US Presidential Election 2020 Thread II - Judgement Day(s)

Tell me how · 06-01-2021 02:32AM

Timberrrrrrrr wrote: »

Any idea of when the full result will be in? Off work tomorrow but don't fancy pulling an all nighter like election night.

Follow a journalist who is commenting on this on social media and said that a result will not be in until at least tomorrow afternoon and possibly a few days if it is going to be close (which it looks to be) and his advice was that there is no need to stay up late tonight.

letowski · 06-01-2021 02:36AM

Good start by the Dems, in particular Warnock.

Turnout down in Republican areas by about 10-15%, plus the two incumbents aren’t meeting their November splits. However it’s still early days and we have no clue what’s going on in Atlanta.

BonnieSituation · 06-01-2021 02:47AM

Early vote expected to be 72% of overall vote

53D-47R (50% counted)

Of the votes currently in, 90% are early votes.

BonnieSituation · 06-01-2021 02:57AM

The lead tightening for the Dems.

Down to 52-48 now with 54% counted.

Overheal · 06-01-2021 02:57AM

Am I looking at a clear Dem win or are we in for a “Red” shift?

Brian? · 06-01-2021 02:59AM

Overheal wrote: »

Am I looking at a clear Dem win or are we in for a “Red” shift?

I’m guessing a marginal win for the Dems. But it’s going to be close.

Kermit.de.frog · 06-01-2021 03:00AM

BonnieSituation wrote: »

Early vote expected to be 72% of overall vote

53D-47R (50% counted)

Of the votes currently in, 90% are early votes.

hmmm 90% are early votes - doesn't look great for dems then?

marno21 · 06-01-2021 03:02AM

Last 600k votes have been from GOP districts (in line with expectations).

Lots of votes to come yet from Atlanta and the other blue areas.

namloc1980 · 06-01-2021 03:02AM

Loeffler is proof that simply having an R next to your name gets votes. Awful candidate.

WoollyRedHat · 06-01-2021 03:04AM

Dems looking good for sweep here?

marno21 · 06-01-2021 03:04AM

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1346637547917762563

Many Dem districts trending more towards the Dems compared with Biden. Many GOP districts are having poor turnout and GOP candidates winning by less than Trump.

Looks like having no Trump on the ballot is an issue for GOP turnout.

WoollyRedHat · 06-01-2021 03:06AM

marno21 wrote: »

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1346637547917762563

Many Dem districts trending more towards the Dems compared with Biden. Many GOP districts are having poor turnout and GOP candidates winning by less than Trump.

Looks like having no Trump on the ballot is an issue for GOP turnout.

Republicans turning on Trump on live TV, delightful.

WoollyRedHat · 06-01-2021 03:08AM

When Trump said he needed 11k votes, maybe he was looking into a future ball for senate run-offs.

BonnieSituation · 06-01-2021 03:10AM

Overheal wrote: »

Am I looking at a clear Dem win or are we in for a “Red” shift?

GOP will win both the way the numbers are going.

50-50 now with 63% in.

I'd say they'll split them though.

The way the numbers are falling between both races, Loeffler is definitely not getting all of the Perdue votes.

06-01-2021 03:11AM

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

hmmm 90% are early votes - doesn't look great for dems then?

Looking that way. Should shift red as it goes on I reckon.

WoollyRedHat · 06-01-2021 03:13AM

GOP strategists disagree.

letowski · 06-01-2021 03:16AM

Loeffler is a beaten docket.

Rjd2 · 06-01-2021 03:18AM

WoollyRedHat wrote: »

Republicans turning on Trump on live TV, delightful.

They aren't though.

It's much more likely that weeks of Trump moaning about the election been supposedly stolen and how useless the Georgia GOP are has got through to his base and they have stayed at home.

BonnieSituation · 06-01-2021 03:18AM

Both Dems are running behind Biden's % with 87% counted in Fulton County (Atlanta).

Carfacemandog · 06-01-2021 03:19AM

BonnieSituation wrote: »

GOP will win both the way the numbers are going.

50-50 now with 63% in.

I'd say they'll split them though.

The way the numbers are falling between both races, Loeffler is definitely not getting all of the Perdue votes.

Interestingly, the democrat candidates are outperforming in about 90% of counties/vote blocks returned this far. The republican ones appear to have outperformed on just 3 of 40 (with a small handful going exactly as predicted), though there's obviously plenty left to go still.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/01/05/us/elections/forecast-georgia-senate-runoff.html

WoollyRedHat · 06-01-2021 03:20AM

Rjd2 wrote: »

They aren't though.

It's much more likely that weeks of Trump moaning about the election been supposedly stolen and how useless the Georgia GOP are has got through to his base and they have stayed at home.

One of republicans on CNN was pretty stinging in his criticism of Trump. Meant from party itself, not voter base.

namloc1980 · 06-01-2021 03:23AM

If these both turn blue Kamala Harris is going to be a busy woman presiding over the Senate.

Larbre34 · 06-01-2021 03:23AM

WoollyRedHat wrote: »

One of republicans on CNN was pretty stinging in his criticism of Trump. Meant from party itself, not voter base.

They've a funny way of showing it.

Larbre34 · 06-01-2021 03:28AM

[Deleted User] wrote: »

Looking that way. Should shift red as it goes on I reckon.

Nope.

Local TV affiliates already writing off Loeffler. The momentum isn't with Purdue either. Dems are outperforming in more than enough counties.

Jaded Walker · 06-01-2021 03:31AM

Warnock looking very strong, the concern is if Ossoff can pull it off.
Massive opportunity for great change in the next two years if the Dems pull it off.

letowski · 06-01-2021 03:33AM

Agreed, we were supposed to have some bit of a red mirage, especially after Cherokee county and other rural counties counted first.

It’s just mostly the cities of Atlanta and Savannah left now. Warnock is actually from Savannah himself. Loeffler is goosed, Perdue might hold on, but I don’t think so.

marno21 · 06-01-2021 03:33AM

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1346644503772463106

Sums it up. Lots of votes around Atlanlta yet to go.

06-01-2021 03:34AM

It's over. Republicans win both senate seats.

Larbre34 · 06-01-2021 03:36AM

namloc1980 wrote: »

If these both turn blue Kamala Harris is going to be a busy woman presiding over the Senate.

Not necessarily. Harris doesn't need to be there hardly at all. As majority leader Chuck Schumer will be elected President Pro Tempore of the Senate and Harris vote can be paired with a sympathetic Republican or two in exchange for some policy favours.

Don't forget, in order to move on from Trump, the Republicans can't spend the next 2 years just vainly obstructing the Dems, they need to redefine themselves and get policy items tabled. That requires crossing the aisle to get support.

Larbre34 · 06-01-2021 03:37AM

[Deleted User] wrote: »

It's over. Republicans win both senate seats.

Go back to sleep.

US Presidential Election 2020 Thread II - Judgement Day(s)

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