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Brexit discussion thread X (Please read OP before posting)

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Comments

  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,850 ✭✭✭Stop moaning ffs


    It seems this is just the first of a series of bizarre disruptive events planned. Cummings grimy fingerprints all over this

    https://twitter.com/darranmarshall/status/1166743595757572096?s=21


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,338 ✭✭✭Bit cynical


    murphaph wrote: »
    I really hope Johnson gets his strong majority and can dump the DUP and go for a WTO Brexit for Britain with NI getting special status.
    Why do you think NI would get special status in this scenario?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,088 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger



    Add Amber Rudd, Nicky Morgan and Sajid Javid to that list, all also opposed suspending parliament in the past few months


  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,553 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody


    Why do you think NI would get special status in this scenario?
    Because it solves EU's problem on the NI border which they would need to control in some form while maintaining their support for the peace agreement (assuming full controls in water with EU support etc.).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,392 ✭✭✭✭Professor Moriarty


    It seems this is just the first of a series of bizarre disruptive events planned. Cummings grimy fingerprints all over this

    https://twitter.com/darranmarshall/status/1166743595757572096?s=21

    Straight from the Trump play book.


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,850 ✭✭✭Stop moaning ffs




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,392 ✭✭✭✭Professor Moriarty


    Davidson going is the start of the unravelling.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 280 ✭✭Forty Seven




    BBC reporting she is considering her position, statement tomorrow.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,365 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    Actually it says she is quitting due to "motherhood" reasons.


    So not principle then.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,088 ✭✭✭✭BonnieSituation


    Would Davidson quitting leave Boris with no majority?

    She's an MSP not an MP it has no overall effect in Westminster.

    But it is a bombshell, especially with a by-election on the go in Shetland.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,114 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    why does Laura K persist on posting like this.

    https://twitter.com/bbclaurak/status/1166749203953061888

    has she no political knowledge at all, even if the reason was true, surely she knows that any politician with any loyalty would hold off on any announcement on something like this to avoid the perception that it was linked.

    she should at least mention that or simply avoid the spin


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,012 ✭✭✭Enzokk


    We need a half way house. Who wants 30 DUP members in the Dail?

    Why would there be 30 DUP members? Looks like you have around 1 member per population of around 30 000 in Ireland. That would mean around 63 Northern Irish Dail politicians coming in. Factor in the 30% of the vote the DUP gets from that total and you have around 20 incoming DUP members, give or take a few. That would be out of a total of 220. Rough calculations from me.

    Not really.

    247 constituencies of Conservative MPs voted Leave
    148 constituencies of Labour MPs voted Leave


    Including all parties, that’s a total of 415 seats where the people told Parliament to leave the EU

    You can try and discount elections that doesn't suit your agenda, but in the last election the parties had manifestos and the parties that ruled out no-deal received 54% of the vote. If people felt strongly in favour of no-deal they should have voted UKIP or Conservative in 2017. That is the most recent election we can go on.


    If true that would be another casualty to Brexit. I have been hammering her but good on her for resigning seeing as her position is untenable. She cannot claim to represent people in Scotland and the Conservatives, they are looking more and more like two polar opposite views.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,920 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    BBC reporting she is considering her position, statement tomorrow.

    Scottish press believes she will indeed announce her resignation tomorrow


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,338 ✭✭✭Bit cynical


    Nody wrote: »
    Because it solves EU's problem on the NI border which they would need to control in some form while maintaining their support for the peace agreement (assuming full controls in water with EU support etc.).
    I can see why it is desirable but not quite what I am asking.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,229 ✭✭✭LeinsterDub


    Actually it says she is quitting due to "motherhood" reasons.


    So not principle then.

    If it was principle she would have lead or attempted to lead a split of the Scottish Tories and stopped this entire mess


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,435 ✭✭✭Imreoir2


    Berserker wrote: »
    No they don't. The democratic wish of the British people takes precedence over everything else anyway.

    This mentality is why dictators like prebicites so much and why moderate democrates are so wary of them. They are so useful to undermine democratic norms, anything and everything can be attacked and broken, even democracy itself to implement the "will of the people". Its so much easier to reduce issues down to simplistic and easily manupilated ideas rather than dealing with complicated realities and democratic checks and balances.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 280 ✭✭Forty Seven


    Strazdas wrote: »
    Scottish press believes she will indeed announce her resignation tomorrow


    So why not just quit today? Perhaps she has an angle and is hoping for some concession? It doesn't make sense to me, if principle she could do more damage than this, if personal her timing is terrible.


    She wants something I think. We will see tomorrow I suppose.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,333 ✭✭✭✭A Dub in Glasgo


    Davidson has little influence over the MPs in Scotland, was hyped up by her mates in the media, avoids scrutiny, flip flops on issues and has only one policy - no to independence. The Tory MPs in Scotland have done next to nothing to take the sting out of Brexit


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,229 ✭✭✭LeinsterDub


    https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/269157

    A petition to not prorogue is gaining signatures at the rate of 1,000 per minute at the moment. I'd expect it to top several million by the end of the week


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,813 ✭✭✭joe40


    Imreoir2 wrote: »
    This mentality is why dictators like prebicites so much and why moderate democrates are so wary of them. They are so useful to undermine democratic norms, anything and everything can be attacked and broken, even democracy itself to implement the "will of the people". Its so much easier to reduce issues down to simplistic and easily manupilated ideas rather than dealing with complicated realities and democratic checks and balances.

    Exactly, someone more knowledgeable might be able to correct me here but isn't Germany very reluctant to use referendums due to their little brush with dictatorship.
    Not sure of details so could be wrong here.


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  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 43,563 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    I know it is normal for referendum results that go against the EU to be re-run. But in the Uk it is normal to respect that result.
    As a retort to your snide comment, the Brits had already voted to remain in the EU before they were given a repeat referendum in 2016!


  • Administrators Posts: 55,210 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭awec


    I don't really see the significance of Davidson quitting. A bit of a non-event, and Johnson won't care.

    More interested in knowing what the Scottish tory MPs will do


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,850 ✭✭✭Stop moaning ffs


    joe40 wrote: »
    Exactly, someone more knowledgeable might be able to correct me here but isn't Germany very reluctant to use referendums due to their little brush with dictatorship.
    Not sure of details so could be wrong here.

    The latest David McWilliams podcast gets into the germans and how they dealt with setting up again after the war. Fascinating listen worth looking up.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 280 ✭✭Forty Seven


    awec wrote: »
    I don't really see the significance of Davidson quitting. A bit of a non-event, and Johnson won't care.

    More interested in knowing what the Scottish tory MPs will do


    Jockey for position of course, they're politicians. :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,758 ✭✭✭Laois_Man


    https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/269157

    A petition to not prorogue is gaining signatures at the rate of 1,000 per minute at the moment. I'd expect it to top several million by the end of the week

    Not one of these again? Stupid waste of time!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,333 ✭✭✭✭A Dub in Glasgo


    awec wrote: »
    I don't really see the significance of Davidson quitting. A bit of a non-event, and Johnson won't care.

    More interested in knowing what the Scottish tory MPs will do

    In the context of Brexit - very little

    In the context of elections in Scotland - probably a loss for the media as they were hyping her up as the next First Minister of Scotland (was never going to happen anyway)

    As for the MPs, most of them know their time is up at the next election so hard to tell but their previous actions will indicate they will back Johnson


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,088 ✭✭✭✭BonnieSituation


    In the context of Brexit - very little

    In the context of elections in Scotland - probably a loss for the media as they were hyping her up as the next First Minister of Scotland (was never going to happen anyway)

    As for the MPs, most of them know their time is up at the next election so hard to tell but their previous actions will indicate they will back Johnson

    There's merit to think that while there will be no MPs for the Tories at the next GE there's going to be a few MSP seats worth fighting over. Some may consider making the move "North".


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,012 ✭✭✭Enzokk


    awec wrote: »
    I don't really see the significance of Davidson quitting. A bit of a non-event, and Johnson won't care.

    More interested in knowing what the Scottish tory MPs will do


    It will not change much, but she was the face of the Conservatives in Scotland. She was their voice and for a long time she was trying to juggle being a Conservative member and being in Scotland, where the view seemed to split from her party.

    It was of interest to see her trying to put the knife into the SNP when she shared a lot of their views on Brexit, but her party and her fellow Scottish Conservatives helped vote through the policies she knows her fellow citizens were opposed to. Call it a curious development more than earth shattering in terms of Brexit.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,643 ✭✭✭✭Mr.Nice Guy


    Davidson quitting is massive in the context of the Scottish independence debate.

    I see a parallel with the Home Rulers walking out of Westminster in 1918 and adopting the Sinn Fein tactic of abstention. That confirmed to many in Ireland that the Sinn Fein approach was the one to support.

    Now you have a Scottish Tory leader walking away as leader in Scotland to presumably oppose Johnson's tactics. It will further confirm to many in Scotland that the SNP approach is the one to support.

    Scotland is about to move further away from England and the Union is truly creaking.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,758 ✭✭✭Laois_Man


    The court of session has set a date of September 6th to hear the case of disallowing the proroguing of parliament! An interim order has been requested in case the court cannot arrive at a decision in time, or in case Downing Street moves the date!


This discussion has been closed.
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