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Brexit discussion thread X (Please read OP before posting)

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 200 ✭✭darem93


    Yeah in terms of Scottish independence, Davidson quitting is a massive deal. Now even the biggest Unionist party in Scotland is distancing themselves from the Westminster system and seeing the problems that comes with being tied to it. It doesn't exactly look good for the anti-independence camp.

    Plus Davidson basically revived (or at least semi-revived) the Tories in Scotland. With her being gone now they'll more than likely be looking at a total wipe out.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 41,264 ✭✭✭✭Itssoeasy


    Sky news is reporting that the leader of the Scottish conservatives Ruth Davidson is standing down as leader.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,510 ✭✭✭woejus


    https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/269157

    A petition to not prorogue is gaining signatures at the rate of 1,000 per minute at the moment. I'd expect it to top several million by the end of the week

    Interestingly, (or maybe not), that number isn't the real number, the site was crashing so much because people were refreshing it so many times, so it's kind of lagged.

    Here's the actual number in real time


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,305 ✭✭✭✭briany


    woejus wrote: »
    Interestingly, (or maybe not), that number isn't the real number, the site was crashing so much because people were refreshing it so many times, so it's kind of lagged.

    Here's the actual number in real time

    I wouldn't bother with those petitions. If the UK government doesn't heed thousands upon thousands of people descending upon Westminster, why the hell would they even give a petition more than the bare minimum of acknowledgement?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,009 ✭✭✭Tangatagamadda Chaddabinga Bonga Bungo


    murphaph wrote: »
    I really hope Johnson gets his strong majority and can dump the DUP and go for a WTO Brexit for Britain with NI getting special status. Time for the UK to get out of the EU at least for a few years. They are beyond help right now.

    The UK will most likely leave the EU. Whether it be on Halloween or whatever date. I agree they will come back someday.

    Northern Ireland deserves special status. They've been through the wringer for decades.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,069 ✭✭✭boggerman1


    My god the beeb is terrible.laura whatsoever her name is spinning like mad saying that Johnson just extending the holidays for parliamentarians.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,141 ✭✭✭✭Spanish Eyes


    Itssoeasy wrote: »
    Sky news is reporting that the leader of the Scottish conservatives Ruth Davidson is standing down as leader.

    If true, and I am not contradicting you, will there be another Tory leader elected/placed for Scotland now? I don't blame her. There is little future for the Tories in Scotland these days really AFAIS.


  • Users Awaiting Email Confirmation Posts: 1,104 ✭✭✭Limpy


    If gove didn't backstab Boris Brexit would already be a done deal.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,850 ✭✭✭Stop moaning ffs


    Farage on LBC trying to hide his glee at Davidson stepping down. Saying it’s a disaster to the Torres in Scotland.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,758 ✭✭✭Laois_Man


    Assuming the HoC doesn't suddenly agree to the WA (which seems a fairly secure assumption) - Just browsing the UK news outlets, it doesn't seem to have occurred to a single journalist (or politician opposing Johnson's move today) that the HoC, sitting or not, doesn't have the power to prevent the no-deal Brexit if the EU doesn't agree to another extension. They just assume it would be granted - even if they could force Johnson to request one!


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,850 ✭✭✭Stop moaning ffs


    Does this mean they have to have a bye election to fill Davidson’s seat does anyone know?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 518 ✭✭✭interlocked


    She's not a MP.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 23,246 ✭✭✭✭Dyr


    I'm starting to wonder what the mood in the DUP camp is like, loyalism has a long history of cutting off its nose to spite its face but, given the effect a no deal brexit will have on their constituents and their votes, you wonder if Alrene et al are getting a dose of the yips now.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,054 ✭✭✭Shelga


    Does this mean they have to have a bye election to fill Davidson’s seat does anyone know?

    I guess so, but she’s a member of the Scottish parliament, not an MP in Westminster.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,392 ✭✭✭✭Professor Moriarty


    Does this mean they have to have a bye election to fill Davidson’s seat does anyone know?

    She's not an MP, she's a MSP.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,945 ✭✭✭0gac3yjefb5sv7


    Is there any good summary of what's going on? Very lost in this thread between Scottish MPs resigning and haven't a clue why or what that means for Brexit.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Guardian have a feed with all of today's actions you could check out!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,392 ✭✭✭✭Professor Moriarty


    Bambi wrote: »
    I'm starting to wonder what the mood in the DUP camp is like, loyalism has a long history of cutting off its nose to spite its face but, given the effect a no deal brexit will have on their constituents and their votes, you wonder if Alrene et al are getting a dose of the yips now.

    I wonder how they feel as they look at the portrait of Her Majesty over the mantlepiece. Cognitive dissonance is hard.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,510 ✭✭✭woejus


    Pheonix10 wrote: »
    Is there any good summary of what's going on? Very lost in this thread between Scottish MPs resigning and haven't a clue why or what that means for Brexit.

    Steve Bannon - "flood the zone with ****"

    "The Democrats don’t matter. The real opposition is the media. And the way to deal with them is to flood the zone with ****.”

    That's what's going on now. Some MPs who couldn't work a shift as a roadsweeper (Marc Francois, Fabricant et al) are gleefully soaking up the limelight.


  • Administrators Posts: 55,179 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭awec


    Pheonix10 wrote: »
    Is there any good summary of what's going on? Very lost in this thread between Scottish MPs resigning and haven't a clue why or what that means for Brexit.

    Ruth Davidson is allegedly set to quit.

    She is not an MP, she sits in the Scottish Parliament, but she's the leader of the Scottish tories.

    It means almost nothing for brexit.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,305 ✭✭✭✭briany


    Bambi wrote: »
    I'm starting to wonder what the mood in the DUP camp is like, loyalism has a long history of cutting off its nose to spite its face but, given the effect a no deal brexit will have on their constituents and their votes, you wonder if Alrene et al are getting a dose of the yips now.

    I suspect that the correlation between those in NI who voted for Brexit and those who vote for the DUP is quite strong. DUP always have the tribal fallback of "If you don't vote for us, then that other shower will get a majority.". This will always mitigate the electoral blowback for their horrendous mishandling of Brexit.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,294 ✭✭✭✭A Dub in Glasgo


    Does this mean they have to have a bye election to fill Davidson’s seat does anyone know?

    Davidson is an constituency MSP in the Scottish Parliament and unless she also resigns as an MSP there will be no by-election

    She is not an MP so her relevance wrt to Brexit is minimal


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 280 ✭✭Forty Seven


    Does this mean they have to have a bye election to fill Davidson’s seat does anyone know?


    Is she quitting as an MSP or just quitting as leader? I guess we will find out tomorrow.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,154 ✭✭✭MrMusician18


    briany wrote: »
    I suspect that the correlation between those in NI who voted for Brexit and those who vote for the DUP is quite strong. DUP always have the tribal fallback of "If you don't vote for us, then that other shower will get a majority.". This will always mitigate the electoral blowback for their horrendous mishandling of Brexit.
    Is shouldn't be forgotten that 44% in NI voted for Brexit. The DUP will be fine.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,917 ✭✭✭GM228


    woejus wrote: »
    Interestingly, (or maybe not), that number isn't the real number, the site was crashing so much because people were refreshing it so many times, so it's kind of lagged.

    Here's the actual number in real time

    Then you have to discount those who are not British Citizens or resident in the UK which is difficult to do like in the last few Brexit related votes where 1000s of the millions of votes were from all over the world. Granted some will fit the criteria, but I doubt for example in the Article 50 petition that the 84 who signed from Nigeria, or the 78 in Pakistan or the 228 in South Korea were all eligible to do so? Even North Korea provided 34 signatories (which is a surprise considering the restricted access allowed there).

    The numbers whilst high are not accurate and voted in the thousands from nearly every country in the world.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,058 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    Is shouldn't be forgotten that 44% in NI voted for Brexit. The DUP will be fine.

    Do we really need to keep pointing out that voting leave does not mean they voted for no deal?

    Also that number has massively dropped in the intervening years and by all accounts many ardent unionists are furious with how they have completely mishandled the situation thus far.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,850 ✭✭✭Stop moaning ffs


    She's not an MP, she's a MSP.

    I meant whatever seat she holds in Scotland. Will that have to be put to a poll to fill the seat or can she nominate a replacement?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,917 ✭✭✭GM228


    VinLieger wrote: »
    Do we really need to keep pointing out that voting leave does not mean they voted for no deal?

    This is often pointed out but I'll play devil's advocate here and ask when has there ever been a referendum where there was a chance to vote on both a yes or no and the T&Cs associated with the decision?

    Unfortunately a referendum allows a yes or no, how the result is achieved has never been in the hands of the public.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,086 ✭✭✭theguzman


    I have always supported Brexit solely because I think all this will be the catalyst which will deliver a United Ireland along with the Protestant deomgraph decline and changing demographics in the North; add to that when the lineal Protestant planters lose their Single Farm Payment Cheques and livelihoods they may just hold their noses and accept a United Ireland.

    Also Brexit will stroke Scottish Nationalism and I can see a United Ireland and Independent Scotland very soon; much sooner than even the optimistic forecasts. The little Englanders would be happy as Scotland and Northern Ireland cost them around £25bn per year, plus with the payments to the EU removed, little England could become a very rich monarchy oligarchy once again.

    I don't want to divert into the pros and cons of a United Ireland and Independent Scotland but I see things headed this way.

    As other posters have said all this chaos has the fingerprints of bannon and Trump, divert divert divert attention away and achieve what you set out to do. I could see some sort of putsch within Labour against Corbyn next and I really doubt if there will be any sort of anti-Brexit unity to stop a crash out.


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,850 ✭✭✭Stop moaning ffs


    Davidson is an constituency MSP in the Scottish Parliament and unless she also resigns as an MSP there will be no by-election

    She is not an MP so her relevance wrt to Brexit is minimal

    Thats more like it thanks Dub.

    Unlikely she’d resign from one an keep the seat tho no? I haven’t a clue about how it works in Scotland sorry for the dumb questions


This discussion has been closed.
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