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So what if we had let the banks collapse......

2456

Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,373 ✭✭✭Phoebas


    Hitman3000 wrote: »
    FG and Lab converted the promissory note into sovereign debt at a late night sitting in the Dail as a court case against it's legality was launched.

    Yes. The court case was lost, the loss appealed and the appeal rejected.

    We made out own poor decisions and we got to deal with their consequences.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,728 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    Phoebas wrote: »
    Yes. The court case was lost, the loss appealed and the appeal rejected.

    We made out own poor decisions and we got to deal with their consequences.

    was there are any coercion from financial institutions in such a decision?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,374 ✭✭✭aido79


    kaymin wrote: »
    Iceland bounced back from recession within 2 years. The reason we had a lost decade was because the banks were hamstrung from legacy high debts. If we allowed banks to fail, the new banks to emerge would not have had that problem.

    Iceland has the same population as Cork. They didn't have the same economy or level of debt. They had their own currency....
    There is so many difference between the two situations that it is completely ridiculous to even put them in the same sentence for comparison when talking about letting banks fail.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,325 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump


    Hitman3000 wrote: »
    PTSB sold 1050 performing loans in the bundle. So the narrative that it's deflauters and chancers is b.s..




    So what?


    If a borrower is fulfilling the terms of their contract, then the contract remains


    It is likely that some borrowers had multiple loans where they were paying some and not the others and they all got packaged in together.


    For example, a borrower might have strategically decided to stop paying the mortgage for their own home, knowing full well that they would be unlikely to be kicked out anytime soon by the bank, but had kept up repayments on their buy-to-let.



    But if the loans were not contingent or linked to each other under PTSB, that remains the same with the new lender


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,374 ✭✭✭aido79


    Hitman3000 wrote: »
    Anyone ever identify the Maple 10?

    https://www.google.com.au/amp/s/amp.independent.ie/irish-news/courts/who-were-the-maple-10-30196885.html

    What has that got to do with anything? Maybe have a look at the reason for the Maple 10...i.e. Sean Quinn.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,541 ✭✭✭runawaybishop


    kaymin wrote: »
    Iceland bounced back from recession within 2 years.

    They did in their hoop. They went through severe austerity and ridiculous interest rates for years. You are just cherrypicking bits of what happened.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,593 ✭✭✭Hitman3000


    aido79 wrote:
    What has that got to do with anything? Maybe have a look at the reason for the Maple 10...i.e. Sean Quinn.


    It was a question, you know people do ask them . It's how one finds out things.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,593 ✭✭✭Hitman3000


    So what?


    Contradicts a few of the earlier posts on this thread.


  • Posts: 9,954 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Mike Hoch wrote: »
    What of people's accounts? As has happened in various banana republics could personal savings have been plundered in an attempt to remain solvent?

    They plundered our pension schemes. Only difference is people do not see it directly reflected in their statements.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,995 ✭✭✭Ipso


    Wanderer78 wrote: »
    was there are any coercion from financial institutions in such a decision?

    Probably. Bailingout Anglo was a combination of external pressure, Irish politicians being out of their depth and them probably not thinking things were as bad given they were all on the richest country in the world cult.
    The three most powerful people in Ireland at the time were all children of former Ff politicians, just what you need in a crisis.
    And Brian Lenihan got re-elected.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,373 ✭✭✭Phoebas


    Wanderer78 wrote: »
    was there are any coercion from financial institutions in such a decision?

    Everything stems from the decision on the bank guarantee,and I'm not aware of any 'coercion' in that decision.
    We made our own mistakes and we need to grow up and accept responsibility and stop trying to put it on other people.

    We aren't children.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 24,784 ✭✭✭✭dxhound2005


    We only needed to let Anglo collapse, very few ordinary people had any money in it.

    When AIB took over the debts there was €8.6 billion deposits belonging to 120,000 depositors. If they were all ordinary people that would be about €71,000 on average. If there was an elite with multi millions, then the rest must have been ordinary enough.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,325 ✭✭✭✭Donald Trump


    Hitman3000 wrote: »
    Contradicts a few of the earlier posts on this thread.




    Maybe they were deleted..............


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,374 ✭✭✭aido79


    Hitman3000 wrote: »
    It was a question, you know people do ask them . It's how one finds out things.

    Ok. What was the reason for asking a question where the answer is common knowledge?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,593 ✭✭✭Hitman3000


    aido79 wrote:
    Ok. What was the reason for asking a question where the answer is common knowledge?


    Obviously not common if I asked. Heard the Maple 10 mentioned multiple times but didn't know the identified.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,728 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    Phoebas wrote:
    Everything stems from the decision on the bank guarantee,and I'm not aware of any 'coercion' in that decision. We made our own mistakes and we need to grow up and accept responsibility and stop trying to put it on other people.


    Come on now, there's loads of writings now to confirm coercion from well established financial institutions, even the IMF is starting to say, imposing these bailouts, and as political scientist mark Blyth would say, the death nail policy of austerity on such nations is truly dreadful economic theory. It's time we put the financial sector back into its box, or god knows what will happen. We re effectively encouraged to make our own mistakes during the era of cheap credit


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,373 ✭✭✭Phoebas


    Wanderer78 wrote: »
    Come on now, there's loads of writings now to confirm coercion from well established financial institutions, even the IMF is starting to say, imposing these bailouts, and as political scientist mark Blyth would say, the death nail policy of austerity on such nations is truly dreadful economic theory. It's time we put the financial sector back into its box, or god knows what will happen. We re effectively encouraged to make our own mistakes during the era of cheap credit
    There may or not be 'loads of writings' saying all sorts of things.
    Evidence on the other hand ...

    We need to be responsible for our own poor decisions.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,374 ✭✭✭aido79


    Hitman3000 wrote: »
    Obviously not common if I asked. Heard the Maple 10 mentioned multiple times but didn't know the identified.

    Ok. Do you understand anything of what they were about or why they were formed?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,113 ✭✭✭PeadarCo


    Wanderer78 wrote:
    Come on now, there's loads of writings now to confirm coercion from well established financial institutions, even the IMF is starting to say, imposing these bailouts, and as political scientist mark Blyth would say, the death nail policy of austerity on such nations is truly dreadful economic theory. It's time we put the financial sector back into its box, or god knows what will happen. We re effectively encouraged to make our own mistakes during the era of cheap credit

    If the banks hadn't been bailed out unemployment would have been way way way higher. Any business that relied on Irish banks for working capital facilitates such as an overdraft would have gone bust overnight. Anyone with a deposit in an Irish bank would have lost their money overnight. The result of that would have been large amounts of people would have been unemployed suddenly overnight. The debt relating to the the money people borrowed would also would not have gone away. When you factor in the impact of that on government finances there would have been far far deeper cuts to the budget. That would caused massive social damage. No sane government would let that happen. You didn't need any external pressure to make the decision.

    You can argue over the exact method and that's where there is an argument about external pressure. However the bank guarantee was an Irish decision. At one point it was called the cheapest bailout in history. The problem was it took too long for the Irish government to grasp the fact that the banks were insolvent. The only way the bank guarantee makes sense if you think the banks only had a temporary liquidity problem.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,728 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    Phoebas wrote:
    We need to be responsible for our own poor decisions.


    What part does critical sectors such as our financial sector play in creating such situations, and do we have the relevant regulations and regulatory bodies in place to control such sectors, and are such sectors truly democratic, and operate with the overall needs of society within their ethos?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,113 ✭✭✭PeadarCo


    Wanderer78 wrote:
    What part does critical sectors such as our financial sector play in creating such situations, and do we have the relevant regulations and regulatory bodies in place to control such sectors, and are such sectors truly democratic, and operate with the overall needs of society within their ethos?

    Because there was no incentive. You cannot look at the bank bailout and its causes in isolation. You have to factor everything else that was going on at the time. The large increase in spending and reduction in tax rates in the 2000's were only possible a property bubble financed by reckless bank lending. If FF had tackled the bank lending and property bubble they would probably not have won the 07 election. Every other party was saying spend, spend. Remember the bank bailout makes up only a minority of the money borrowed since the crash.

    Even now there has been some criticism directed at the Central Bank for its Bank lending restrictions. Which is crazy.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,312 ✭✭✭paw patrol


    a lot of revisionist horsesh*t is spouted these days regarding the bank guarantee.
    As a country we are up to our neck in that debt...the government is paying back massive interest payments and our high tax / low service economy will continue for a few generations.

    We may be out fo the mire but we are only threading water and the development of the state will be at a comparative crawl for generations.

    All those mental health places/ kids spinal operations all the rest of the state failing etc....that's all due to tax being spent on bank debt.
    Anybody who say otherwise is gullible or a liar.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,593 ✭✭✭Hitman3000


    aido79 wrote:
    Ok. Do you understand anything of what they were about or why they were formed?


    Once I asked a question you answered thank you. Why you still going on about it is a mystery.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,280 ✭✭✭fash


    paw patrol wrote: »
    a lot of revisionist horsesh*t is spouted these days regarding the bank guarantee.
    Correct:
    There was never a need to guarantee the banks and no need to guarantee them in the way they were guaranteed - if you wanted the existing banks to continue in some form, you could guarantee all "future bond holders" - there was no need to ever guarantee the people who were already stuck and guaranteeing them was simply throwing €50-€60 billion in tax payers money away.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,374 ✭✭✭aido79


    Hitman3000 wrote: »
    Once I asked a question you answered thank you. Why you still going on about it is a mystery.

    The biggest mystery is why you asked the question in the first place.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,593 ✭✭✭Hitman3000


    aido79 wrote:
    The biggest mystery is why you asked the question in the first place.


    Actually you taking such a defensive attitude is what AMUSES me.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,374 ✭✭✭aido79


    Hitman3000 wrote: »
    Actually you taking such a defensive attitude is what AMUSES me.

    What defensive attitude? You asked a question irrelevant to the thread topic and I answered it wondering why you asked it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,588 ✭✭✭derfderf


    PeadarCo wrote: »
    If FF had tackled the bank lending and property bubble they would probably not have won the 07 election. Every other party was saying spend, spend.

    In the previous election Noonan proposed a fairly sensible budget, and FG absolutely tanked. It's how he lost the leadership to Enda.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,553 ✭✭✭kaymin


    Phoebas wrote: »
    We guaranteed the bondholders in a decision made by FF in government. We became the debtholders at that point.

    It wasn't the EU or the US or anyone else that made that decision for us and the bailout was a direct consequence of our own decision, freely made. We even had the gall to tout for business based on the bank guarantee.

    No point in trying to shift the blame when the whole thing went tits up.

    FF made the decision to guarantee bondholders for a year. FG extended that guarantee. Both the EU and the US applied pressure on Irish politicians to do so. They should have been told where to go.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,553 ✭✭✭kaymin


    They did in their hoop. They went through severe austerity and ridiculous interest rates for years. You are just cherrypicking bits of what happened.


    Did you do any research whatsoever before making that post? Icelandic unemployment peaked in 2009 / 2010 and fell consistently from then.

    https://www.worldfinance.com/special-reports/failing-banks-winning-economy-the-truth-about-icelands-recovery


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