US Presidential Election 2020 Thread II - Judgement Day(s)

namloc1980 · 06-01-2021 02:02AM

Loeffler is proof that simply having an R next to your name gets votes. Awful candidate.

WoollyRedHat · 06-01-2021 02:04AM

Dems looking good for sweep here?

marno21 · 06-01-2021 02:04AM

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1346637547917762563

Many Dem districts trending more towards the Dems compared with Biden. Many GOP districts are having poor turnout and GOP candidates winning by less than Trump.

Looks like having no Trump on the ballot is an issue for GOP turnout.

WoollyRedHat · 06-01-2021 02:06AM

marno21 wrote: »

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1346637547917762563

Many Dem districts trending more towards the Dems compared with Biden. Many GOP districts are having poor turnout and GOP candidates winning by less than Trump.

Looks like having no Trump on the ballot is an issue for GOP turnout.

Republicans turning on Trump on live TV, delightful.

WoollyRedHat · 06-01-2021 02:08AM

When Trump said he needed 11k votes, maybe he was looking into a future ball for senate run-offs.

BonnieSituation · 06-01-2021 02:10AM

Overheal wrote: »

Am I looking at a clear Dem win or are we in for a “Red” shift?

GOP will win both the way the numbers are going.

50-50 now with 63% in.

I'd say they'll split them though.

The way the numbers are falling between both races, Loeffler is definitely not getting all of the Perdue votes.

06-01-2021 02:11AM

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

hmmm 90% are early votes - doesn't look great for dems then?

Looking that way. Should shift red as it goes on I reckon.

WoollyRedHat · 06-01-2021 02:13AM

GOP strategists disagree.

letowski · 06-01-2021 02:16AM

Loeffler is a beaten docket.

Rjd2 · 06-01-2021 02:18AM

WoollyRedHat wrote: »

Republicans turning on Trump on live TV, delightful.

They aren't though.

It's much more likely that weeks of Trump moaning about the election been supposedly stolen and how useless the Georgia GOP are has got through to his base and they have stayed at home.

BonnieSituation · 06-01-2021 02:18AM

Both Dems are running behind Biden's % with 87% counted in Fulton County (Atlanta).

Carfacemandog · 06-01-2021 02:19AM

BonnieSituation wrote: »

GOP will win both the way the numbers are going.

50-50 now with 63% in.

I'd say they'll split them though.

The way the numbers are falling between both races, Loeffler is definitely not getting all of the Perdue votes.

Interestingly, the democrat candidates are outperforming in about 90% of counties/vote blocks returned this far. The republican ones appear to have outperformed on just 3 of 40 (with a small handful going exactly as predicted), though there's obviously plenty left to go still.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/01/05/us/elections/forecast-georgia-senate-runoff.html

WoollyRedHat · 06-01-2021 02:20AM

Rjd2 wrote: »

They aren't though.

It's much more likely that weeks of Trump moaning about the election been supposedly stolen and how useless the Georgia GOP are has got through to his base and they have stayed at home.

One of republicans on CNN was pretty stinging in his criticism of Trump. Meant from party itself, not voter base.

namloc1980 · 06-01-2021 02:23AM

If these both turn blue Kamala Harris is going to be a busy woman presiding over the Senate.

Larbre34 · 06-01-2021 02:23AM

WoollyRedHat wrote: »

One of republicans on CNN was pretty stinging in his criticism of Trump. Meant from party itself, not voter base.

They've a funny way of showing it.

Larbre34 · 06-01-2021 02:28AM

[Deleted User] wrote: »

Looking that way. Should shift red as it goes on I reckon.

Nope.

Local TV affiliates already writing off Loeffler. The momentum isn't with Purdue either. Dems are outperforming in more than enough counties.

Jaded Walker · 06-01-2021 02:31AM

Warnock looking very strong, the concern is if Ossoff can pull it off.
Massive opportunity for great change in the next two years if the Dems pull it off.

letowski · 06-01-2021 02:33AM

Agreed, we were supposed to have some bit of a red mirage, especially after Cherokee county and other rural counties counted first.

It’s just mostly the cities of Atlanta and Savannah left now. Warnock is actually from Savannah himself. Loeffler is goosed, Perdue might hold on, but I don’t think so.

marno21 · 06-01-2021 02:33AM

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1346644503772463106

Sums it up. Lots of votes around Atlanlta yet to go.

06-01-2021 02:34AM

It's over. Republicans win both senate seats.

Larbre34 · 06-01-2021 02:36AM

namloc1980 wrote: »

If these both turn blue Kamala Harris is going to be a busy woman presiding over the Senate.

Not necessarily. Harris doesn't need to be there hardly at all. As majority leader Chuck Schumer will be elected President Pro Tempore of the Senate and Harris vote can be paired with a sympathetic Republican or two in exchange for some policy favours.

Don't forget, in order to move on from Trump, the Republicans can't spend the next 2 years just vainly obstructing the Dems, they need to redefine themselves and get policy items tabled. That requires crossing the aisle to get support.

Larbre34 · 06-01-2021 02:37AM

[Deleted User] wrote: »

It's over. Republicans win both senate seats.

Go back to sleep.

06-01-2021 02:40AM

Larbre34 wrote: »

Go back to sleep.

You are the lad dreaming.

Stop trying to play the intellectual and look at the reality.

BonnieSituation · 06-01-2021 02:42AM

[Deleted User] wrote: »

It's over. Republicans win both senate seats.

Care to elaborate on that statement?

BonnieSituation · 06-01-2021 02:44AM

marno21 wrote: »

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1346644503772463106

Sums it up. Lots of votes around Atlanlta yet to go.

Loads of small rural counties to come in around Columbus and Savannah. Might be just enough to keep Perdue afloat.

Loeffler is in danger.

MurDawg · 06-01-2021 02:44AM

Expecting a large shift towards dems

Fulton DeKalb atl dumps will shift the momentum

Warnock by 2% and Osoff by .9 based on my model. I'm off to bed. Looks secure for dems

06-01-2021 02:44AM

BonnieSituation wrote: »

Care to elaborate on that statement?

Are you watching the votes?

Rjd2 · 06-01-2021 02:44AM

Republicans are 15/1 to win both seats on the Betfair exchange, I'd be all over that if I thought they were going to win both seats.:o

BonnieSituation · 06-01-2021 02:45AM

[Deleted User] wrote: »

Are you watching the votes?

Grand. So you have nothing to add.

I'm watching the votes. But you made a a statement with no context. Common courtesy is for posters to actually say something worthy of discussion.

Carfacemandog · 06-01-2021 02:47AM

BonnieSituation wrote: »

Grand. So you have nothing to add.

I'm watching the votes. But you made a a statement with no context. Common courtesy is for posters to actually say something worthy of discussion.

Ah I wouldn't even feed it, to be honest. Same familiar tell tale signs are all there.

US Presidential Election 2020 Thread II - Judgement Day(s)

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