The coming conflict over Taiwan

Taiwan is important economically and technologically. Not just the fact its a free state and have a successful democracy.

We need their semiconductor factories. These cannot be allowed to fall into Chinese hands.

Also let's not forget the people of Taiwan do not want to put under the Communist totalitarian boot.

Will the EU now formally recognise Taiwan as an independent state?

About time.

They recently increased US forces on the island marines and navy seals are currently training the Taiwanese military ,

But invading Taiwan is no easy task , the Taiwan strait is quite a dangerous passage weather wise for a few months at a time , China would need a huge force naval and aerial wise while attacking a very well defended country ,

They need to be recognised as a sovereign state and publicly supported by the UN

Whatever happens over Taiwan China and the United States will agree in advance they won't fire their nukes at each other. Won't they?

As China's economy begins to crumble under its own heft in the next few years a war would be an ideal distraction. I'd say it's almost inevitable.

The US is not the hegemon it once was. China has become the hegemon in the South China Sea area through its military colonisation of uninhabited islands and also through the belt and road initiative. The US ability to project naval power across the Pacific has been diminished by missile and drone development. China could even go so far as lob nukes into the ocean around Taiwan to keep the Yanks at bay.

The Taiwanese see these as real possibilities:

"The Han Kuang exercise, held every year since 1984, spans Taiwan's main island as well as outlying islands, incorporating ground, sea and air forces. It envisions a wide range of avenues of potential attack -- not only missiles, but also landing operations, electronic warfare, cyberattacks and bioweapons"

https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/International-relations/Taiwan-simulates-Chinese-biological-and-electronic-attacks-in-war-game

Imagine if an invasion took place, you would see Japan with a nuclear weapons capability in about six months.

So China claiming the whole of the south China sea as their sovereign territory , right up to the coastline of every other country in the the area and the near daily threats to Taiwan and elsewhere,

But somehow it's all a conspiracy

Where did I say it was all a conspiracy?

I said you can never be completely sure about the exact motivations of the Americans.

They live in a society that has an unnerving propensity to use violence as a means to solve problems. And this attitude very often permeates right to the very top of their leadership and command structures in both politics and the various military branches.

You have countless American families, and even entire communities, who grow up with stories about the heroics of what their dad or granddad etc did in various military conflicts. American kids joining the military, desperate to have their own experiences and stories to tell. Very often itching for a fight basically.

They are a dangerous group of people to be putting forward as some sort of world police force, keeping other nations in check.

None of this, should be construed as any kind of tacit support for China or the CCP. I do not think they are a force for good in the world. But I would prefer if we had a group of more emotionally and mentally stable nations taking them on and holding them to task.

I do not think the Americans are really fit to take on a leadership role in these strategic global issues anymore.

They'd surely overrun it in a couple of days wouldn't they, if they had their forces funneled effectively?

And any American 'intervention' in that case would be more like the Normandy landings than helping France beat back the Germans in 1940.

Would America really risk that sort of conflict with a major nuclear power?