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Trump vs Biden 2020, And the winner is.......... (pt 4) Read OP

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Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 477 ✭✭AlphaDelta1


    ABC had a poll out last week that had Biden winning Wisconsin by 17 points. Opps


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 24,146 Mod ✭✭✭✭robinph


    Really interesting looking at the county voting in Nevada.

    Joe Biden is leading only 1 county yet leading overall.



    https://www.cbsnews.com/elections/2020/nevada/president/

    Most of those red bit might only have 1000 or less people in an area the size of Ireland, so yeah, the one county with all the people living in Las Vegas counts for more.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,517 ✭✭✭RobitTV


    Just cashed out on Paddy Power, I'm not willing to go through this any longer.

    I originally betted 225 euro and got back 296.48 when I cashed out.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,449 ✭✭✭✭namloc1980


    threeball wrote: »
    I said the same here last week and that Trump would claim victory prematurely then pursue it through the courts.

    Pursue what exactly - they already went to the Supreme Court and lost on mail in votes in Pennsylvania. He's kind of running out of room.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,052 ✭✭✭kg703


    wonga77 wrote: »
    This, pp and so on are only taking small bets and in no way indicate much. Betfair has 463 million matched on the one market alone, there's astronomical money being won and lost there. You can be sure the traders at pp are keeping a close eye on the exchanges for their prices

    They are the same company so... probably :D


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,588 ✭✭✭derfderf


    namloc1980 wrote: »
    Of course back in the real world jobs and economic growth are more likely under a Democratic president than a Republican. In fact job contraction is a feature of Republican presidents (Trump / Bush Jnr / Bush Snr). Economic growth and job creation happens under Democrats (e.g. Clinton / Obama).

    Ridiculous comment. Trump had the economy booming until this year. There's not a candidate in history that would have kept it going through COVID.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,394 ✭✭✭✭Professor Moriarty


    derfderf wrote: »
    Ridiculous comment. Trump had the economy booming until this year. There's not a candidate in history that would have kept it going through COVID.

    Had the deficit booming too.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,792 ✭✭✭threeball


    namloc1980 wrote: »
    Pursue what exactly - they already went to the Supreme Court and lost on mail in votes in Pennsylvania. He's kind of running out of room.

    You haven't being paying attention the last 4yrs if you don't think they can work an angle. He has the AG and SC on his side once they come up with one.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,748 ✭✭✭ExMachina1000


    derfderf wrote: »
    Ridiculous comment. Trump had the economy booming until this year. There's not a candidate in history that would have kept it going through COVID.

    GDP was down 36 percent. Has rebounded 33 percent. No other nation on the planet has had such recovery.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,449 ✭✭✭✭namloc1980


    derfderf wrote: »
    Ridiculous comment. Trump had the economy booming until this year. There's not a candidate in history that would have kept it going through COVID.

    Not ridiculous at all. Look at job numbers and economic growth under Clinton and Obama versus the 2 Bushes and Trump - it's striking how much better the economy does under Democratic presidents. Put aside your bias and do some research.

    But of course I know if you just totally ignore the disaster for the last 8 months everything is rosy. You Trumpists are hilarious.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,792 ✭✭✭threeball


    derfderf wrote: »
    Ridiculous comment. Trump had the economy booming until this year. There's not a candidate in history that would have kept it going through COVID.

    Trump had nothing booming, the first two years of any presidency the economics are entirely dependent on the predecessors decisions.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,371 ✭✭✭✭hotmail.com


    It turns out a significant amount of black and other minorities in America either aren't bothered by racial equality or believe Trump isn't as bad as he is made out to be.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,725 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    RobitTV wrote: »
    Just cashed out on Paddy Power, I'm not willing to go through this any longer.

    I originally betted 225 euro and got back 296.48 when I cashed out.

    zGHQb4O.gif?2


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Why did the poles get it so wrong does anyone think?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,250 ✭✭✭✭extra gravy


    ABC had a poll out last week that had Biden winning Wisconsin by 17 points. Opps

    Why are you still talking about the polls? It's the votes that matter now.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,940 ✭✭✭SuprSi


    mariaalice wrote: »
    Why did the poles get it so wrong does anyone think?

    Maybe it was a language thing ;)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,449 ✭✭✭✭namloc1980


    threeball wrote: »
    You haven't being paying attention the last 4yrs if you don't think they can work an angle. He has the AG and SC on his side once they come up with one.

    He lost in the Supreme Court just last week on Pennsylvania - "his" Supreme Court. The AG can't overrule the Supreme Court. It came as a shock to Trump that the judges on the Court actually upheld the law and didn't pull a stroke for him.

    https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-says-supreme-court-decision-on-pennsylvania-ballots-is-dangerous-will-induce-violence


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 220 ✭✭holdyerhorses


    derfderf wrote: »
    Ridiculous comment. Trump had the economy booming until this year. There's not a candidate in history that would have kept it going through COVID.

    Amazing that he managed to keep an 8 year bull market and booming economy going for another couple of years.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,025 ✭✭✭✭y0ssar1an22


    mariaalice wrote: »
    Why did the poles get it so wrong does anyone think?

    trump supporters can get heavily lambasted so maybe they didnt answer truthfully. 1 of a myriad of reasons i suppose


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,639 ✭✭✭completedit


    mariaalice wrote: »
    Why did the poles get it so wrong does anyone think?

    Democrats more empathetic and thus, more likely to entertain opinion polls?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,792 ✭✭✭threeball


    mariaalice wrote: »
    Why did the poles get it so wrong does anyone think?

    They set up a country between the Germans and the Ruskies. That was a recipe for disaster.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 162 ✭✭cave_dweller


    If Biden can win it today without needing Pennsylvania it will be best for everyone because PA will take a few days to sort and it will just rumble and rumble. Trump's nonsense will be a lot less effective if PA isn't in play.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 8,492 ✭✭✭Sir Oxman


    Why are you still talking about the polls? It's the votes that matter now.
    Oh maybe to highlight the fact they are utterly useless and are sometimes used as a propaganda tool?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,280 ✭✭✭✭Eric Cartman


    Trump ahead in NC , PA and the state a poster said to me they'd eat a hat if he won , MI . Very optimistic for don. Already smashed the ‘landslide biden win’ some projected


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,819 ✭✭✭Mr Velo


    mariaalice wrote: »
    Why did the poles get it so wrong does anyone think?

    Leave the poor Poles alone - they had nothing to do with this.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 477 ✭✭AlphaDelta1


    It turns out a significant amount of black and other minorities in America wither aren't bothered by racial equality or believe Trump isn't as bad as he is made out to be.

    Trump has been good for blacks. People presume black people aren't smart for some reason and can't see through the media BS about the President, they can and realize he's doing an outstanding job.

    Also the majority of blacks aren't interested in the Democrats defund the police message. They want security not anarchy


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,133 ✭✭✭eviltimeban


    Wisconsin looks to be sealed by Biden.

    Trump is leading in many counties wth low % results but Biden is leading in the high population areas and will likely drown out the lower population.

    But WI "only" has 10 EC votes. PA has 20 and GA has 16, and Trump is leading in both those areas. I don't know how Biden will do it if Trump takes PA and GA?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 8,492 ✭✭✭Sir Oxman


    namloc1980 wrote: »
    He lost in the Supreme Court just last week on Pennsylvania - "his" Supreme Court. The AG can't overrule the Supreme Court. It came as a shock to Trump that the judges on the Court actually upheld the law and didn't pull a stroke for him.

    https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-says-supreme-court-decision-on-pennsylvania-ballots-is-dangerous-will-induce-violence
    It sort of dumps the scweaming and scweaming over the court, doesn't it?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,885 ✭✭✭DeanAustin


    Amazing that he managed to keep an 8 year bull market and booming economy going for another couple of years.

    The market has gone to record levels by some distance looking at any of the indices under his presidency to be fair and that's held up through a global pandemic. I'm no Trump fan but that's a fact.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,025 ✭✭✭✭y0ssar1an22


    Why would a pollster lambast someone though?

    no idea tbh. but that secret trump vote obviously dont want to share their opinion with pollsters.


This discussion has been closed.
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