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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,063 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    absolutely, we have successfully set ourselves up to continually screw the squeezed middle, we have decided to effectively leave wealth untouched, but since tax needs to be paid, the default is always gonna be the middle, this is now an unsustainable situation, we have to start becoming radical, we have to engage in ideas such as perpetual deficits, and other methods of public funding, public banks etc, and we have to some how start taxing wealth, in all its forms, none of these will be easy, all fraught with problems, but....

    it makes perfect sense to create public and social housing to high standards, because if we continue as is, it will be ultimately up to the squeezed middle to foot the bill again, in the future, thats you and/or your kids! new buildings should be made to long out last the lives of the original occupants, by not doing so, it just pushes on the requirements to future generations, i.e. your kids and grandkids, it has to stop somewhere. we know how to do this, there has been incredible advancements in building tech and materials etc, we currently just dont have the will, but i suspect its in the post!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,901 ✭✭✭Villa05


    No matter what the taxpayer is on the hook. Better to do it the cheapest way possible with the opportunity of having it revenue positive than forking out billions to to developers and investment funds.

    The increase in supply means better choice for private buyers as they are not competing with entities that would be meeting their own supply



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,173 ✭✭✭Marius34


    1) There would be no revenue.

    2) Private buyers would still compete with a limited amount of supplies.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 997 ✭✭✭iColdFusion


    The reality is councils piss away 10's of thousands of euro and waste months sometimes years refurbishing council houses after long term tenants, so building them better makes no difference:

    The real question is why in a time of nearly full employment and a booming economy does the tax payer need to fund so much social housing, it seems like there are a lot of people who have chosen to limit their income and wait for a free house instead of working to buy their own, that can't go on forever when hard working couples are forced to pay through the nose for poor quality housing in the suburbs and commuting hours to work everyday, its the exact opposite of the fairness in society the bleeding hearts keeping going on about.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,337 ✭✭✭The Student


    But you have not answered my question of what about the people who purchased their houses who can't afford to bring them up to current regs that you want the council and public houses brought to.

    Yet again we the squeezed middle get left behind.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,337 ✭✭✭The Student


    I have to fully agree with this. I have seen second hand houses purchased by the state completely refurbished. I knew the daughter of the owner who passed away and they sold the house to the council and the council took the house apart putting in new kitchen, insulation and windows etc.

    The kitchen was less than a year old and was a beautiful kitchen that was just thrown in the skip. The house was insulated to within an inch of its life. The house got solar panels installed as well.

    I lived down the road from the house and I could not afford to do half of what was done. I don't understand why people in social housing should get all of this and I can't afford it. By all means make a property habitual but how do you think it makes me and others feel who purchased their houses and paying mortgages who can't afford to live in the comfort of those who in some instances don't even work.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Computer Games Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 8,681 CMod ✭✭✭✭Sierra Oscar


    Bank of England just after raising interest rates from 0.1% to 0.25% and signalling further rises in the new year. So it begins ... interesting few months ahead.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,239 ✭✭✭Pussyhands


    Say what you like about the Brits but at least they have the balls to make a first move, unlike the EU who just look at what the US do and follow them.

    But what the rise means is that all the talk that inflation is "transitory" is BS.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,619 ✭✭✭Timing belt


    They didn’t make the first move. The BOE didn’t have much of a choice but to not raise rates after US announcement yesterday. If they didn’t raise rates then strengthening dollar would just add to inflation in the UK.

    Likewise all emerging markets will do similar and raise rates despite their economy’s not being robust because they will have Issued USD debt.

    Interesting investors are now moving pilling into Real estate and Inflation linked bonds and commodities to hedge against inflation. This will result in upward pressure on housing prices.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,239 ✭✭✭Pussyhands


    The UK increased rates immediately. The US announced plans for next year. The EU would never make such a move, they are happy to inflate away peoples earnings and savings. It's similar to our government desperate to keep people in jobs. It doesn't matter if the job is horrendously low pay, it's all about stats and people in jobs so they throw silly money at businesses and subsidize wages.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,063 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    .....keep living in an alternative reality! what booming economy?

    who are these people, that are limiting their income?

    where are these free houses?

    come on lads, put your prejudices aside, and come into reality!

    again, absolutely, the default towards the middle will ultimately fail, including the current retrofit program, the expectation is for the middle class to take on the bulk of the debts required to do so, i wont happen, only some that are willing and able to will, i suspect the majority wont. in order to do so, a major state grant scheme will need to be implemented, this probably wont occur under the current government, but will have to be in future governments

    i suspect the process of raising rates will be stalled, if not back tracked upon, it ll certainly be very interesting to watch though



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,239 ✭✭✭Pussyhands


    Power of compounding is pretty mad. Apple took 43 years to reach 1T market cap. 10 months to add an extra trillion. They'll reach another trillion probably this month making it another 16 months.

    2 trillion added in 26 months.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,063 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    ....and everyone has won from this, havent we!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,337 ✭✭✭The Student


    Who will fund the "grant scheme".

    I am not political but I fear any of the left parties getting into power think that they can tax our way out of the situation. Thinking we can just tax the multinationals and expect them to just accept it is crazy.

    We are a small open economy who need foreign direct investment. If you make the business environment toxic they will leave Ireland. Look at Brexit as a case in point, it is an unmitigated disaster for the average person living in Britain. Empty shelves, fuel shortages etc. and Britain has a much bigger population than Ireland has.

    Working and better yourself is supposed to be the idea to lift you out of poverty and have a better life. While bother working for your whole life paying a mortgage and having a social tenant next door to you where the social tenant has more comfortable accommodation than you. Then to add "salt to the wound" the State then says when you die the State takes back a large chunk of your estate in taxes.

    The whole "Fair Deals" scheme is a prime example of this. Both patients get exactly the same treatment but it costs one more because they have assets and the other one does not.

    How exactly is that fair?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,239 ✭✭✭Pussyhands




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,619 ✭✭✭Timing belt


    The fed announcement of speeding up tapering is the equivalent to an interest rate hike.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,604 ✭✭✭Amadan Dubh


    HAP is too lucrative to give up for all those benefitting. For Dublin it can amount to 1250 if you have one child. The fact that 1250 is only an assistance payment and contributes to the overall rent shows just how a total crash (correction really) in the rental market isn't just a possibility (given the dislocation between 1250 pm in rent support and what average salaries are) but is a necessity.

    Poolbeg now being offered back to the council on long term leases instead of offering them for sale. Investors are fleecing the tax payer with their resources to overpower the councils and the government from so many different angles from lobbying, hiring from the public sector those with connections to decision makers, threatening to starve supply etc. It's farcical.

    The government have propped up the rental market making it a bubble and a bubble so large it has lifted all boats in our housing market. There is no metric where the current situation is sustainable. The question is where the chips fall when the whole thing collapses.

    For example, companies creating more jobs in Ireland won't happen in the short to medium term with no where for employees to go and live. Less than 1000 rentals on Daft for the whole of Dublin for the last 5 months and people think jobs can still be created? eg tik tok claiming they can hire a couple thousand for Dublin over the next few years? Won't happen and this further growth of big comps ies is the sword on which our post-08 growth and recovery will fall.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,901 ✭✭✭Villa05


    I am one of those people and at time of purchase, our income would have allowed us to go on a housing list.

    Many experts have highlighted that the cost of building an a rated passive house is no different to building a typical similar sized pre crash home

    Do it right first time as the cost of correcting is much greater.

    I suggested a property tax linked to the benefits of upgrading the home would be the best option to fund the retrofiting of our stock.

    If it saves a 1k a year bring in a tax of 1 k a year to fund it until its paid off.

    Every body pays be it cash or a reduction/elimination of fuel allowance

    The existing plan is to upgrade the states own stock. This will be costly and will drive up the price for people who wish to do it themselves

    A national scheme would be able to benefit from economies of scale, bulk purchasing, doing a whole terrace as opposed to 1 House in a terrace



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,619 ✭✭✭Timing belt


    How will the rental market crash happened with such a shortage of supply? And when will it happen?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,016 ✭✭✭growleaves


    Yes and say goodbye to many Central and Eastern European labourers if/when mandatory vaccination becomes either a condition of employment or a general requirement of permanent residence in Ireland.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,337 ✭✭✭The Student


    Yeah but here we go again with a property tax. Any council owned property is exempt from property tax. Quoting the above "If it saves €1k then bring in a €1k tax to fund it" and guess who pays for it, the squeezed middle so how exactly is that fair.

    All I am looking for is some form of fairness, everybody thinks retrofitting, building energy efficient state owned properties but its the squeezed middle who end up paying for the bulk of everything.

    How exactly is that fair. I will ask the question again how is it fair that council housing stock is brought to a higher standard than owner occupied housing who can't afford to do our own properties but the state has no problem taxing us to pay for retrofitting council owned property.



  • Posts: 18,749 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    property tax is a tax on the owner of the property. What would be the point in facing councils to give the money.back to them?

    My mother owns her own home, it is.being retrofitted by seai. They have already been out to assess it, they will then come back and do it all, not a penny will she pay.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,337 ✭✭✭The Student


    You are missing the point. Tenants of social housing should pay something.

    Great that your mother's house will be retrofitted free of charge but what about us in the middle.



  • Posts: 18,749 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    You're complaining about people who own their own houses having to pay to retrofit, I showed you not everyone does.

    Then you complain about property tax, which is for home owners, how can social housing tenants be liable, when they cannot afford to own a house, hence they are in social housing.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,901 ✭✭✭Villa05


    If the work delivers 1k per year in savings to the owner/inhabitant in the form of reduced energy bills, then a tax of 1k constitutes 0 cost to the government and the owner/inhabitant

    The current property tax is exempt on council houses, bring it in as universal environment tax. We don't have to continously repeat mistakes of the past

    Throw all the carbon tax at the project also to speed it up



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 756 ✭✭✭bakerbhoy


    Having built my own home during the crash period to a higher standard , you are misinformed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,901 ✭✭✭Villa05




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,205 ✭✭✭cruizer101


    Any grants that are fully funded appear to only be available to those already receiving state assistance (JSA, Carers, etc.) the grants for others, i.e. the squeezed middle class, only cover about 1/3 of the costs.

    Property tax currently is for home owners however there is an argument that it should be whoever is residing in the property, be it owner or tenant, as they are the ones who are receiving the benefit of local services for which the tax is paying for.



  • Posts: 18,749 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    My mother is retired. That's a lot of money to be paid out if all pensioners are eligible



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,205 ✭✭✭cruizer101


    I'm pretty sure all pensioners aren't eligible, from the seai page https://www.seai.ie/grants/home-energy-grants/ the fully funded grants are available For qualifying homeowners in receipt of certain welfare benefits



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