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"Green" policies are destroying this country

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 757 ✭✭✭generic_throwaway


    Well it's sometimes cheap and sometimes less so. But here's one way oil is always expensive: externalities. I'm quite happy to drive less, fly less, and buy less useless crap if it means my grandchildren don't face armageddon. Thinking otherwise seems to be a fool's paradise.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,328 ✭✭✭Banana Republic 1


    Ireland would be great country if it got rid of its lack of enforcement laws



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,600 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    We have an economy that was looking at rolling energy blackout if one gas fired station was off-line this Winter where the best Ryan could come up with as a solution was buying nuclear of France. Our manufacturing industries has been chipped away at for years by economies with cheaper energy and lower workers rights. What we now have are multinationals employing close to 300,000 of our workforce that at a minutes notice if they got a better deal elsewhere, would as they have in the past, up and leave without a thought.

    Just on your, "This would make sense if oil was cheap". The latest great white hope we are being sold is solar panels. The three worldwide largest suppliers of solar panels are China, India and the US. In Euros the current price of a gallon of petrol in China is 4.02, India 4.64, the US 3.23. In Ireland it is 6.34. Oil is expensive in Ireland for the sole reason we have taxed the hell out of it to "save the planet" unlike some of the largest economies in the world.

    For the rest of your post I`m getting heartily sick and tired of this nonsense that by subjecting ourselves to penury we are going to save the planet single handed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,257 ✭✭✭✭Akrasia


    Oil is cheap because

    1. It gets trillions of dollars in subsidies
    2. It externalises the costs of dealing with the pollution caused by burning Oil.

    If I buy a cheap chainsaw that malfunctions and saws through my leg while using it, the chainsaw may have been cheap, but the cost of using that chainsaw were very high

    Chomsky(2017) on the Republican party

    "Has there ever been an organisation in human history that is dedicated, with such commitment, to the destruction of organised human life on Earth?"



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,600 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    Labour supporters were even more pissed off as Labour were anti water charges until they saw the chance of getting their well padded behinds on Ministerial chairs. Kelly taking over from Hogan of FG and attempting to push it through was the ultimate slap on the face for Labour supporters and has left Labour where they are today politically.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,600 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    I`m disappointed blanch that is the best you could do in replying to my post. But then contrary to popular belief at the time perhaps you actually did learn something from the water charges mega-threads.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 757 ✭✭✭generic_throwaway


    Once again, the externalities of fossil fuels are ignored. Why?

    Secondly, I don't think anybody is suggesting we can save the planet on our own. Where is this straw man coming from?



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 52,588 CMod ✭✭✭✭magicbastarder


    a car rolls onto a child, because the handbrake has been left off or some such bollocks.

    the eight people who witness this turn and walk away thinking 'i won't be able to lift that car off that kid on my own, such a pity'.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 757 ✭✭✭generic_throwaway


    Or one guy goes over and does his best to lift it, and other 7 guys look at him and think, 'what an idiot'.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 52,588 CMod ✭✭✭✭magicbastarder


    'i'm not strong, so i'll just stand back and watch'



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,600 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    In economics an externality is an indirect cost or benefit to an uninvolved third party that arises as an effect of another party`s activity.

    Where in that with the fuel prices I have posted say worldwide we are all in this together ?

    Cheap energy give a economic edge to an economy, so get back to me when the US bans fracking and raises their fuel prices to the same as ours, or when China, (among many others do the same), closes down coal burning power stations rather than opening new plants. China doing so while they are the world leader in supplying solar panels, the supposed silver bullet that will fill the gap here when the wind dies.

    Saving the planet is a worthy theory, but if you really want to know how the planet works following the money will show the reality.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 757 ✭✭✭generic_throwaway


    Thanks, I know what externalities are: I used the term above. But I've no idea what your point is in the first paragraph (apologies if you are referring to something you wrote previously that I missed). And the second paragraph - again, I don't know what you are getting at. Yes, cheaper energy is advantegeous, particularly if your involved in heavy industry and manufacturing. But what does that have to do with runaway global warming and civilisational collapse? Isn't that economically disadvantageous?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,600 ✭✭✭✭charlie14


    What you missed was the price of fuel in Ireland in comparison to other countries. Cheaper energy is an advantage regardless of what industry you are involved in. Our manufacturing industries have been constantly chipped away over the years by countries using cheap energy and poor working conditions and workers rights. What we have now is close to 300,000 employed by multinationals. Basically service industries that if they were offered better terms and cheaper energy would be gone in the morning. Similar to Dell in Limerick, Digital in Galway and Fruit of the Loom in Donegal.

    Even as we are where Ryan`s answer to just one gas powered generating station going off line is French nuclear energy when the wind drops. We have some of these multinationals holding a gun to our head over energy guzzling data centre that will provide nothing in the way of employment or anything to the economy, and that is even before we are going to have this supposed 1 million cars that would require charging, heat pumps etc. Don`t be fooling yourself that every country is in this together when it comes to energy sources. There are plenty out there quite happy to get an edge by having cheaper energy. Many of them more than happy to sell us their "green energy" products produced by using cheap energy. That is the economic definition of externality.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 757 ✭✭✭generic_throwaway


    This may have been your intention, but Dell, Fruit of the Loom and Digital were all in manufacturing. The 300,000 folks working for MNCs are mostly in the knowledge economy. It takes a while to ramp these things up and down - I know, I work in the area.

    It's still not clear to me exactly what you are arguing: I agree that we are undercut in terms of manufacturing. That's not a bad thing - we have moved up the value chain as a country. If we have some sort of economic collapse - guess what, we will be a cheap place to manufacture again. Yay.

    But none of this seems to be an argument for not doing our best to mitigate global warming and start putting solutions in place. You don't think our economy is going to be the envy of the world when global supply chains collapse and resource wars break out everywhere? We will be doing well to feed ourselves. Modern medicine will be a thing of the past. I honestly don't think people have any sense of what is ahead.



  • Posts: 15,362 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    It's still not clear to me exactly what you are arguing

    I thought it was just me



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,301 ✭✭✭patnor1011




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 997 ✭✭✭iColdFusion


    Well a lot of Greenies on here are constantly banging the drum of accounting for the fuel used by airlines and large transport forgetting we are an island nation hugely dependent on air travel and shipping, we have already had some major materials inflation due to shipping issues, what do you think is going to happen to our knowledge economy very dependent on skilled emigrants and tourism if air travel sky rockets in price?

    We'll be a dead duck, no European workers are going to come here if it'll cost them €500 to fly home to see their family so they'll work remotely and pay their taxes somewhere else because a high Irish salary isn't good enough anymore especially with our climate and rental costs, so we will see the big MNC's keeping their main assets here for corporate tax reasons but with less employment, I can see Croatia taking a lot of our jobs long term once they join the euro next year.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 757 ✭✭✭generic_throwaway


    How do you see a complete civilisational meltdown over the next 50 years impacting our economy? It's not even unprecedented - you may have heard of the Bronze Age Collapse?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,836 ✭✭✭Nermal




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,067 ✭✭✭✭Danzy


    Is net zero achievable or desirable?


    Argument to be made that going for 80 to 90% reduction is reasonably priced and easy to achieve but closing the gap makes it so expensive per capita as to guarantee a backlash from the bottom 80% of the population.


    I've posted before about the insane costs of nuclear power, Yet In the context of climate change maybe it does have a place in energy as a low carbon electricity til other options scale up.


    The damage done by Germany closing it's coal and nuclear in such a short time frame will take years to play out and has damaged the legitimate green energy offering and the wider European economy.


    Most emissions this century are going to be from outside the old Western world. They will continue to drop for us.


    Instead of that last 10% wouldn't it be better spent developing clean energy sources, that's really transformative.


    The green movement is largely younger middle class white people. Outside of that demographic it is a small niche.

    Technology is the Only solution in a world that largely does not give a hoot about climate change.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 757 ✭✭✭generic_throwaway


    I hope so. But I think it's likely. Have you sat down and though about what happens when - for example - billions of people find themselves unable to live in their current homes due to extreme weather and/or famine?

    As I said above, I think folks seem to think that global warming just means higher sea levels and windier weather. Those things are not the problem at all, or a very minor part of it.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 997 ✭✭✭iColdFusion


    Western countries will do what they've always done, look after themselves at the cost of poorer countries that can be easily exploited to ensure our standard of living doesn't drop so if parts of Europe become uninhabitable we'll just start moving east or south, if Africa has major issues we will tell them to jog on and increase border security.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 757 ✭✭✭generic_throwaway


    Two separate points here:

    1) You honestly think things will carry on as before? I encourage you to do some reading and thinking. Massive resource wars are just the very tip of the iceberg here.

    2) And we will just be machine-gunning desperate familes fleeing uninhabitable places? Really?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 997 ✭✭✭iColdFusion


    TBH it seems clear enough to me that emissions reductions in Europe will be pretty much cancelled out by growth in developing nations, China & Africa especially and it wouldn't surprise me if some heavy industry companies start moving out of Europe when their profit margins start to get hit by green taxes and they are happy to pay EU import tariffs to avail of cheap energy and labour elsewhere.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 757 ✭✭✭generic_throwaway


    Right, so that path leads us to civilisational annihilation.

    How about we pioneer zero or low-emission technologies that the developing countries can adopt as they grow? What's the worst-case scenario if we do that? Because we know the worst-case scenario of doing nothing. Complete disaster.

    This is really scary sh!t when you think about it. Nobody wants it to be true. But ignoring it will not make it go away.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,191 ✭✭✭RandomViewer


    People live in Greenland, people live in the Sa hara, humans adapt



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 997 ✭✭✭iColdFusion


    They can't afford to adopt those technologies so they will grow with fossil fuels, Ireland can just about afford those technologies and still the uptake is low so imagine asking a family in Africa to install PV panels or buy an electric car, not gonna happen.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 757 ✭✭✭generic_throwaway


    Hardly any people live in either, as I am sure you are aware. That's because of their very low carrying capacity. What happens when the carrying capacity of the planet plummets in the coming decades due to climate change?

    This is like thinking about your own death - it's deeply uncomfortable. But simply not thinking about it is not a rational reaction.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 757 ✭✭✭generic_throwaway


    So your solution is: do nothing, and let it all burn?

    "We've tried nothing and we're all out of ideas."

    I hope you never plan to have children, because it is them and theirs that you are condemning to misery.



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