FF/FG/Green Government - Part 3

Indeed , the silence is deafening 😏

Courts , I believe will be back in late August, early September , but if Leo's slip of the tongue is infsct true, its unlikely the case would be heard until 2023 at the earliest, obviously if DPP drops the matter (more likely , I suspect) a decision would I presume be made during recess or shortly after . I'd wager during recess so it won't get much to much attention (IMO) 😏

FG support dropping like a lead balloon. Hilarious to watch

She’s a pain in the rear end, loves the sound of her voice. Offers nothing new or fresh. Another Uber privileged disconnected FG self serving ego maniac. Two a penny or rather they used to be ;)

One of the few decisions leo made that I agree with.

Personally I wouldn't be keen on Kate O Connell but she has an insight into the workings of FG and particularly Leo , she's always careful, Subtle but intriguing to disect her comments , certainly no love lost for Leo 😏

All charts are useless, all indexes are useless, all benchmarks are useless, and all reports are useless.

We get it. You don't like facts and prefer gut feeling, fanatical beliefs and the old 'stick the finger in the air' method in how to do policy and improve people's lives. You Sir, should be in politics!

As sure it will be grand, Darragh's plan will insure folks who wouldn't normally qualify under current central bank rules, will (with a cap on valuation) get assistance by way of Government putting up 30% of value of property, interest free for 5 years and then start paying that off along with a mortgage that technically is unsustainable and folks can look forward to have two mortgage providers, Two entirely seperate mortgages for roughly 25 years. What could possibly go wrong 🤔

Gobbledygook, so to speak 😉

Just move to Tralee or Longford. Be grand. Imagine the cheek of wanting to live where you're from.

Kate O'Connell represents a threat to Varadkar and his clique. It is no surprise to see here being attacked over media appearances. She referred to Varadkar's clique as "the choirboys" years ago on the Tonight Show. The only thing that FGers hate more than SF are other FGers.

Some of Varakdar's allies, such as Hayes and Murphy, are no longer in politics and FG many be getting increasingly worried about its own performance in the opinion polls and the loss of their seats. O'Connell also voted for Coveney in the FG leadership elections.

Varadkar and his clique have been an electoral disaster for FG and it would not be surprising to see a leadership challenge soon. A DPP decision to prosecute would accelerate it. Had O'Connell been the FG candidate in the Dublin Bay South bye-election, FG might have held that seat. When Varadkar is no longer leader, it would not be surprising to see her back in politics. Varadkar's appeasement of the morons in the Dublin media lost Verona Murphy as an FG candidate and she took a seat in Wexford. FG, without Varadkar, and with candidates like O'Connell and Murphy, would be in a better position to hold or even gain seats. Perhaps some FGers are slowly coming to that realisation. The next few opinion polls should be interesting.The lack of a DPP decision may be the only thing delaying a leadership challenge.

Regards...jmcc

IMO the looming prosecution is an issue all by itself; if it happened I think Varadkar would have to resign, or at least step aside for the duration of the case, irrespective of how FG were doing in the polls.

So if we assume that doesn't materialise what is a reasonable benchmark of performance for FG at this stage? I think everyone accepts SF are away and clear as the largest party for the next election and FF and FG are battling for second spot. IMO if FG keep ahead of FF - and they were 19-14 in the latest RedC poll - most FG members will be satisfied enough with that to render a leadership challenge unlikely.

A sentiment that applies equally to all parties, Some party members would eat their young to be selected!

She's really not a team player, inclined to be very petty and quite paranoid. An ex-party one term rep is a great filler for media panels but they are largely ignored, especially when they are the weak link on a party ticket.

A continued decline in the RedC polls might change opinions in FG. Bear in mind that Varadkar has lost seats in ever election that FG contested since he was installed as leader. Far from being some great new hope for FG, he's been a disaster. He would have been gone after the 2020 GE only for the Covid pandemic making a mess of politics. The report by Michael Ring into FG's performance in the GE that mentioned that 4 out of every 5 FG seats were in danger may have helped some FGers realise that the party is in trouble both in the polls and potentially at any future election with Varadkar as leader. RedC uses a 40K panel rather than a random sample of the electorate so FG would be foolish to place their hopes on just RedC. The B&A polls tend to favour FF and FF's support is likely to be between the RedC % and that in B&A's. If FF starts to consistently outpoll FG in B&A and rise in the others (RedC and Ireland Thinks) then FG members may be a bit more worried.

Regards...jmcc