Six Nations 2023 - Wales v Ireland, Sat 4th Feb, KO 2:15PM - TV: VM1, BBC1, S4C

I think Wales could win as they always show up at home against us. However they didn't nearly win a series in South Africa. They won 1 game when South Africa sent out the reserves. The deciding test wasn't close at all.

Sexton has won World player of the year and was in the conversation last year. While I rate Biggar, he's not currently near his best and Sexton is playing better.

They have a number of Lions but would any of them get picked if it was this year? Maybe 1 or 2.

They have been on a bad run of form and we are playing pretty good. You can't blame some fans for expecting an Irish win. I think most of us know its likely to be close. I think we are the better team and at home we'd win fairly comfortably(as we normally do). We struggle over there in the 6 nations(probably would have won last time without the red card) but I think the bookies have it right with us as 6 points favorites.

I dunno, only 16 points? To me, any 3 score game in a Test is a fairly comprehensive win.

I expect them to put it up to us today tho from the start. But I think we should have enough to win by 8-10 or so in the end.

I think that’s massively underrating Aki tbh. He’s been brilliant for us for years now.

If the game is in the balance, we're unlikely to voluntarily make wholesale changes.

Well to counter, the Welsh bench doesn't evoke much fear in me.

This Irish team is younger and more battle hardened in recent times then that Wales 23. We're familiar with each other and Farrell's systems.

If Wales do succeed in keeping the game tight to the 60 minute mark, the only way I can see them doing that is by having a savagely high tackle count.

Those older body's will struggle to maintain that rate for the full 80 minutes.

Stick a fresh (and highly motivated to prove a point) Aki into that scenario with twenty minutes to go... That's what I'm basing my opinion on.

Yeah it was close in the first game but SA were still comfortable enough to change their whole team and Wales needed a late kick to beats them. Decider wasn't close so Wales weren't really close to winning the series...

I'm hoping to see some set piece moves from tap and go penalties. They've worked extremely well for Leinster in the Champions Cup and if Ireland get into position I think we might see a few over the tournament. They appear to be extremely difficult for defences to read.

Then spends 2 seconds deciding what to do?

Would still think Casey is a more like for like replacement.

Yeah hopefully it has pushed him to speed up his game. It felt like his decision making hampered us against SA but we’ll see today how he can go. Which again is probably good before the RWC.

A bad feeling for this match has just gotten worse with the scrum half news. I would swapped Casey in for JGP and left Murray on the bench.

Hopefully Murray plays a blinder now and is MOTM with an Ireland win.