St Patrick's Day Thursday March 17th 2022 Day Three Cheltenham+ Down Royal, Hexham, S'well & Wolves

6.00 Wolverhampton

two here at favourable prices

Joint best jockey in this race Simon Walker (Miss Serena Brotherton also takes part here in this amateurs' race) rides topweight and ~ 7/4 jolly Majeski Man for John O'Shea,, he won well lto on his first ever run in England, when making all over course and distance,, Was drawn lowest of all in stall 1 that day, but tomorrow may see him have competition for that lead, and his draw aint quite as favourable as he's jumping out of box five tomorrow,,, being an amateurs' race, his burden will be compounded by having to lump a welter burden of 11-8,, deserves to be favourite all the same, but has enough ?? against him imo, and I wouldn't be interested even at double his current odds..

another what i feel is vulnerable here is recent C & D winner Glorious Charmer @ ~ 4/1,, if held up, he doesn't usually quite seem to get there, and if racing prominent, then he'll have competition for the lead, and/or hit the front too soon,, an amateur race on the AW, so nothing can be ruled out, but i gotta ask meself: "if i was 'chasing' and just wanted to lump on summit, would i really want to back any of the two here, at their available odds, or bigger even?" in cold light of day, it would be a solid NO!

t'picks

SILVER DOLLAR 10/1 gen e/w

came 4th lto in a maiden over c & d when running keen,,, hopefully the first time cheekpieces can get him to focus on the job here,, is drawn in two, so if breaking on terms, he'd have to have a right good chance here,,, if i hadn't given away NAP vote to a "place-lay" (not on t'machines, so I cannae even do those bets meself 😄 note to self: "get someone to give ya an 'and with scanning documents and t'like" ) , i'd be giving it to Robert Eddery's grey gelding here.. possible the trip may be a bit sharp going on breeding, but 1st run in a handicap is reason enough to give him proper claims here under, presumably the trainer's son, George Eddery..

CLASHANISKA 7/1 gen e/w

third last time out over c & d but had a professional on top,, don't know anything about the amateur Matthew Wilson, but the horse can go well from a hold-up ride, and being drawn in 7 with a lot of likely pace on, then young Mr Wilson may see t'field coming back to him round home bend,, that's the thinking anyway,, would rather have a lil on him, inexperienced jockey notwithstanding, than leave him go unbacked, only to see him oblige at a fair (tho not overly generous) and working man/woman's price.. plus i put him up lto as well ;)