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US Presidential Election 2020

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Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,748 ✭✭✭ExMachina1000


    As the election draws closer Trumps chances seem to be improving consistently.

    The upcoming debates should highlight bidens
    alleged cognitive issues and push Trump that little bit closer or perhaps even ahead


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,912 ✭✭✭✭Timberrrrrrrr


    As the election draws closer Trumps chances seem to be improving consistently.

    The upcoming debates should highlight bidens
    alleged cognitive issues
    and push Trump that little bit closer or perhaps even ahead


    Alleged by whom? Do you have any fears about Trumps "cognitive issues"?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,544 ✭✭✭droidus


    As the election draws closer Trumps chances seem to be improving consistently.

    The upcoming debates should highlight bidens
    alleged cognitive issues and push Trump that little bit closer or perhaps even ahead

    Yeah, thats not true. Biden up +9 in today's yougov poll, +12 nationally in both the USC tracker and Ipsos and broadly up in all the swing states.

    WRT cognitive issues - it would be crazy to deny that Biden has problems there, but at the same time, he can at least walk down a ramp and drink a glass of water with one hand.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,291 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    The revelations just keep on coming.

    https://twitter.com/CNNPolitics/status/1303723191689510916?s=20

    Having them on tape won't make any difference to MAGA supporters. After all, having Trump on tape saying McCain was a loser didn't make a blind bit of difference.

    Elect a clown... Expect a circus



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 22,888 Mod ✭✭✭✭Brian?


    Water John wrote: »
    If I remember right, Clinton's odds of winning was 85% and Trump's was 15% and he beat the odds.

    It was 71/29 on fivethirtyeight. Clinton was slightly favoured to win.

    they/them/theirs


    The more you can increase fear of drugs and crime, welfare mothers, immigrants and aliens, the more you control all of the people.

    Noam Chomsky



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  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 22,888 Mod ✭✭✭✭Brian?


    As the election draws closer Trumps chances seem to be improving consistently.

    The upcoming debates should highlight bidens
    alleged cognitive issues and push Trump that little bit closer or perhaps even ahead

    Improving? That's categorically incorrect. Last week he had a 31% chance, now he has a 26% chance. Biden has gone from slightly favoured to favoured on the 538 model.

    The model that predicted 49/50 states correctly last time out.

    they/them/theirs


    The more you can increase fear of drugs and crime, welfare mothers, immigrants and aliens, the more you control all of the people.

    Noam Chomsky



  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,748 ✭✭✭ExMachina1000


    everlast75 wrote: »
    The revelations just keep on coming.

    https://twitter.com/CNNPolitics/status/1303723191689510916?s=20

    Having them on tape won't make any difference to MAGA supporters. After all, having Trump on tape saying McCain was a loser didn't make a blind bit of difference.

    They are really pulling them out of the back of the wardrobe now. Desperation season has begun.

    Nothing will stick.
    Trump is teflon. Biden is flannel


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 22,888 Mod ✭✭✭✭Brian?


    They are really pulling them out of the back of the wardrobe now. Desperation season has begun.

    Nothing will stick.
    Trump is teflon. Biden is flannel

    Have you ever tried looking at data instead of basing your opinion on feeling? I think you should have a look here:

    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/


    A few weeks ago I was worried Trump was going to close the gap and win. I am still worried it could happen, but every week I get less worried.

    they/them/theirs


    The more you can increase fear of drugs and crime, welfare mothers, immigrants and aliens, the more you control all of the people.

    Noam Chomsky



  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,748 ✭✭✭ExMachina1000


    Brian? wrote: »
    Have you ever tried looking at data instead of basing your opinion on feeling? I think you should have a look here:

    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/


    A few weeks ago I was worried Trump was going to close the gap and win. I am still worried it could happen, but every week I get less worried.

    I wouldn't be worried either way. I don't really rate that website


  • Posts: 6,559 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Alleged by whom? Do you have any fears about Trumps "cognitive issues"?

    Infowars are pushing that line which is pretty telling...


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,109 ✭✭✭TomOnBoard


    everlast75 wrote: »
    Mr. "I may pump $100 million into my own re-election campaign" is pulling resources from the Government to defend himself against a rape allegation too..

    https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/1303474224506511360?s=19

    This is ****ing bizarre **** and is truly out there in terms of bat**** crazy, bad drugs nightmare scenarios that Mad Max land would have thought too far-fetched to contemplate.

    Like, you have a sexual assault victim who was allegedly defamed by her attacker, and is bringing a CIVIL case against that attacker, AND the attacker is trying to use the Government to shield his actions by bringing the ENTIRE WEIGHT of the Justice system down on the victim 's head, clearly designed to intimidate her! And Billl Barr is up to his neck in it!

    'Merica, Wake the **** Up!!! This must not be allowed to stand!


  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,916 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    TomOnBoard wrote: »
    This is ****ing bizarre **** and is truly out there in terms of bat**** crazy, bad drugs nightmare scenarios that Mad Max land would have thought too far-fetched to contemplate.

    Like, you have a sexual assault victim who was allegedly defamed by her attacker, and is bringing a CIVIL case against that attacker, AND the attacker is trying to use the Government to shield his actions by bringing the ENTIRE WEIGHT of the Justice system down on the victim 's head, clearly designed to intimidate her! And Billl Barr is up to his neck in it!

    'Merica, Wake the **** Up!!! This must not be allowed to stand!

    The thing is , it won't stand , they know it won't stand , but that's not the point.

    Like every other legal tactic by Trump it's not about winning in court - He almost never ever does.

    It's about delaying things so much that the other side gives up , or in the this case , the case gets delayed out to beyond the Election.

    Barr is absolutely complicit is using the DOJ to facilitate this and he should be held accountable


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,019 ✭✭✭✭duploelabs


    Infowars are pushing that line which is pretty telling...

    Not to mention that it's also a planted russian story by the IRA (not the 'Ra)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,544 ✭✭✭droidus


    Lads, Biden is not all there, there's a ton of video evidence to back this up. just because its being pushed by the right and conspiracists, doesn't mean it isn't true.

    https://youtu.be/gXvwumYE7_s


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 29,961 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    I wouldn't be worried either way. I don't really rate that website

    You don't rate the website that rated Trump's chances of victory in 2016 higher than pretty much everyone else?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,291 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    droidus wrote: »
    Lads, Biden is not all there, there's a ton of video evidence to back this up. just because its being pushed by the right and conspiracists, doesn't mean it isn't true.

    https://youtu.be/gXvwumYE7_s

    Nuke a hurricane.

    Windmills give you cancer.

    Sharpie a map.

    Stare into the sun.

    Hamburder. Covfefe.

    Never mind Person. Woman. Man. Camera. TV.

    I'll go with Pot. Kettle. Black.

    Elect a clown... Expect a circus



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 24,277 Mod ✭✭✭✭Chips Lovell


    Mod Note

    Drop the "Biden is senile/Biden has cognitive issues" posts please. If medical evidence of such comes out, then it becomes an election talking point, but until then, it's not.

    Remember, the charter states:
    Deliberately misleading posts or posters aiming to spread misinformation will be sanctioned. We do not expect posters to be experts in all areas, however, the onus is on all posters to fact check their information. If a poster is corrected, or information corrected in a thread, any poster who continues to relate misinformation as fact will be sanctioned.


  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 24,277 Mod ✭✭✭✭Chips Lovell


    Mod Note

    And before we go any further, please do read the charter. If you're just here to take potshots at other users, think twice before posting.
    High standards of debate and quality posts / threads are required. Repeated one liner, low quality style posts will result in a ban. Threads (and posts) that are not based on serious and legitimate Political discussion will be deleted without warning.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,291 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/status/1303745068709355521?s=19

    This is Comical Ali stuff. Tanks rolling down the road behind while insisting "everything is fine!"

    Elect a clown... Expect a circus



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 22,888 Mod ✭✭✭✭Brian?


    I wouldn't be worried either way. I don't really rate that website

    Why don't you rate it? The model has been proven to be pretty accurate repeatedly.

    they/them/theirs


    The more you can increase fear of drugs and crime, welfare mothers, immigrants and aliens, the more you control all of the people.

    Noam Chomsky



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  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 24,277 Mod ✭✭✭✭Chips Lovell


    Mod Note

    Final warning. Drop the "cognitive issues" line. That applies to all candidates.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,776 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    Quin_Dub wrote: »
    The thing is , it won't stand , they know it won't stand , but that's not the point.

    Like every other legal tactic by Trump it's not about winning in court - He almost never ever does.

    It's about delaying things so much that the other side gives up , or in the this case , the case gets delayed out to beyond the Election.

    Barr is absolutely complicit is using the DOJ to facilitate this and he should be held accountable

    Interesting analysis here in Slate: https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2020/09/e-jean-carroll-trump-doj-response.html


    Basically, the DOJ is stating Trump's actions in the past, are immune from lawsuit now, because he's President. Cool, eh? President Biden, should that come to pass, can't be sued for anything done previously as they would be 'Presidential Acts' by the curious interpretation the DOJ is pulling.

    And this other tidbit is great from that article: "At long last, Trump’s defenders are formally acknowledging that the sexual predator on the Access Hollywood tape is who the president really is"


    Definitely worth the read. And, I agree this is all about delay delay delay. I expect that if the case lingers into 2021 (likely) and the #IMPOTUS is mercifully no longer the President, the lawsuits will fly fast and thick.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,264 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    Biden comes out strongly and supports Irl and Withdrawal Agreement.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,333 ✭✭✭✭MadYaker


    Brian? wrote: »
    Why don't you rate it? The model has been proven to be pretty accurate repeatedly.

    It’s because it’s not telling him the things he wants to hear.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,849 ✭✭✭Brussels Sprout


    https://twitter.com/jonfavs/status/1303896652965584896


    Those Woodward tape quotes are pretty bad. I'm not naive enough to think it's going to affect the vast majority of Trump voters but it doesn't have it. It just needs to sway a small % of undecided in a few key states.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,019 ✭✭✭✭duploelabs


    https://twitter.com/jonfavs/status/1303896652965584896


    Those Woodward tape quotes are pretty bad. I'm not naive enough to think it's going to affect the vast majority of Trump voters but it doesn't have it. It just needs to sway a small % of undecided in a few key states.

    Don't forget the caravan coming up to the border that we supposedly had for the house and senate elections two years ago


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,291 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    https://twitter.com/jonfavs/status/1303896652965584896


    Those Woodward tape quotes are pretty bad. I'm not naive enough to think it's going to affect the vast majority of Trump voters but it doesn't have it. It just needs to sway a small % of undecided in a few key states.

    Tucker's threw Lindsey Graham under the bus last night.

    So Tucker's question is not..
    "Why did Trump do this horrible thing?"

    His question is..
    "Who let Trump admit to doing this horrible thing?"

    Elect a clown... Expect a circus



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,867 ✭✭✭EltonJohn69


    everlast75 wrote: »
    Tucker's threw Lindsey Graham under the bus last night.

    So Tucker's question is not..
    "Why did Trump do this horrible thing?"

    His question is..
    "Who let Trump admit to doing this horrible thing?"


    Horrible thing = let Trump do an interview ?? Ha ha ha


  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,916 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    everlast75 wrote: »
    Tucker's threw Lindsey Graham under the bus last night.

    So Tucker's question is not..
    "Why did Trump do this horrible thing?"

    His question is..
    "Who let Trump admit to doing this horrible thing?"

    Hannity went for a different angle.

    He tried the "Trump is like FDR" approach.

    He actually (mis)quoted FDR saying "We have nothing to fear but fear itself" and tried to say that Trump was adhering to that mantra by lying to everyone so that they wouldn't fear fear or something..

    The chyron while he was spouting that guff was "Hannitys History Lesson"!!!!


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,291 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    Quin_Dub wrote: »
    Hannity went for a different angle.

    He tried the "Trump is like FDR" approach.

    He actually (mis)quoted FDR saying "We have nothing to fear but fear itself" and tried to say that Trump was adhering to that mantra by lying to everyone so that they wouldn't fear fear or something..

    The chyron while he was spouting that guff was "Hannitys History Lesson"!!!!

    Yep! Trump is all about making sure people don't panic. That's credible....

    Elect a clown... Expect a circus



This discussion has been closed.
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