BoJo banished - Liz Truss down. Is Rishi next for the toaster? **threadbans in OP**

In January, I said that Boris Johnson would survive "partygate". I was told how wrong I was, and that Johnson would be gone "within a month".

Now with the publication of the Sue Grey Report, I'm going to say the same thing: Boris Johnson ain't going anywhere.

That animated plank who governs the so-called Opposition will try to make a kerfuffle about it over the next few weeks, then a more pressing issue will take over.

That's not to say that the Sue Grey Report isn't damaging, because it is, but Boris Johnson toasting a fellow colleague and his team - who he'd been working with all day in the same workplace, is not a resignation matter.

Johnson will survive this into the next election, albeit with a slightly more tattered reputation than if it didn't happen.

And by the time the next election comes around, this whole partygate nonsense will be largely forgotten and Johnson will be judged on the bigger matters of his term:

• leadership during the Ukraine Crisis
• getting Brexit done
• COVID vaccination success compared to the EU etc.

And on these much, much bigger matters, Johnson will have the reputational edge over Keir Starmer and secure his second term.

I know that Johnson is hated on this thread, but that irrational hatred has clearly clouded judgment.

The above, what I have spelled out, is far more likely to happen. I certainly hope it comes to pass.

The key distinction lies with the word "deliberately".

And from this report, there is nothing to conclude that what he said was "deliberately" done to mislead parliament.

If it were obvious, the Tory's would already be sharpening their knives. But they're not, they're instead staying silent and waiting for the kerfuffle to subside.

I went on to correct that post once the hysteria of the issue had subsided.

If anything is going to bring down Johnson, it's far more likely to be his tepid attempt to stop illegal economic migrant crossings across the channel. Upwards of 100,000 migrants are set to cross this year unless this wave is stopped. Johnson will lose badly with the Red Wall voters who opted to Brexit to control her own borders. Johnson is currently failing on this big issue, and this is far more important to voters than him toasting a colleague a few years ago.

That's just pure gaslighting.

Almost this entire thread believed that Johnson would be gone in January-February. You were all wrong. True, at one point I thought that Johnson was on the slide, but I then corrected myself whilst the rest of the thread stuck firmly to the wrong belief. I corrected myself, you all stayed wrong. I'm actually glad that @Ahwell resurrected that post because it confirms to all and sundry that there's only one person on this thread willing to change their mind when the facts change, and that's me. @Ahwell has done me a massive favour in that regard.

And I'm saying you'll be wrong about Johnson this time, too.

In fact, the Scottish Conservative leader just came out and said that Johnson should NOT resign; the same leader who said that Johnson should resign 5-months ago.

So yes, it's quite clearly turning out that Johnson will stay.

That's Tory MP, Michael Fabricant; one of the few bisexual MPs in parliament.