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US Presidential Election 2020

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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,664 ✭✭✭sid waddell


    Water John wrote: »
    Don't have that slant on CNN, in fairness. Their figures on an entrance poll in Nevada shows Sanders is also taking a good share of the moderates and many union members despite their leaders advocating against Sanders.
    Which is quite understandable because Medicare For All is far better for them than any health insurance plan that can be negotiated for them by a union.

    And that's as good as it gets in terms of health insurance.


  • Posts: 13,688 ✭✭✭✭ Remy Calm Strikeout


    Bernie is now favourite to win in South Carolina. Wasn't too long ago that that was a trot home for Biden.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,664 ✭✭✭sid waddell


    You exact quote was "self proclaimed centrists will generally side with a fascist against mild social democracy".

    This is absurd nonsense, let alone being highly offensive. I am a self proclaimed centrist and believe in mild social democracy. Literally most Democrats I know in the US would say the same. I may disagree with some of Bernie's proposals, especially on health care, but I would still vote for him in the national election.

    Who are these Democrats that side with fascists? If you are suggesting Democrats would vote for Trump rather than Bernie, you are simply incorrect.

    Well, MSNBC, the so called "liberal network" is now openly saying the same thing as myself. You may be offended but reality doesn't care about your offence.

    https://twitter.com/People4Bernie/status/1231310971546693632?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1231310971546693632&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fs9e.github.io%2Fiframe%2F2%2Ftwitter.min.html%231231310971546693632


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 136 ✭✭DreamsBurnDown


    Well, MSNBC, the so called "liberal network" is now openly saying the same thing as myself. You may be offended but reality doesn't care about your offence.

    So, because you believe one TV pundit (who I happen to think has long ago lost his marbles) agrees with you, you now believe your position to be correct?

    My reality is based on living in the US and listening to a wide spectrum of views, not just those that agree with me. In my experience the #1 priority of Democrats and certainly all the Democrats I know is defeating Trump. Conspiracy theories based on one out of touch TV pundit don't influence my thinking.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,664 ✭✭✭sid waddell


    So, because you believe one TV pundit (who I happen to think has long ago lost his marbles) agrees with you, you now believe your position to be correct?

    My reality is based on living in the US and listening to a wide spectrum of views, not just those that agree with me. In my experience the #1 priority of Democrats and certainly all the Democrats I know is defeating Trump. Conspiracy theories based on one out of touch TV pundit don't influence my thinking.
    You said no "centrist" Democrats would even consider supporting Trump rather than Sanders. You said even the notion was "offensive".

    I showed you the TV network most associated with the Democratic party openly touting that they would.

    Yet you now call this a "conspiracy theory", despite me giving an obvious and real example of the exact thing I was talking about, happening live on US television.

    In your last few posts, you've used "conspiracy theory", "tinfoil hat", "absurd nonsense", "loons" etc. against people who you disagree with who are making entirely reasonable points. These responses are not arguments. They're terms used to shut down arguments with empty rhetoric with more than a hint of aggression in them.

    It doesn't show much of a willingness to debate, only to shout down those you disagree with.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 128 ✭✭Red for Danger


    So, because you believe one TV pundit (who I happen to think has long ago lost his marbles) agrees with you, you now believe your position to be correct?

    My reality is based on living in the US and listening to a wide spectrum of views, not just those that agree with me. In my experience the #1 priority of Democrats and certainly all the Democrats I know is defeating Trump. Conspiracy theories based on one out of touch TV pundit don't influence my thinking.

    Hillary Clinton first said "i wont go there just yet" when asked would she support sanders in the general. She said something about having concerns about an atmosphere of sexism that seems to surround his campaigns. Came back later in the day an said she'd support whoever's the dem nominee.
    Some thanks, remember he did 39 rallies for her and continued on working to get her elected while she sent her minions out to write lies about him.

    Donnie deutche who i'd consider a prominent centrist, he has a show on msnbc and a regular contributor to various shows on cable news said, he'd vote for trump before sanders, until joe Scarborough got him to half walk it back.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 136 ✭✭DreamsBurnDown


    You said no "centrist" Democrats would even consider supporting Trump rather than Sanders. You said even the notion was "offensive".

    I showed you the TV network most associated with the Democratic party openly touting that they would.

    No I said you referring to centrist Democrats as siding with fascists was offensive, which it is, and frankly I have never heard such a ludicrous statement here in the US from any Democratic supporter. I'm sure one would see it on Twitter, but you can find any kind of extremist views in that cesspool.

    There are obviously differences of opinion within the Democratic party and Democratic voters on policies, but favoring Trump over any Democratic candidate isn't one of them. The idea that centrist Democrats would prefer Trump to win rather than Sanders is a conspiracy theory. One pundit on TV noted for some pretty whacky statements while thinking aloud is a pretty weak argument to back up your claim that centrist Democrats side with fascism.

    It was pure baseless speculation on his part not based on reality. I'll take it seriously if I start to hear it from other pundits, I suspect we won't.

    If what you say is true, and centrist Democrats favor Trump over Sanders, then we Democrats shouldn't choose Sanders as clearly he would lose. If centrist Democrats were to favor Trump, Independents would even more strongly favor him and he would win in a landslide.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 136 ✭✭DreamsBurnDown


    Hillary Clinton first said "i wont go there just yet" when asked would she support sanders in the general. She said something about having concerns about an atmosphere of sexism that seems to surround his campaigns. Came back later in the day an said she'd support whoever's the dem nominee.
    Some thanks, remember he did 39 rallies for her and continued on working to get her elected while she sent her minions out to write lies about him.

    Clinton needs to get over the fact she lost in 2016, it certainly wasn't Bernie's fault she lost, that's on her. To be honest I would like to see her stay out of the media, don't think she is helping.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,664 ✭✭✭sid waddell


    No I said you referring to centrist Democrats as siding with fascists was offensive, which it is, and frankly I have never heard such a ludicrous statement here in the US from any Democratic supporter. I'm sure one would see it on Twitter, but you can find any kind of extremist views in that cesspool.

    There are obviously differences of opinion within the Democratic party and Democratic voters on policies, but favoring Trump over any Democratic candidate isn't one of them. The idea that centrist Democrats would prefer Trump to win rather than Sanders is a conspiracy theory. One pundit on TV noted for some pretty whacky statements while thinking aloud is a pretty weak argument to back up your claim that centrist Democrats side with fascism.

    It was pure baseless speculation on his part not based on reality. I'll take it seriously if I start to hear it from other pundits, I suspect we won't.

    If what you say is true, and centrist Democrats favor Trump over Sanders, then we Democrats shouldn't choose Sanders as clearly he would lose. If centrist Democrats were to favor Trump, Independents would even more strongly favor him and he would win in a landslide.

    Trump fulfils all the key criteria of a fascist. And here we are with corporate Democrats openly touting for him.

    It's not my fault if you refuse to see the wood for the trees and refuse to see what's literally in front of your eyes.

    But it does preclude debating with you becaues you're obviously 100% certain you're right, despite the facts proving otherwise.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 136 ✭✭DreamsBurnDown


    Trump fulfils all the key criteria of a fascist. And here we are with corporate Democrats openly touting for him.

    It's not my fault if you refuse to see the wood for the trees and refuse to see what's literally in front of your eyes.

    But it does preclude debating with you becasue you're obviously 100% certain you're right, despite me literally displaying how you aren't.

    Off you go then.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,664 ✭✭✭sid waddell


    Presuming Bernie Sanders becomes the nominee - and apparently no candidate has ever before won competitive popular votes in all of Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada - I think he should make a big play of being the ideological heir to FDR.

    The fashion now in the US seems to be to look to the past in order to look to the future - I don't like that but it's where the ground seems to be. But the past that Trump looked to was dark, dystopian, divisive and exclusionary.

    FDR along with Lincoln is the most unimpeachable president in US history, universally revered. A Democrat, a moderniser, in US terms almost a revolutionary, and, most useful when taking on Trump and a military-obsessed Republican party, a war hero, the man who won "the good war" for America (and is pretty much untainted by the atomic bomb because he died before it was used).

    One of the reasons Sinn Fein can make left populism thrive here is that there is no question aboout their nationalism. In Britain, one of Corbyn's main failings with the electorate was that he was anti-empire and therefore, farcically, seen as anti-English or anti-British by a public who have had the supposed virtue of empire force fed to them their whole lives.

    Given that the Trump and the Republicans (who openly encourage Russian interference and ruthlessly purge anybody who speaks up about it) will likely try and pull one of their typical bait and switch projection moves to try and portray Sanders as a Russian asset, an association with a figure who is all-American, unimpeachably American, who walked the walk for America and for freedom, might be an effective counter to that and indeed provide avenues to attack Trump.

    So if Sanders references and invokes FDR regularly and portrays himself as the modern FDR, he steals some the exact ground that Trump created for himself last time, but in a much more positive, all-American way - there's your slogan - Bernie Sanders - the all-American president.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,267 ✭✭✭✭Rjd2


    Bernie looks really strong now.

    I assume the corporate dems will step up the screaming of PUTIN@!!!!! at him but I don't think his core base really are to bothered about the Maddow conspiracy obsessed audience.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 128 ✭✭Red for Danger


    Rjd2 wrote: »
    Bernie looks really strong now.

    I assume the corporate dems will step up the screaming of PUTIN@!!!!! at him but I don't think his core base really are to bothered about the Maddow conspiracy obsessed audience.

    They're trying all they know, they can't bring him down.
    Every failed attack weakens them. If they keep on the way their going, soon enough nobody will be listening.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,023 ✭✭✭✭Joe_ Public


    Sanders seems to have won in almost every demographic, thumpingly so in several categories. Obviously is doing well with moderate voters which bodes well. One exception is the over 65s where biden holds sway and sanders is only around 10%. Slight worry there.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Sanders seems to have won in almost every demographic, thumpingly so in several categories. Obviously is doing well with moderate voters which bodes well. One exception is the over 65s where biden holds sway and sanders is only around 10%. Slight worry there.
    Very early days and very few delegates committed so far. SC is next and Biden would be expected to do a lot better there. Super Tuesday in just over a week should give a much clearer sense of where people's allegiances may lie.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,023 ✭✭✭✭Joe_ Public


    is_that_so wrote: »
    Very early days and very few delegates committed so far. SC is next and Biden would be expected to do a lot better there. Super Tuesday in just over a week should give a much clearer sense of where people's allegiances may lie.

    If he cant win SC i dont know what hope would be left for him. That was supposed to be a slam dunk state for him, he's always had a clear lead in the polls but that's shrinking all the time. All the pressure on biden now.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 128 ✭✭Red for Danger


    is_that_so wrote: »
    Very early days and very few delegates committed so far. SC is next and Biden would be expected to do a lot better there. Super Tuesday in just over a week should give a much clearer sense of where people's allegiances may lie.

    Well those bidan fans should be absolutely elated today because after about 30 years of running for president the best he has ever done anywhere ever is 4th place. A 2nd place finish should bring the "electable Biden's" supporters onto the streets in celebration.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,046 ✭✭✭✭briany


    Kind of related to your post but here's what I don't get about the "moderate" Democrats: If you want moderate progressive policies you need to aim for strongly progressive policies.

    I follow your logic, a kind of 'aim for the stars and you'll hit the moon' type of thing, but American politics is so partisan that it follows the theory of 'any action must have an equal, opposite reaction'.

    Both sides are at it. While Trump and his cronies are still crazier, things like Nancy Pelosi ripping up Trump's speech behind him have firmly dragged the Dems into an arena of pettiness that only exacerbates this vicious cycle of paranoia and recrimination.

    If America wants progressive policies, the best thing they can do is vote in progressive representatives and not rely too much on the POTUS to sidestep the whole legislative procedure with executive orders.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,664 ✭✭✭sid waddell


    briany wrote: »
    I follow your logic, a kind of 'aim for the stars and you'll hit the moon' type of thing, but American politics is so partisan that it follows the theory of 'any action must have an equal, opposite reaction'.

    Both sides are at it. While Trump and his cronies are still crazier, things like Nancy Pelosi ripping up Trump's speech behind him have firmly dragged the Dems into an arena of pettiness that only exacerbates this vicious cycle of paranoia and recrimination.

    If America wants progressive policies, the best thing they can do is vote in progressive representatives and not rely too much on the POTUS to sidestep the whole legislative procedure with executive orders.

    I'm not sure how much worse the "Republican reaction" can get or if it's even possible for it to get worse, they've veered so far towards craziness.

    Bipartisanship in US politics is dead and has been dead for a long time and that's down to the Republican party and the Republican party alone. That was the inevitable upshot of the Southern Strategy in which they explicitly embraced racism as a strategy. What we have been seeing for decades from the Republicans and their associated media is a desperate bid to sustain white power in US society in the face of the US becoming a majority minority country. They became organised and ruthless at every level while the Democrats completely took their eye off the ball.

    The Republicans decided to go to war with Democrats and they will not stop. To win a war you have to destroy your opponents and the Republicans depend on destroying the ethnic minority poor, breaking their spirit, stacking the courts with right wing crazies, making inequality so great that there is no hope.

    The Democrats can't win a war by playing nice and attempting to compromise. There is no compromise possible. You have to declare war back, be ruthless and get organised at every level. We've really only seen signs of this since Trump came to power but realistically the project facing the Democratic party is a minimum two decades long one. You need to win state houses, state senates, governorships, literally everything you can get your hands on. That's the only way you can change the country.

    Demographics in the medium to longer term are on the Democrats' side, but you can't just wait for power, you have to be organised and ruthless at every level like the Republicans have been.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,838 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    The odds guy on CNN last night said Biden had a 1 in 10 chance of a path to nomination, Sanders had a 7 in 10 chance of being the nominee.

    Interesting John Dean commented that he didn't see people flip flopping voting between Dems and GOP, what he saw as flip flops were people who may vote Dems or stay at home.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,046 ✭✭✭✭briany


    Water John wrote: »
    The odds guy on CNN last night said Biden had a 1 in 10 chance of a path to nomination, Sanders had a 7 in 10 chance of being the nominee.

    Interesting John Dean commented that he didn't see people flip flopping voting between Dems and GOP, what he saw as flip flops were people who may vote Dems or stay at home.

    I've heard people say that polls give Sanders a huge chance of beating Trump if he becomes the nominee. I've also heard the same thing said of Biden (and he brought this up himself) and Bloomberg.

    So you've experts saying that they could all beat Trump, and then you have this idea that Trump could win well because the economy under him has been at a high level and maybe when it comes down to it people care more about the ability to pay bills than whether their president says mad stuff on Twitter.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,838 ✭✭✭✭Water John


    But the majority of Americans can't carry an unexpected medical bill of €800.
    The stock exchange and shares on the rise, but having to work 2/3 jobs to make enough to meet ends, is the reality for most Americans under Trump.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,031 ✭✭✭✭duploelabs


    Water John wrote: »
    But the majority of Americans can't carry an unexpected medical bill of €800.
    The stock exchange and shares on the rise, but having to work 2/3 jobs to make enough to meet ends, is the reality for most Americans under Trump.

    And most of those people you mention don't own shares so aren't going to benefit from the stock exchange growing


  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    With all this talk of the Democrats' change of ideology, there been any narrative or sense of a similar change with the various senate seats up for grabs? Seems like a Sanders presidency would live or die based on whether the democrats take back the senate, but equally the KIND of potential democrats may not guarantee an easy passage for any potential legislative change. With all the talk of Trump, it's easy to forget there's a second battle going on in the Senate.


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,900 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    Bipartisanship in US politics is dead and has been dead for a long time

    Not true. Compromise is nearly dead, but bipartisanship is a different matter.

    https://www.axios.com/bipartisan-legislation-comeback-congress-quorum-3d926313-5d1d-4d9d-95f5-17bed890bf02.html

    Politics have never felt more tribal than they do in the Trump administration, but a look at legislation during this session of Congress shows more bipartisanship than at any other point since George W. Bush was in office. Compared to the first 16 months of previous Congressional sessions, there have been more proposed bipartisan bills and more enacted bipartisan bills in the 115th Congress,

    Of course, most of those are likely minor, not major policy issues which is where the main points of dispute are between the parties, but even then, there have been points of cooperation. Where there are fundamental philosophical differences such as taxes or gun control, there is little bipartisanship. Yet where there isn’t quite the same level of philosophical difference, such as First Step (criminal justice) or SECURE (retirement issues) acts, Congress is still capable of bipartisanship.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 93 ✭✭Englo


    MSNBC seem to be getting quite a bit of blowback today, after one of their presenters compared Sanders to Hitler, and the rise of his movement to the fall of France vs the third Reich.

    Last night it was Chris Mathews, the first time it was Chuck Todd.

    It is one thing to ha e a bias, another to declare that bias, and another thing entirely to just spread fear mongering propaganda like that. There is absolutely no way to claim this was anything but the last, especially since sanders surge of popularity is if anything, most like Obama's in 2007 and 2008 which is the easiest and most obvious comparison.

    And to make matters worse, Sanders is Jewish and it is well known that he lost a lot of family members to the Holocaust.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,267 ✭✭✭✭Rjd2


    MSNBC have been awful for a while, left wing version of fox news.

    The meltdown from them and other prominent media people mainly the never Trumper conservatives is amusing as its a reminder they don't have the power they used to have and its clearly driving them mad.

    Trump v Bernie who knows?

    I do know however Trump is on record of not been keen on facing Bernie and for all his flaws the man knows how to read a room.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,664 ✭✭✭sid waddell


    Rjd2 wrote: »
    MSNBC have been awful for a while, left wing version of fox news.
    Em, you do realise what people are actually complaining about here, yes?

    Or is that too big an assumption?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,267 ✭✭✭✭Rjd2


    Em, you do realise what people are actually complaining about here, yes?

    Or is that too big an assumption?

    Thanks for the constructive feedback. :)


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  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    They might be the anti Fox, but if they're going after Sanders, they can hardly be called Left Wing by the reasonable metric of Bernie being the most openly Left Wing candidate in decades. Corporo-Left maybe. Or perhaps socially progressive with lip service economics, but the media attack has hinted at an editorial policy born from the kneejerk fear of media corporations over the prospect of an open Socialist in charge of policy. Man, the Executive Orders Sanders could write alone probably has certain demographics terrified.


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