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Irish Property Market chat II - *read mod note post #1 before posting*

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,100 ✭✭✭Browney7


    Hubertj wrote: »
    A similar house in much better condition sold for 1.155 in 2018.

    If this house goes for €900k ish how much to have it done proper is the question.

    https://www.myhome.ie/residential/brochure/124-leeson-street-upper-donnybrook-dublin-4-d04v4p6/4505436

    It makes this place look a bargain!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,000 ✭✭✭Hubertj


    Browney7 wrote: »

    It’s a shame that those houses on the “island” have no gardens. My friend lived in 1 for a year and the garden was even smaller. Family home with no garden not ideal


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,592 ✭✭✭DataDude


    Hubertj wrote: »
    A similar house in much better condition sold for 1.155 in 2018.

    If this house goes for €900k ish how much to have it done proper is the question.

    Doesn't look in terrible shape to my untrained eye. I'd guess €200k and you'd have it in great nick. Would start getting pricey if you wanted to extend as well, which I'm assuming the buyer will.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,100 ✭✭✭Browney7


    DataDude wrote: »
    Doesn't look in terrible shape to my untrained eye. I'd guess €200k and you'd have it in great nick. Would start getting pricey if you wanted to extend as well, which I'm assuming the buyer will.

    I had 200k to retrofit and finish what's there which is probably low in the current climate. If you were doing a Dermot Bannon box out the back it would be what, another 100k? Planning issues likely too you'd expect unless you kept it small


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,592 ✭✭✭DataDude


    Browney7 wrote: »
    I had 200k to retrofit and finish what's there which is probably low in the current climate. If you were doing a Dermot Bannon box out the back it would be what, another 100k? Planning issues likely too you'd expect unless you kept it small

    I'm not so sure on €100k for any sort of extension unless it really was tiny. You'd also want to square off the house by building over the garage (quick scan of the street and seems most have done this).

    My guess would be that most people bidding on that are probably budgeting another €400k-€500k to retrofit and extend. It would be really incredible once done though with a large south facing garden in Rathmines/Dartry. I've seen worse value houses out there!


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,000 ✭✭✭Hubertj


    DataDude wrote: »
    I'm not so sure on €100k for any sort of extension unless it really was tiny. You'd also want to square off the house by building over the garage (quick scan of the street and seems most have done this).

    My guess would be that most people bidding on that are probably budgeting another €400k-€500k to retrofit and extend. It would be really incredible once done though with a large south facing garden in Rathmines/Dartry. I've seen worse value houses out there!

    There ya go with the garden again!!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,180 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Hubertj wrote: »
    There ya go with the garden again!!

    I'm tempted to put on my Akubra and Paul hogan accent and say: 'That's not a garden? That's a garden', and then post a pic.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,909 ✭✭✭Villa05


    So the squeezed middle get shafted yet again. If you are a single person earning over €58,000 a year or a couple earning over €75,000 a year then though tits, no housing for you.


    I believe those limits were set in 2011, I'd expect change soon, but not holding my breath


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,959 ✭✭✭✭Cyrus


    Hubertj wrote: »
    There ya go with the garden again!!

    after location location location its aspect aspect aspect :cool:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,180 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    Ireland, the European home of tech giants like Apple and Google, is looking to reach a compromise over global taxation that recognizes “the role of legitimate tax competition,” the country’s finance minister told CNBC on Friday.
    ...

    “What we are going to do is engage in the OECD process very intensely across the coming weeks and months, and I do hope an agreement can be reached that does recognize the role of legitimate tax competition for smaller and medium-sized economies,” Irish Finance Minister Paschal Donohoe told CNBC.
    https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/18/ireland-wants-a-compromise-on-bidens-15percent-global-tax-plan.html

    This is actually a really cunning plan - embarrass the MNCs so much for operating in such a joke of a country that they up sticks and leave for a country run by adults, not cargo cultists with bones through their noes. This will free up a ton of houses in Dublin and the prices might even fall.

    Worthy of Blackadder.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,000 ✭✭✭Hubertj


    cnocbui wrote: »
    https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/18/ireland-wants-a-compromise-on-bidens-15percent-global-tax-plan.html

    This is actually a really cunning plan - embarrass the MNCs so much for operating in such a joke of a country that they up sticks and leave for a country run by adults, not cargo cultists with bones through their noes. This will free up a ton of houses in Dublin and the prices might even fall.

    Worthy of Blackadder.

    Sure the UK were at it the other day looking for exemptions for banking in the city. Everyone will want exemptions for something. Other countries use other countries for their tax shenanigans. Luxembourg, Caribbean, Isle of Man, jersey, Panama, and on and on and on….


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,045 ✭✭✭MacronvFrugals


    Its weird how quick the powers that be have moved with the tax rates although i'm sure years of ground work were required.

    I remember people here laughing at Props last year "every time a new president gets elected nothing ever changes" but this time it does feel somewhat substantial unfortunately for Ireland.


  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,697 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Hubertj wrote: »
    Sure the UK were at it the other day looking for exemptions for banking in the city. Everyone will want exemptions for something. Other countries use other countries for their tax shenanigans. Luxembourg, Caribbean, Isle of Man, jersey, Panama, and on and on and on….

    I'd agree on loopholes and exemptions. Leaving aside the argument of whether or not the MNCs that are already established here came for the tax, or the workforce or whatever, would you agree that anything close to the sort of levels of MNC investment we've seen in the last decade are unlikely to be replicated in the next decade given the tax changes?


  • Administrators Posts: 55,122 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭awec


    schmittel wrote: »
    I'd agree on loopholes and exemptions. Leaving aside the argument of whether or not the MNCs that are already established here came for the tax, or the workforce or whatever, would you agree that anything close to the sort of levels of MNC investment we've seen in the last decade are unlikely to be replicated in the next decade given the tax changes?

    We don't know anywhere near enough to even guess at this.


  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,697 ✭✭✭hometruths


    awec wrote: »
    We don't know anywhere near enough to even guess at this.

    Fair enough, but if that's true then we also don't know anywhere near enough to even guess that the levels of investment will remain at the high levels seen over the past decade.


  • Posts: 1,077 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    schmittel wrote: »
    Fair enough, but if that's true then we also don't know anywhere near enough to even guess that the levels of investment will remain at the high levels seen over the past decade.

    If Ireland can win the same level of investment in the next 10 years we've had for the last decade it will be a fantastic performance. I have my doubts though but here's hoping.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,000 ✭✭✭Hubertj


    schmittel wrote: »
    Fair enough, but if that's true then we also don't know anywhere near enough to even guess that the levels of investment will remain at the high levels seen over the past decade.

    We could engage in wild speculation and conspiracy theories to reach consensus on FDI for the next decade. More entertaining than just saying nobody knows.


  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,697 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Hubertj wrote: »
    We could engage in wild speculation and conspiracy theories to reach consensus on FDI for the next decade. More entertaining than just saying nobody knows.

    Again fair enough. But then equally the projections used to claim that demand will continue to outstrip supply are wild speculation and conspiracy theories.

    As you say, the truth is nobody knows.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,180 ✭✭✭✭cnocbui


    schmittel wrote: »
    Again fair enough. But then equally the projections used to claim that demand will continue to outstrip supply are wild speculation and conspiracy theories.

    As you say, the truth is nobody knows.

    460,000 adults still living with their parents rather indicates to me that no one needs to make 'claims' about demand outstripping supply.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,173 ✭✭✭Marius34


    schmittel wrote: »
    Again fair enough. But then equally the projections used to claim that demand will continue to outstrip supply are wild speculation and conspiracy theories.

    As you say, the truth is nobody knows.

    It would be wild speculation if we speak what's to happen in 5-10 years with demands/supplies. But we know we know what is happening now, and have an idea of near future, in terms of supply/demands.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 665 ✭✭✭josephsoap


    Hubertj wrote: »
    There ya go with the garden again!!


    Speaking of gardens,

    Some nice gardens with this property

    https://www.daft.ie/for-sale/bungalow-derrygoan-ballinamore-co-leitrim/3412430


  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,697 ✭✭✭hometruths


    cnocbui wrote: »
    460,000 adults still living with their parents rather indicates to me that no one needs to make 'claims' about demand outstripping supply.

    If those 460,000 are living with their parents because they are unable to afford a house at current prices, that is not demand but it is need as pointed out by another poster previously.

    My point is that if you say any sort of forecasts re future FDI are wild speculation and conspiracy theory, then surely any sort of forecasts re immigration are also wild speculation and conspiracy theory?

    And the idea that we need to build 30k units a year are in part based on immigration forecasts.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,173 ✭✭✭Marius34


    schmittel wrote: »
    If those 460,000 are living with their parents because they are unable to afford a house at current prices, that is not demand but it is need as pointed out by another poster previously.

    My point is that if you say any sort of forecasts re future FDI are wild speculation and conspiracy theory, then surely any sort of forecasts re immigration are also wild speculation and conspiracy theory?

    And the idea that we need to build 30k units a year are in part based on immigration forecasts.

    It's not conspiracy, it's calculated probability/estimates. The further you go in the years, the wilder it gets.
    Are we going to call weather forecast a conspiracy theory.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,000 ✭✭✭Hubertj


    schmittel wrote: »
    If those 460,000 are living with their parents because they are unable to afford a house at current prices, that is not demand but it is need as pointed out by another poster previously.

    My point is that if you say any sort of forecasts re future FDI are wild speculation and conspiracy theory, then surely any sort of forecasts re immigration are also wild speculation and conspiracy theory?

    And the idea that we need to build 30k units a year are in part based on immigration forecasts.

    So how should they forecast build requirements? It’s not like a tap or assembly line. As we have seen it take years to build up capacity. They can’t wait and see every year.

    And regarding the 460k adults living at home what does it mean? 18+? 21+? 25+?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 129 ✭✭Balluba


    I have viewed a property that is being sold by receivers. Does any poster have views on the extra risks attached by buying like this?


  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,697 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Hubertj wrote: »
    So how should they forecast build requirements? It’s not like a tap or assembly line. As we have seen it take years to build up capacity. They can’t wait and see every year.

    Whatever method they use, it should not be wild speculation and conspiracy theories, that's for sure.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,000 ✭✭✭Hubertj


    Balluba wrote: »
    I have viewed a property that is being sold by receivers. Does any poster have views on the extra risks attached by buying like this?

    I presume your solicitor will perfect the title and all that but I would also try to investigate who the previous owner was or how it came to be in the hands of a receiver…. Would neighbours or former owners etc have an issue with you purchasing from receiver… maybe I’m being paranoid


  • Registered Users, Subscribers, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,697 ✭✭✭hometruths


    Marius34 wrote: »
    It's not conspiracy, it's calculated probability/estimates. The further you go in the years, the wilder it gets.
    Are we going to call weather forecast a conspiracy theory.

    That's a different take, but also fair enough, to assume that projections are based on calculated probability/estimates.

    In which case it begs the question of whether calculating housing demand projections based on the probability/estimates of immigration numbers largely driven by one sector which is vulnerable to external shocks outside our control is really that different to the last time?

    In 2006 those making the projections could hardly be expected to have known the weaknesses in the global banking sector, which would bring the whole house of cards crashing down.

    They can hardly claim the potential tailwinds facing MNC investment were not flagged up.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 962 ✭✭✭James 007


    Your preference, €925K for a semi-d with a large rear garden a stroll away from the Dublin City Mortuary or for an extra €200K single two storey right beside the mortuary.:D

    https://www.daft.ie/property-for-sale/drumcondra-dublin/houses

    https://www.daft.ie/for-sale/detached-house-239-griffith-avenue-drumcondra-dublin-9/3412167

    I somehow prefer to have my last stroll up to the mortuary on a fine summers day & take the cheaper one, it looks better value, your thoughts:rolleyes:


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,604 ✭✭✭Amadan Dubh


    Its weird how quick the powers that be have moved with the tax rates although i'm sure years of ground work were required.

    I remember people here laughing at Props last year "every time a new president gets elected nothing ever changes" but this time it does feel somewhat substantial unfortunately for Ireland.

    One word; Brexit. The City of London and Crown dependencies facilitate significant shady financial activities, tax avoiding being one of those activities. You can bet that Ireland leveraged their close relationship with the UK to have some clout in defending our own dubious practices and of course the UK is able to stand up to the French and Germans. Without them in the EU we are in no position to defend ourselves as we are too reliant on the EU, moreso than they are on us. Just think about there being an Irish exit from the EU - would we have been able to get some compromise from the EU the way the UK did?

    Whatever chance there is to fight the G7 headline corporate tax rate reform, we are snookered when it comes to EU collective action as we are just going to have to take whatever we are given from the top table.


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