could make the quarter-finals at least. They will have plenty of football to play yet this summer. Who knows? New York might have to travel to Leitrim for a preliminary quarter-final! An early opportunity for revenge!

    Sligo on the other hand are likely to qualify for the All-Ireland series by making the Connacht final. Congratulations to Sligo U20s on another Connacht title. In the All-Ireland SFC group stage though, Sligo could be way out of their depth. Their main hope would be drawing Westmeath.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,073 ✭✭✭✭dxhound2005


    New York are arriving in Dublin Thursday morning. The bookies have Sligo 1/10, so they must think New York won't travel well. But at least they are making all the right noises.

    https://www.gaa.ie/football/news/new-york-gaa-building-for-the-future/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,281 ✭✭✭✭gormdubhgorm


    I disagree completely the provincials will eventually go the way of the Railway cup - a side show.

    They will eventually be replaced by a home and away proper league type situation IMO.

    Leinster is dead, Munster is dead as contests, Connacht is on life support as two of their main teams only really care about Sam now. And Ulster is just hoping for those one off close spectacles to justify the mostly dour matches where all teams play in a similar stand off ish. The provincials just don't really mean anything anymore - it is rare that neutrals would be tuning in.More often than not you can name the teams who will win it. Then by the next week you would have nearly forgotten about it.

    The league is where it is at. The provincial part of the season in football I now view as the phoney war, which always is a shame after the great football league competition. The whole structure of the competition makes no sense, but the wheels of the GAA turn very slowly. It makes me wonder if the GAA will ever sort it out?

    Guff about stuff, and stuff about guff.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,635 ✭✭✭MacDanger


    Yeah, I think NY's two big advantages are flipped by playing away - they're the ones travelling rather than their opponents and grass pitch rather than 4G



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,119 ✭✭✭manofwisdom


    I know how the group stage works. What I've seen of Tyrone the last two years I expect them to make their exit at preliminary QF stage.

    "Connacht is on life support as two of their main teams only really care about Sam now" strange take grombubhgorm.

    Connacht championship has had it's most life since the early 00s and with Sligo improving it should only become even more competitive. Galway and Mayo would play 2nd string sides if they didn't care.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,841 ✭✭✭Always_Running


    They should still value it and if they are gone what’s the alternative? We don’t have them, and all teams fighting for two cups instead of six? 

    Any neutral that sits down to watch any live match wants to see teams playing with an edge, hunger, desire, passion and that has been seen in plenty of the Provincial championship games this year and I'd hope the distracting group stage can provide similar games as it will mean a good all round new format to embrace for the years ahead.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,460 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    With the way things are going this year provincial champions which are S1's will have a great chance of making QF proper. They will have S3's at home in first match, and then away to S4 before having S2 at a neutral venue

    It looks like S3 will be the next strongest grouping, of hey will need to travel for match No1 against S1 and then play S2 before playing S4 at a neutral venue.

    S2 will play S4 at home which may give these teams a chance if a result against D2 teams. I definitely think it's an advantage to win or make your provincial final and I see nothing that indicates that teams threw games rather I see teams that played poorly on the day losing

    Slava Ukrainii



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,561 ✭✭✭legendary.xix


    A knee jerk reaction. Provincial titles still carry value. 12 teams are capable of winning them. Winning them usually give counties confidence that they are on track to challenge for an All-Ireland.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,262 ✭✭✭theoneeyedman


    Leitrim are a poor side. Sligo are a fair bit better in fairness, and apart from 15 or 20 minutes during their league game in Carrick are a fair bit better I'd say. They dropped off in that second bald and nearly got caught out, but we're able to kick in and scored the last 3 or 4 points when needed that day.

    The big difference is that they are trying hard and improving down the grades and showing signs at schools, minor and now U20, or real progress, while Leitrim keep going back to take lads out of semi retirement that won their coinrtqoth Mohill 5 or 6 years ago

    I'd expect sligo will beat NY well.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,561 ✭✭✭legendary.xix


    Leitrim have been challenging for promotion from Division 4 the last two years. They lost out to Sligo on penalties in last year's Tailteann quarter-finals. Some of the negative reaction is way over the top.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,262 ✭✭✭theoneeyedman


    I expect Sligo to beat NY for the reasons I outlined above. From seeing them and LM in the flesh a few weeks ago, they are a considerably better side than LM in my opinion, and are heading in a different direction than LM. From watching the full NY/LM game, I think there will be lots of goal chances for Sligo, with their direct runners against an NY defence that conceded several goal chances to LM on a smaller pitch in the Bronx.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,472 ✭✭✭✭Fr Tod Umptious


    I think it will take a while for teams to assess the value or otherwise of winning a provincial championship in the new format.

    We will see whether being at home to the S3 in the first game and away to the S4 in the second is valuable.

    But if you look back at the history of the old qualifier system between 2001 and 2017 you will notice that as the game became more "professional" in the 2010s the value of winning the province went up.

    In preparing a team for a championship run, winning the province allowed you to be in far more control of your own destiny.

    By taking the province seriously you knew when your games would be and where they would be, and if you won the province you knew you would be playing a qualifier in the QF and who your potential SF opponent was if you got that far.

    That was far better than landing in the qualifiers where you don't know from week to week who or where you will be playing and which side of the draw you will be on in the All Ireland series, the backdoor offered too many surprises.

    So as the game became more "professional" in the last decade planning was a big part of it.

    I contend that the reason that Mayo did not reach the All Ireland final in 2022 was not because they lost to Kerry in the QF, but because they lost to Galway in the Connacht QF.

    And I think the numbers show it.

    In the ten season from 2001 to 2010 the four provincial winners never all made the SF. The best they could do was three in 2002 and 2006.

    In 2008 only one provincial winner made the SF and in 2010 none.

    But in the seven seasons from 2011 to 2017 all four made it on three occasions, and three made it on three occasions.

    In 2016 only two made it.

    The full list is below

    sf.PNG

    Edit: I forgot to mention 2022 which was a return to the qualifier system.

    In 2022 all four provincial winners got to the SF.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,884 ✭✭✭✭ArmaniJeanss


    Fond memories of the complete over-reaction in here to the freak event of 2010 - death of the provincials as teams will deliberately throw them as winners have no chance against battle-hardened qualifiers. Fun times.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,561 ✭✭✭legendary.xix


    The Leinster finalists are going to play over the next two weekends, have a weekend off, contest the Leinster final, have a weekend off and then start the group stage. That's a consistent schedule to plan for. The reward is more games.

    If a player is carrying a knock, managers will have to balance their needs. For counties already qualified through the league it would be an unnecessary risk. That's the reward of a higher league ranking.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,119 ✭✭✭manofwisdom


    Theoneeyedman got it spot on about the Sligo v New York game.

    Sligo basically put the game to bed early when 1-3 to 0-1 ahead. New York lost their heads completely 2nd half when they knew they would get hammered. Sligo 2-16 New York 0-6 it finished.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,919 ✭✭✭HBC08


    Although usually they are close games I think Galway are going to do a number on Roscommon tomorrow.

    Galway by 8.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,364 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    Logistically I'm sure the association are secretly happy.

    New York get a bye to the TC QF where as they would be in the group stage of Sam which would be a nightmare fixture wise.

    The whole thing is a joke. The continued participation of New York is based on them being nice enough to lose all the time.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,472 ✭✭✭✭Fr Tod Umptious


    The whole thing is a joke. The continued participation of New York is based on them being nice enough to lose all the time.

    Well it's less of a joke than in used to be.

    Giving NY entry into the TC has meant that they have to rely on players with legal status in the US.

    This will allow them to plan long-term.

    No more picking a former inter county or good club player who happens to be in town working on the sites with his cousin for a year because he can't figure what he wants to do in life.

    But if they have players with legal status they know that they will be around for longer than a year, and they can develop US born players as well.

    I said it before here that I think the development of GAA Go could be a huge difference maker in getting second generation Irish Americans involved in the GAA.

    Pre GAA Go if the Irish parents wanted to bring their American born kids to watch All Ireland senior championship GAA they would have to bring them to a pub on a Sunday morning.

    That's not ideal.

    But with GAA Go they don't have to leave the house, they can watch any time.

    That will open up the senior championship competitions to a whole new US audience.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,037 ✭✭✭YabaDabaDooley


    I think the handicap for the Kerry v Tipp game was 20 points. Final result Kerry 0-25 v Tipp 0-5. It's uncanny how often the bookies call the spread right.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,281 ✭✭✭✭gormdubhgorm


    It a mixture of the wisdom of the crowds and the actuaries working off the betting movements I assume. You can be damn sure they are going to be on a winner regardless most of the time.

    Guff about stuff, and stuff about guff.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,037 ✭✭✭YabaDabaDooley


    It's safe to say we all would have seen a big Kerry win today but to get it bang on the 20 points for the spread is mad and it happens so often.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,281 ✭✭✭✭gormdubhgorm


    It is all worked out based on past performance the betting market, bit of maths - all to leave the bookies with the edge so they win no matter what most of the time. Any odds you get from a bookie are normally odds less than what they they should be given so they are almost always on a winner.

    Dublin is plus 15 v Laois I see. Does this mean that Leinster is slightly more difficult than Munster?

    Guff about stuff, and stuff about guff.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,037 ✭✭✭YabaDabaDooley


    Dublin are minus 15 i would think. Tipp have lost the majority of their team who won Munster couple years ago. They were relegated to Div 4 and are at a low ebb. I would say Laois are bette than Tipp now. Dublin have nearly always been around the 15 pt handicap in Leinster last decade or so. And usually cover it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,460 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    Slava Ukrainii



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,460 ✭✭✭✭Bass Reeves


    Ya Kerry seldom go for goals against weaker teams unless the chance is one on one.

    Slava Ukrainii



Advertisement