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"Green" policies are destroying this country

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,750 ✭✭✭Pa ElGrande



    Meanwhile in the UK: Electric vehicle smart charging consultation: summary of responses

    The ‘Automated and electric vehicles (AEV) act 2018’ gives government the powers through secondary legislation, to mandate that all chargepoints sold or installed in the UK have smart functionality. Government is planning to take forward these powers to help ensure these vital building blocks of a smart system are in place from an early stage. Government has now consulted on taking forward powers under the AEV Act and is considering the next steps.


    Here in Ireland we are at ~240,000 meters into the rollout. Imagine that you do as the Irish Government (and SIMI) wants you to do and buy an electric car. Then you replace your gas boiler with an electric heat pump and install a smart meter. You think you have done your bit to help the environment. And your reward? To have your electricity company use your smart meter to turn off your power because there is not enough juice in the grid. Suddenly, you find yourself sitting in a cold home and your plans to drive to from Dublin to Cork tomorrow are scuppered because your car won’t be fully-charged. That might be the extreme scenario, the reality is we are going to get charged with time-of-use tariffs where the cost of charging an electric vehicle gets socialised.

    Who pays for the Micro-generation subsidies? These might make sense in off the grid or remote locations (e.g. offshore Islands), how do they make sense in an dense urban environment who pays the grid management costs?

    Remuneration of Renewables Self-consumers’ exported electricity

    Such system imbalances lead to consumer costs as they need to be managed by system operators. In a worst case scenario, these imbalances can lead to system stability risks at high levels of microgeneration penetration on a system, It is likely that customers will also want their suppliers to be able to provide them with up-to-date data on their exports to the grid: this granular data will be central to this.

    There is another problem if everyone goes for solar panels, these things stop working when system demand is at its highest leading to the duck curve and the time-of-use tariffs. If your neighbour uses subsidised micro-generation and you don't, guess who pays the grid management overhead.

    Net Zero means we are paying for the destruction of our economy and society in pursuit of an unachievable and pointless policy.



  • Posts: 15,362 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Quite a lot to unpack there, let's start with the silly FUD scenario.

    Imagine that you do as the Irish Government (and SIMI) wants you to do and buy an electric car. Then you replace your gas boiler with an electric heat pump and install a smart meter. You think you have done your bit to help the environment. And your reward? To have your electricity company use your smart meter to turn off your power because there is not enough juice in the grid. Suddenly, you find yourself sitting in a cold home and your plans to drive to from Dublin to Cork tomorrow are scuppered because your car won’t be fully-charged. That might be the extreme scenario

    Thanks for at least acknowledging that is a far-fetched extreme scenario, I'll leave it be at referring to it as silly FUD as it doesn't warrant more.

    the reality is we are going to get charged with time-of-use tariffs

    Yeah, that's exactly what it is.

    I understand the reasoning behind it and also the need for it. I also see the downsides and the impact on my way of living in my home.

    The main motivation behind it is to spread the consumption where possible. So rather than coming home at 5pm,cooking, putting on a wash, charging the car, etc, all within 2 hours of getting home, the higher price at that peak time would motivate a different set of decisions e.g. Charge the car overnight on the lowest rate, put the wash on later or overnight and so on.

    Depending on the time of day you consume, your power will cost feck all or cost a load.

    Who pays for the Micro-generation subsidies?

    They are paid from the central exchequer pot in the same way all subsidies, govt services, hospitals, schools, roads etc etc etc are paid for from the same source.

    There is another problem if everyone goes for solar panels, these things stop working when system demand is at its highest leading to the duck curve and the time-of-use tariffs.

    Yeah, that's why we are getting a feed-in tarriff, so while your panels have been feeding power into the grid all day while you were at work, you got paid for it.

    Alternatives include using battery backups which may even make sense without panels as you could charge them overnight on the cheapest rate and consume the stored power or feed it back to the grid, when prices are higher.

    Take a look at the Renewable Energy forum for far more info on the last 2 points, there's literally thousands of posts of information, data, studies, analysis, reports etc on these 2 points with a large portion of it coming directly from other Boardsies and their real world experiences



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,996 ✭✭✭✭gozunda


    ...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,996 ✭✭✭✭gozunda


    Which models? ? Where?

    To be fair I reckon the models you've both been looking at were the ones drawn in crayon by greta and friends in kindergarten

    Heres the gist on "Holding the world to a 1.5-C warming increase by the end of the century"

    https://www.livescience.com/12-years-to-stop-climate-change.html

    "Here's the thing: the scientists never said the world was going to end in 12 years if we don't stop climate change. Even researchers known for ringing the alarm bells on climate change are far more likely to speak in terms of decimal places and nonlinear effects than to talk about the end of civilization as we know. ..

    The year 2030 has been bouncing around climate-policy documents for a while, Wollenberg said. (It also turned up in the Paris Agreement, for example, as did the goal of net zero by 2050.) Researchers saw that target as part of a reasonable time frame for drawing down emissions without it resulting in unbearable economic costs or having humanity rely too heavily on future carbon-capture efforts...

    "It could have been 2020, 2012 or 2016," Wollenberg said, adding that 2030 "used to seem a lot further away...

    The world will not end if we pass 1.5 degrees Celsius of warming above preindustrial levels...

    The 1.5 C target was picked for similar reasons — an effort to balance what's possible against what's necessary. But, similar to the 12-year time frame, 1.5 degrees is a target set by scientists, not an immutable scientific fact...

    Holding the world to a 1.5-C warming increase by the end of the century creates much more manageable short- and long-term problems than holding it to 2 C of warming, which is much less harmful to Earth than 3 C, which is much more survivable than 4 C, which is still less catastrophic than 6 C … and so on. None of those possible futures necessarily leads to a charred, lifeless global desert in our lifetimes."

    Now that's not to say there won't be droughts and storms there will. But not the way you're describing a mad max scenario in the next decade or so ...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,301 ✭✭✭patnor1011


    You "wonder" and "presume" too much. This crazy labeling you try to engage in does not work anymore. To me it is simple. Awesome and useful initiatives which were tackling real problems like pollution and waste management were hijacked by crazies who tried global cooling first and when that didn't manifest as predicted they came with warming. Since that is not the case too, now we have to deal with all encompassing "climate change". Which is brilliant because everything what happens can be blamed on this and solution is always at hand, offered in form of increased carbon taxes and plastic bag levy.

    Reduce, reuse and recycle debate is far better than empty talk about sub Saharan people running for their lives in a year, two, ten or fifty.

    People migrate and always did. It just does not happen in a year or two (with exemption of sudden environmental catastrophes like volcano eruption) it is more of a long term issue and raising "carbon tax" and introducing paper straws and plastic bag levies is not going to change it no matter what you think. Some of it may work with pollution but certainly not the way it is being done with all that carbon credits trading farce. Just another business and money making scheme that is all there is.

    We are not even close to any high CO2 levels earth experienced in history. Perhaps some of the extreme levels in history may not be the best environment for humans or for all of us but it certainly isn't going to "kill the planet"



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,191 ✭✭✭RandomViewer


    Thunbergs are just low rent Kardassian wannabees ,



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 757 ✭✭✭generic_throwaway


    'Crazies tried global cooling first and when that did not work...' - not sure what that means: work to do what? Also, 'they came up with warming. Since that is not the case too...' - I don't understand what you are saying here. The evidence is black and white that the earth's climate (not local weather) has heated up markedly in the last 50 years. This is a matter of fact, not opinion.

    I agree on the recylcing point of course.

    On migration: I encourage you to read about the Bronze Age Collapse - apologies if you know about this already, but the TLDR was that there were advanced civilisations 3000 years ago in the Middle East and Mediterranean, and they all collapsed at the same time (aside from the lone survivor, Egypt). The historical and archaeological evidence suggests that climate change caused massive migration from other areas, and subsequent war and plundering from desperate people. As I mentioned before, what I am suggesting in terms of migration and resource wars has happened already in human history.

    On your final point: yes, the planet will do fine (unless we cause runaway global warming, we might turn it into Venus). The point is whether we can mitigate the misery we are leaving behind us for our children and grandchildren. The world isn't going to blow up...it may simply not have the carrying capacity for more than a few million people.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 757 ✭✭✭generic_throwaway


    I'm curious as to what you found comforting in that article, or what is in there that makes you feel we are not in a climate emergency? I don't think there's anything surprising in it - as you point out, in ten years little will have changed, but I think in 20, 30, 50...things could be come very ugly indeed for humanity.

    I doff my internet hat though for referencing actual climate scientists. Well played.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,076 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    The climate emergency - what is it you think it is?

    As the planet warms, and CO2 levels rise, the conditions for life improve - Medieval and Roman warm periods being proof. Plant life is going to love it and humanity is not going to become extinct.

    The very reason we have fossil fuels is that there was an abundance of plant life, when the planet was 6-7°C warmer than at present and atmospheric CO2 levels were considerably higher.

    Further back in this Holocene period we are in, Ireland was a lovely warm place with a dryer climate - the Céide Fields in Mayo being proof of that along with tree trunks at the bottom of Europe's largest bog in Scotland. Then it cooled and turned nasty, which is why we have bogs and peatlands.

    Don't worry, the next glaciation event will make the planet more suited to Neanderthals again.



  • Posts: 15,362 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Is that the first time you've acknowledged that climate change caused by humanity is real and is going to fundamentally change the environment on a global scale.

    You're making progress



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 757 ✭✭✭generic_throwaway


    Can you please point me to studies that suggest that higher temperatures mean more habitable land? Seriously?

    Secondly, I don't think extinction is the concern. The concern is the carrying capacity of the planet. Do you have kids at all? Maybe you have a different perspective when you have kids, as I do.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,076 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Where did I say humans were causing the warming? There have been several historical warmings that were not due to CO2 output by humans. Historical warming combined with significant CO2 rises have happened too, closely followed by glaciation events and a plunge in temperature.

    Here's an interesting and elusive number for you to find: what percentage of the Earth's total heat budget is ascribed to the forcing by the small fraction of CO2 attributable to humans?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 757 ✭✭✭generic_throwaway


    Is your position that the people doing post-doctoral research on this stuff are not aware of this? Is it possible they know even more about it than - say - a layman?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,076 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    No, I shouldn't need to, it's fact written in the geological and paleologic records. Why not ask for a 'study' showing the sun rises and sets each day or that water is wet.

    If you want to push it, I can, here's the merest taste:

    "Europe's Medieval Agricultural Revolution

    Between the years 1050 and 1300, Europe underwent an agricultural revolution. Crop yields multiplied by at least threefold. Europe's population followed suit, tripling in less than three centuries. The average European lifespan increased by as much as two decades. Towns and cities reemerged, and with them came new crafts and a revival of trade. New classes of merchants and craftsmen attained some degree of social mobility.

    Soon the Renaissance would reawaken Europe to its glorious past, setting off a tide of technological progress from the enlightenment to the Industrial Revolution, that would eventually drag Europe from the Dark Ages and launch it into the world we live in today. None of this progress would have been possible without the surpluses created by Europe's medieval agricultural revolution."

    The great cathedrals of europe were literally funded and made possible by the improvement to conditions for plant life caused by the warming. There's another term for this period: 'also known as the Medieval Climate Optimum'

    The Roman warm period is also referred to as the Roman climate optimum, because agriculture flourished and allowed the Roman empire to as well.

    Have you heard of the Dark Ages? Well guess what, they were cold.

    Warmth good, cold bad, for all humans who are not climate 'scientists' or people who woke for the BBC.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 757 ✭✭✭generic_throwaway


    So just to go over the discussion that just happened:

    Cnocbui: Rising temperatures are going to make things even better.

    Me: Can you show me any study that shows this?

    Cnocbui: No. It's obvious.


    It's funny how complete laymen know as much as people who spend their lives working on certain - but very limited - areas. Climate, virology, that sort of thing.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,076 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Genuinely amusing. By the way, don't go raising virologists on too high of a pedestal, since they created both Covid and the Omicron variant, deliberately.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 757 ✭✭✭generic_throwaway


    Ok, I see that you are coming at this with political goggles on. Fair enough. Just be self-aware enough to know that's not the way to see the objective truth.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,996 ✭✭✭✭gozunda


    Funny I don't believe I claimed either of those two things tbf. But no matter.

    What I did point out - is that the belief that in ten or twenty years or thereabouts we're all entering some dystopian mad max alterative reality - is incorrect. That's not what the IPCC (yes and that's information from actual climate scientists) reports detail. I guess the press prefer to go with good old disaster movie scenarios. Unfortunately some people have taken that up as gospel.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,076 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Is NASA good enough for you? (I doubt it, nothing is good enough for closed mind)

    "A new NASA computer modeling effort has found that additional growth of plants and trees in a world with doubled atmospheric carbon dioxide levels would create a new negative feedback – a cooling effect – in the Earth's climate system that could work to reduce future global warming."

    As the former head of Greenpeace, Patrick Moore, who is much hated by eco catastrophists puts it - CO2 is plant food - fertiliser.

    Photosynthesis is at an optimum when the global average temperature is about 8°C warmer than it is now. More heat and more CO2 leads to more and rapid plant growth. What do people like you think is the principal reason there were huge dinosaurs? Was it the shiny white ice caps at the poles (there weren't any) or the massive amounts of food available in the form of plants?

    "Dinosaurs lived during the Triassic, Jurassic and Cretaceous. During these periods, the climate was much warmer, with CO₂ levels over four times higher than today. This produced abundant plant life, and herbivorous dinosaurs may have evolved large bodies partly because there was enough food to support them. But being large also helps to protect against predators." https://www.sciencefocus.com/nature/why-were-dinosaurs-so-big/

    Did you know that in fairly recent times, atmospheric CO2 levels fell so low that at higher altitudes all the plants died - globally? Life on Earth would have mostly gone extinct had the fall in CO2 levels continued to the point plants died of CO2 starvation even at sea level.

    "The Ice Age’s combined horrors – intense cold, permanent drought and CO2 starvation – killed most of the plants on Earth. Only a few trees survived, in the mildest climates. Much of the planet’s grass turned to tundra, which is much less nourishing to the herbivores prehistoric humans depended on for food and fur. Recent Cambridge University studies conclude that only about 100,000 humans were left alive worldwide when the current interglacial warming mercifully began."

    Warmer is better for life on Earth, colder is worse.



  • Posts: 15,362 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Warmer is better for life on Earth, colder is worse.

    All evidence to the contrary



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,076 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Post edited by cnocbui on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,191 ✭✭✭RandomViewer


    Armageddon, The end of days, whatever they call it, we are currently in the Eco-Reformation, anyone not singing from the approved hymnsheet is a heretic, It's just religion without a diety, full of dangerous zealots, instead of passing around the basket they've hit us with carbon levies,



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 757 ✭✭✭generic_throwaway


    I think climate scientists are (correctly) wary of wading into what some would consider speculation about the consequences of anthropogenic climate change. What they can do is lay out what will happen in terms of conditions in various parts of the world, and allow us to figure out the real-world consequences ourselves. They are already blasted by folks from certain political persuasions for political reasons, so you can understand why they will try to hammer home the actual numbers rather than the political (in the broadest sense) consequences.

    Like I said, I agree that we won't see much change in a decade, but I think the following decades will see a rapid cascade that is pretty bleak in terms of migration, war, and civilisational breakdown.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 757 ✭✭✭generic_throwaway


    I realise that my mind is closed (apparently), but how is it that one 'modelling effort' is conclusive proof that warming is good, but thousands of modelling efforts are not evidence that it is bad?

    It feels like you might be cherrypicking evidence here.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,301 ✭✭✭patnor1011


    Carbon credits market trading propaganda. Fear-porn waffle for weak minded.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 757 ✭✭✭generic_throwaway


    What does weak-minded mean? It sounds like a way of dismissing arguments without actually engaging with them.



  • Posts: 15,362 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Not sure your argument would stand up to peer review.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,829 ✭✭✭✭Strumms


    Greens advocate decriminalisation of drugs.

    yet bleat on in their manifesto about empowering people to be healthier

    They also advocate the pardon and release non-violent, minor, drug offenders…..pardon and release ?

    empowering people to be healthy yet greater empowerment and enablement of drug users, dealers and said industry…you couldn’t make this up…you really couldn’t.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,301 ✭✭✭patnor1011



    Neither does none of yours but somehow it does not bother me at all.



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