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Covid vaccines - thread banned users in First Post

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Comments

  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 24,146 Mod ✭✭✭✭robinph


    that lockdowns would cause a rise in excess mortality due to cardiovascular, cancer and mental health issues, to name but a few, appears to be a consensus opinion now with the benefit of hindsight.


    That wasn't any particular great insight by them. Was pretty damned obvious to all concerned that lockdowns would have negative consequences for various other health conditions. I was getting additional support and information from my medical team in the month before any lockdowns happened, they had been planning for a reduction in access to services and knew that there would be consequences for the service they could provide. I assume that many others with long term conditions had the same, and health services knew that identifying new cases would be affected by lockdowns.


    It's not some remarkable insight that these anti vaxxers had. We all knew there were negative consequences for lockdowns, but the consequences of not locking down were greater which is why that is what happened.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,775 ✭✭✭hometruths


    It's not some remarkable insight that these anti vaxxers had.

    What part of the declaration indicated to you that these three are anti-vaxxers?

    We all knew there were negative consequences for lockdowns, but the consequences of not locking down were greater which is why that is what happened.

    Is it still the consensus opinion of experts with the benefit of hindsight that the lockdowns were the correct strategy? Seems like that consensus is faltering a bit. From the layman's point of view, I'm sure I've heard a few of the regulars on here, DohnJoe for example, acknowledge the lockdowns didn't work.



  • Posts: 25,874 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    But remember though, the virus only killed 6+ million people which according to our resident anti-vaxxers is a pittance.

    Even if we include the millions that were saved by the vaccine (as shown by a study posted a while back) then the virus would have only killed a mere 20 million. Which would upgrade it from a pittance to a trifle.


    But the real issue is that the vaccine is making babies cry and making them sleep less.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,174 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    You pretty much quoted the whole thing, which suggests letting Covid run wild with no lockdowns (and makes dodgy claims about influenza and children). You are suggesting the Great Barrington Declaration now represents medical consensus..

    Riight, can you back up that claim?



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,775 ✭✭✭hometruths


    You're being thoroughly disingenuous again. I quoted the whole thing and then commented:

    It is certainly not obvious to me why the above views discredits his opinion that there is such a thing as vaccine fanatics. Essentially the above boils down to the view that the lockdown policies of early 2020 would have "devastating effects on short and long-term public health"

    Current consensus suggests this opinion was correct.

    I do think current consensus opinion is that the lockdowns had devastating effects on short and long-term public health.

    Do you agree?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,172 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    No that is not the consensus - effects yes, "devastating" no. And the consensus view also considers the implications of NOT locking down.

    You keep running away from the question, how were hospitals meant to continue as normal in a society where covid was allowed to run rampant? How were vulnerable people to be protected if they went in for scans, in a world where the staff working there were interacting in such a world? How were hospital services to carry on as normal, dealing with the extra volumes of hospitalisations in such a world???

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Posts: 25,874 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    He doesn't want to admit he subscribes to the notion that covid wasn't a big deal and not dangerous because doing so would undermine his position.


    Something something if they had time to make a dancing video something something...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,174 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe



    Untitled Image


    Covid had devastating effects on public health, which is why when cases reached peaks, countries made the decision to have lockdowns, to preserve their national health systems, and to save lives from the virus.

    There was obviously a trade-off to that, one of which was that lockdowns themselves caused their own health issues, people were unable to get certain treatment, etc. That was factored into the decisions.

    The health damage from the lockdowns can't be isolated on it's own, because, obviously, the lockdowns were working to reduce damage from the virus.

    Am not aware of any consensus that the net damage from the lockdowns was higher than the damage from the virus. Which is the subtext of your "points" here.

    Can you show us that consensus?



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,775 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Again, I'll repeat the only consensus I claimed was that of the lockdowns having a devastating effect on short and long term health. There's no point in me repeating that another time, so we can agree to disagree on that.

    I don't know what the consensus on the net damage of the lockdowns is, though it does seem obvious now that many are not as convinced of the wisdom of the strategy as they were two years ago. Which is entirely to be expected, we have the benefit of hindsight.

    Forgetting about the consensus, what do you think? With the benefit of hindsight were the lockdowns the correct policy, and if not what could have been done to better effect?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,868 ✭✭✭✭lawred2


    we knew there would be disastrous outcomes for many

    but you know - we rolled the dice anyway



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,174 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Again, I'll repeat the only consensus I claimed was that of the lockdowns having a devastating effect on short and long term health. There's no point in me repeating that another time, so we can agree to disagree on that.

    You're selectively quoting a part of the Barrington Declaration that has a superlative in front of it. Then claiming that it's now the consensus.

    The whole reason they are claiming the lockdowns caused huge unspecified superlative mega damage is because they are against lockdowns in principle. I don't recall the scientific community since forming a consensus against the lockdowns? (If so, can you please point to it)

    As for hindsight, Sweden tried a "softer" approach with less measures, okay, but it resulted in higher deaths in the first year than it's closest socio-economic neighbours. I don't get the impression that the no-lockdown, anti-measure, let everyone get Covid approach would have worked. At the time many countries implemented the first lockdowns, more than a few health systems were close to breaking point, if no action was taken, then that scenario is unthinkable.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,775 ✭✭✭hometruths


    You're selectively quoting a part of the Barrington Declaration that has a superlative in front of it. Then claiming that it's now the consensus.

    Yes. What I quoted is now the consensus.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,172 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    England tried to follow the Swedish approach... delayed full lockdown as long as possible... partied at Cheltenham when the pubs were closed here and St Patricks Day Cancelled. The cost thousands of lives in the UK and Ireland.

    It doesn't scale as an approach. They piggy backed on restrictions elsewhere, the Swedish people voluntarily engaged in significant behavioural shifts (working from home, reduced visits to pubs, restaurants, domestic travel) and still... they had significantly higher deaths.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,174 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,174 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    There were also multiple lockdowns, which meant health professionals and experts decided the benefits outweighed the drawbacks, even up to a year and a half after the first lockdown.



  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,775 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Forgetting about the consensus, what do you think? With the benefit of hindsight were the lockdowns the correct policy, and if not what could have been done to better effect?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,174 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    Yes, even with hindsight they were the correct policy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,218 ✭✭✭snowcat




  • Posts: 25,874 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Are they over 6 million people?

    If not then it shouldn't be an issue for you given that you said that the deaths due to covid was a pittance.


    You seem to be trying to use more faux outrage but don't seem to realise you've already shot yourself in the foot in that regard.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,174 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    The lockdowns (and measures) prevented deaths from Covid, by reducing cases, especially during the early period (when we knew less about the virus) and during later peaks. That has to be netted off with the number of people who died as a direct result of lockdown measures.

    There aren't many examples of countries with increasing cases that didn't have some sort of lockdown, but famously Sweden resisted lockdowns/measures, left it more up to the people, and in that year they suffered higher deaths than their directly comparable neighbours (with the same socio-economic factors, e.g. Norway)

    image.png


    Also Sweden's economy didn't seem to fare better with no official lockdowns

    image.png


    Even with lockdowns and measures the virus killed 6 million people around the globe in just over two years. Covid killed approx. one in every 300 Americans.

    We don't know how many would have died if we had no lockdowns/similar measures. But judging from Sweden's numbers it would have certainly been higher, probably exponentially higher in countries with higher pop density, lower socio-economic factors (pretty much everywhere else). And keep in mind many people in Sweden chose to self-isolate, and self-mask adherence was high.

    How many people died as a direct result of the temporary lockdowns? That's hard to quantify. There were almost certainly some deaths related to people having difficulty getting treatment in hospitals, or refusing to go. There was mention of increased related suicides, but stats didn't show significant increases. The economic hit is hard to quantify, but after the first lockdown of approx 1 to 2 months there was a quick economic rebound, and as we can see from Sweden's stat's they also took a similar economic hit.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,218 ✭✭✭snowcat


    For feck sake we have gone through this a million times. Sweden has a high population of over 70's. . Lockdowns work..no one is disputing that. It is the collateral damage is the issue.

    https://www.statista.com/statistics/1296262/nordics-total-population-age/#:~:text=In%20both%20Denmark%2C%20Finland%2C%20and,people%20in%20this%20age%20group.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,174 ✭✭✭✭Dohnjoe


    According to you lockdowns work. According to 99% of anti-vaxxers and anti-maskers and conspiracy theorists on this forum for the last two years they "don't work".

    Moving on from that. We had partial lockdowns to mitigate some of the economic damage and other effects from having a full lockdown. It was all a question of balance relative to the number of cases plus the situation in hospitals.



  • Posts: 25,874 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    And we've established that any deaths under 6 million is a pittance and not worth worrying about.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 928 ✭✭✭buzzerxx


    THE REAL CONSPIRACY THEORISTS BELIEVE THAT THE GOVERNMENT CARES

    ABOUT THEM, THE MEDIA WOULD NEVER MISLEAD OR LiE TO THEM AND THE

    PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY THAT MAKES BILLIONS OFF

    SICK NESS WANTS TO CURE THEM.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 928 ✭✭✭buzzerxx


    Biggest elephant in the room

    The unjabbed aren't dying.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,218 ✭✭✭snowcat


    Thats because omicron is not really virulent. You will have the vaccine fanatics saying it was the vaccine that saved millions but in reality it was a less virulent variant saved the day. You definitely wont hear the percentage of covid patients in ICU anymore that are unvaxxed because they are all at least partially vaxxed. That mantra died a death about a year ago. Thankfully



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,172 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    Honk Kong was badly hit by Omicron as it had a large proportion of unvaxxed vulnerable.

    To suggest you have to be a 'vaccine fanatic' to think vaccine was important in saving millions of lives is an argument devoid of foundation. It is not an argument it is just baiting.

    It also deliberatly attempts to deceive by engaging in revisionism -

    The vaccines were in place protectimg people before Omicron.

    That Omicron arrived does not in any way change the stats on how badly hit unvaxxed people were by other variants

    The number of covid patients in hospital is much smaller because of vaccines. This is true for all variants.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,218 ✭✭✭snowcat


    Thats revisionism at its finest. SA was the first hit by Omicron with a largely unvaxxed population. They were all fine as every other country that has a large proportion of unvaxxed. Omicron is mild vaxxed or unvaxxed



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,172 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    The unvaxxed of Hong Kong werent ok.

    Your statement is false and easily disproved.

    Hong Kong shows what happens when a population of vulnerable people who were shielded from previous variants were hit by Omicron.

    South Africa demographics and previous virus experience different

    Your revisionìsm.is in attempting to pretend that you can use Omicron to argue against what happened in 2021 pre Omicron.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 928 ✭✭✭buzzerxx


    ISN'T IT INTERESTING HOW THEY TRIED SO HARD TO SELL US

    MONKEYPOX AND WHEN WE DIDN'T FALL FOR IT

    U DON'T HEAR ABOUT IT ANYMORE. 🤣



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