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Brexit discussion thread III

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,010 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    Bigus wrote: »
    The days of high oil prices is a busted flush in 2018 , as a result of alternative renewable energies such as wind( as high as 65% of Ireland's total electricity requirements sometimes), solar and energy storage along with much more efficient ICE and even electric cars.
    High oil prices would only hasten role out of these alternatives, ultimately collapsing the price forever which is not in the oil producers interest.

    Interesting theory all the same dublinbuster to bring some logic to Brexit. If it's worse for us we'll make sure it's a disaster for you , type of logic .


    Agreed on high oil prices. Every time the oil price rises, the focus on renewable energy intensifies, and the oil price drops, but with less potential for rises. High oil prices artificially propped up by producers are now self-defeating in the medium term thanks to the possible alternatives.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,806 ✭✭✭An Ciarraioch


    Two interesting developments this morning - 12 Tory MPs have tabled an amendment calling for the UK to remain in the EEA by joining EFTA, the drawback for us being they would be barred from membership of a customs union.

    Meanwhile, Sam Coates reports that the new backstop will be published tomorrow, will be much the same as the leaked one, but the time limit will be diluted, only ending if/when an alternative solution can be implemented.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,229 ✭✭✭LeinsterDub


    Meanwhile, Sam Coates reports that the new backstop will be published tomorrow, will be much the same as the leaked one, but the time limit will be diluted, only ending if/when an alternative solution can be implemented.

    Isn't that the same as the December backstop? I don't see the difference apart from the fact they've used the word time limit?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,184 ✭✭✭trellheim


    trouble at mill : dd speaking now at rusi lets see if its into the chaos we go


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,184 ✭✭✭trellheim


    right its aggro so

    https://www.alphaoffshore.net/british-pm-may-in-serious-row-with-brexit-minister-david-davis-over-irish-border-backstop-plan-ft/

    oh dear

    followup https://www.forexlive.com/news/!/theresa-may-in-serious-row-with-david-davis-report-20180606
    May had planned to send the plan to Brussels this week, possibly as soon as Wednesday, but she was forced to put it on hold after Mr Davis led a rebellion by Eurosceptic cabinet ministers," the report says.

    The plan didn't make it clear that any border-smoothing moves would be temporary and Davis felt it could leave Britain in the EU indefinitely.

    May leaves for the G7 in Canada this afternoon.

    Update: Comments from a UK govt spokesman are now crossing the wires. He says the government will publish the backstop plan for Northern Ireland 'soon'. The BBC also reports that the plan is coming today so it's possible May has told Davis that she's going ahead with it despite his objections


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,184 ✭✭✭trellheim


    ok just hit the Guardian and others as well.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,248 ✭✭✭✭briany



    Meanwhile, Sam Coates reports that the new backstop will be published tomorrow, will be much the same as the leaked one, but the time limit will be diluted, only ending if/when an alternative solution can be implemented.

    To me, this sounds acceptable. I can see how Arlene and co. would have an issue with it, but maybe the British government could sweeten the deal a little by promising a few extra political concessions to the DUP on matters domestic.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 805 ✭✭✭Anthracite


    He says he wants to concentrate on one aspect of the new partnership the UK wants with the EU after Brexit - that is, the need for the partnership to stand the test of time.

    That is why they UK has avoided briefing against the EU, he says. It wants to ensure the two sides can have a relationship of trust after Brexit.

    He says the new relationship should not ignore the decades of trust and collaboration that has existed for years.

    Cooperation has kept the peace and kept people secure.

    He says the UK does not need to be in the EU for that cooperation to continue.

    But it does need trust, he says.

    Anyone who doubts that does not know their British history, he says.
    What is Davis threatening here? What a prat, bleating about the EU putting principle over pragmatism. Has he heard about Brexit?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,184 ✭✭✭trellheim


    Fury over Galileo ( but in all honesty what did he expect here ? )


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 805 ✭✭✭Anthracite


    trellheim wrote: »
    Fury over Galileo ( but in all honesty what did he expect here ? )
    Presumably the rules around Galileo that the UK shaped and signed off on were for other, less imperial countries.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,806 ✭✭✭An Ciarraioch


    This is bizarre - Davis confirms backstop will be published imminently, but follows up by saying he doesn't expect a resolution until October!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,098 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    So basically DD has laid all the problems in the negotiations at the feet of the EU for putting legal issues ahead of pragmatism (he said it in terms of security but IMO it covers the whole show).


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,279 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog




  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,540 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody


    Saw this comment on an Indo article and I think it sums things up quite well atm:
    Too bad. The current PM is so busy ensuring her survival that she has little time to compromise with the EU. The EU itself is -by its very nature- a commitee organisation: they follow a rule book and decisions such as Brexit rely on unanimous approval from the government of the member states. Which means that there is a lack of flexibility or boldness to tackle the problem. It is more difficult to try to solve the problem than coping with it. And this is why, unless the Brexiteers decide to make bold decisions, the UK is very likely to crash out of the EU. Everybody will lament the outcome, and nobody will own the decision.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,685 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    Nody wrote: »
    Saw this comment on an Indo article and I think it sums things up quite well atm:

    The EU cannot compromise or do any wheeling and dealing. It's a rules based organisation for 28 countries and 500m people. If they started tearing up their own rule book to accommodate individual external countries, the whole thing would fall apart.

    It would be like trying to join a club but insisting that the club change their rules in order to allow you to join, because you are not happy with their current rules.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,806 ✭✭✭An Ciarraioch


    Peter Foster acidly skewers the backstop before it's even released:

    https://mobile.twitter.com/pmdfoster/status/1004404954747097088


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 95,391 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    UK not attracting as many fruit pickers. Sterling has fallen. Even if it hadn't Romania's economy is growing 6.9% a year so the UK is looking less attractive all the time. Now add in uncertainy about documents etc.

    European fruit pickers shun Britain
    Over half of recruitment companies could not find the labour even in the "quiet" first months of this year, the Association of Labour Providers says
    ...
    Ninety-nine percent of seasonal workers on British farms come from Eastern Europe. Two-thirds of these come from Romania and Bulgaria.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,279 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,279 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    https://twitter.com/ImIncorrigible/status/1004420793969840130



    Davis reported to be refusing to present backstop plan tomorrow.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 168 ✭✭dublinbuster


    The UK "plan" is text book Sun Tzu art of war


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  • Posts: 5,250 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    The UK "plan" is text book Sun Tzu art of war

    'defeated warriors go to war first and then seek to win'?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,806 ✭✭✭An Ciarraioch


    https://twitter.com/ImIncorrigible/status/1004420793969840130



    Davis reported to be refusing to present backstop plan tomorrow.

    Combined with Peston's Spectator blog, it all suggests he has decided to quit post-haste:

    https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2018/06/will-david-davis-resign-tomorrow-i-would-not-bet-against-it/


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,279 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,184 ✭✭✭trellheim


    In worse news Paul Dacre is stepping down. Something must have happened with Brexit


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,673 ✭✭✭Infini


    Well if the bullshíteers quit en mass then "cheerio, cheerio, cheerio!"

    If May has decided to commit to the backstop because of absolutely no other realistic option then it basically mean's that there is some progress and those who keep shítstirring when they have absolutely no facts or anything to back up their position can either "put up or shut up". It could also be her own way of basically saying "Go ahead and challenge me if you dare" because if she win's she's the one in control and if she loses then she no longer owns the problem but it falls on the likes of Mogg's, Boris and Gove who get to fall on their sword when they ultimately fúck up and take what's left of Britain down the toilet.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,392 ✭✭✭✭Professor Moriarty


    https://twitter.com/ImIncorrigible/status/1004420793969840130



    Davis reported to be refusing to present backstop plan tomorrow.

    All politicians rise to their level of incompetence. Davis is out of his depth and is flouncing so he can blame May. To be fair, nobody could do his job anyway. He was still incompetent though.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,203 ✭✭✭✭Thargor


    Twitter thread where the Leave.EU guy basically calls Johnson/Mogg Davis etc a load of charlatans:

    https://twitter.com/PeteNorth303/status/1003992951557681152?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.reddit.com%2Fr%2Fukpolitics%2F

    I think they're starting to feel the crunch coming.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,806 ✭✭✭An Ciarraioch


    Laura Kuenssberg now tweeting that the backstop proposal will not now be sent to Brussels tonight - your average Irish county council is better run than this:

    https://mobile.twitter.com/bbclaurak/status/1004455939137732615


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,258 ✭✭✭✭J Mysterio


    Thargor wrote: »
    Twitter thread where the Leave.EU guy basically calls Johnson/Mogg Davis etc a load of charlatans:

    https://twitter.com/PeteNorth303/status/1003992951557681152?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.reddit.com%2Fr%2Fukpolitics%2F

    I think they're starting to feel the crunch coming.

    He makes some good points. This is basically a man who has come to the realisation he had been sold a pup. Articulates it well though.


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