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FI Charts (T120+ onwards) Spring / Summer 2017 **READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST**

245

Comments

  • #32
    squarecircles
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    could it be toasty in the west in early May,mmmm bring it on

    ukmaxtemp.png


  • #33
    Danno
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    A few sparks with that heat no doubt:

    GFSOPUK06_252_11.png

    and

    GFSOPUK06_276_11.png


  • #34
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,817 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Be nice if this came off next week. ECM not as good, will see what the 12Z shows later.

    IMO GFS showing warming up each day from Tues with Thurs and Fri looking quite warm at this stage and it is showing the warm weather hanging around over the week end , a long way off though to know for certain.


    oFekVqT.png

    ir3r0VX.gif

    NZEKxt3.png


  • #35
    Harry Palmr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 40,059 ✭✭✭✭Harry Palmr


    Plenty of time for this not to happen of course :):(

    BRING_IT_ON.jpg

    That said the ECMWF and the GFS are in accord as of now.


  • #36
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,817 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    mrE09Ei.gif

    J8cPP7N.gif

    :)


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  • #37
    Elmer Blooker
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,286 ✭✭✭Elmer Blooker


    +240, probably will happen because its not winter if you know what I mean.

    ECH1-240.GIF?26-0


  • #38
    Captain Snow
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 629 ✭✭✭Captain Snow


    Elmer Blooker wrote: »
    +240, probably will happen because its not winter if you know what I mean.

    ECH1-240.GIF?26-0


    Have you noticed that this set up popping up more and more in FI. Maybe its something to watch. There is nothing to say we couldn't get an omega block set up for summer and have cool NE Flow. The Arctic Summer of 2017.....lol


  • #39
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,817 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    IMO Models not building temps or holding onto them as long for next week as previous runs. The Gem looks the best. GFS and ECMWF both showing areas of LP cutting off the advancing warm Tropical airs and the HP quickly drifting towards Greenland. Still a bit to go to see if the Heights can build again and get some cross model agreement.

    gC596h5.png?1

    Tttc1wK.png?1


  • #40
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,817 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    ECMWF has improved on the latest 0z run. Looking better then the GFS for after tues . Probably better temps on the W side of the country due to E ly winds.


  • #41
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,817 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    IMO ECMWF looking quite good until the 8 - 9 and then the following charts, cold, windy and possible frosty nights ? yikes :eek: Long way off yet though.

    tpCVZhp.gif

    LRJqbzh.gif




    GFS predicting little rain in the foreseeable future . A lot of E'ly winds turning NE by the end of the runs. Of course all open to change.

    zsnRpUf.gif


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  • #42
    pedigree 6
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,559 ✭✭✭pedigree 6


    Potential for a few Welsh import thunderstorms coming into the southeast on Friday perhaps?

    screenshot_1.png


  • #43
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,817 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Potential for a few Welsh import thunderstorms coming into the southeast on Friday perhaps?

    Looking around Friday before any real rain moves in all right it would seem, early indications of it coming from a SE'ly direction .

    miAL8NT.jpg?1


  • #44
    pedigree 6
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,559 ✭✭✭pedigree 6


    It's a very shallow low though to the south west and then it disappears altogether to join up with the one in the atlantic and then high pressure comes back in till the end of the month.
    It looks like there will be very small amounts of rain with this one and coming to the time because it is such a weak low it might be downgraded further and may not happen.
    The only positive in this is we loose the easterly cold wind and gain a warm southwesterly.

    screenshot_1.png

    screenshot_1.png

    screenshot_1.png


    Edit: Maybe this should be in the "Will it ever rain again?" thread. :p


  • #45
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,817 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    ECMWF and GFS not too disimilar out at +240h

    1LxdApE.png?1

    ScKrovt.png


  • #46
    sryanbruen
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,046 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Both the GFS and ECMWF showing hints of some very warm and settled weather towards the end of May.

    GFS

    gaMquOI.png

    7U85Vms.png

    ECMWF

    DhylMKv.png

    11y2DlG.png

    Photography site - https://sryanbruenphoto.com/



  • #47
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,817 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Both the GFS and ECMWF showing hints of some very warm and settled weather towards the end of May.

    Well sryanbreun looks like we could be taking the BBQ out again for a couple of days next week :)

    fRZMFSf.gif


    Oeg8XmQ.gif


  • #48
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,817 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Promising

    tempresult_sej9.gif


  • #49
    squarecircles
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    Looks like becoming very warm from thursday onwards

    ukmaxtemp.png


  • #50
    sryanbruen
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,046 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    The GEM is going WAY WAY over the top with the temperatures expected in England & Wales next Saturday.

    GEMOPUK12_168_5.png

    Photography site - https://sryanbruenphoto.com/



  • #51
    sryanbruen
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,046 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    The GFS showing the Azores High trying to push up towards Ireland on the 5th June.

    ncmd1z9.png

    However, it fails so on the 6th as a trough pushes down from the northwest.

    6z1OPG9.png

    Photography site - https://sryanbruenphoto.com/



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  • #52
    Elmer Blooker
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,286 ✭✭✭Elmer Blooker


    IF this happens and IF a trend like this develops as we head into June ........
    I really hope this doesn't happen especially after a very long dry spell.

    ECM1-216.GIF?26-12


  • #53
    Easterly Beasterly
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 209 ✭✭Easterly Beasterly


    Elmer Blooker wrote: »
    IF this happens and IF a trend like this develops as we head into June ........
    I really hope this doesn't happen especially after a very long dry spell.

    ECM1-216.GIF?26-12

    What kind of weather would that chart produce? :confused:


  • #54
    sryanbruen
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,046 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Easterly Beasterly wrote: »
    What kind of weather would that chart produce? :confused:

    Typical Irish Summer weather, cool and unsettled.

    Photography site - https://sryanbruenphoto.com/



  • #55
    Easterly Beasterly
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 209 ✭✭Easterly Beasterly


    sryanbruen wrote: »
    Typical Irish Summer weather, cool and unsettled.

    Thanks for that.. Would it be windy or just your average day? Still Learning! :)


  • #56
    sryanbruen
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,046 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    Easterly Beasterly wrote: »
    Thanks for that.. Would it be windy or just your average day? Still Learning! :)

    Well according to that chart, it would be fairly breezy but not very windy by any stretch of the imagination. We're talking about Summer after all, it's a very rare occasion for Summer to get a windstorm (like July 1988 was a major one). Fairly breezy so quite average yes.

    Photography site - https://sryanbruenphoto.com/



  • #57
    bear1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,894 ✭✭✭✭bear1


    Re that model, I did a check to see the run up to June and it's fairly unsettled. The high pressure which seems to heading towards us now suddenly shifts to the right towards central and southern Europe whereas Ireland seems to have the low pressure from the artic heading straight over to us :)
    Happy days


  • #58
    Meteorite58
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 12,817 Mod ✭✭✭✭Meteorite58


    Charts not looking very promising IMO at this stage for settled weather especially as next week progress's on into the Bank Holiday weekend being under the influence of LP systems and frequent frontal rain I would think. The week after the bank holidays at this stage looks unsettled ( way off in FI though ). The jet charts look quite fractured going into next week and then strengthen over the Bank holiday weekend into the week after helping to spin the LP's over us, hope Im wrong!

    Dgzo5Fb.gif

    IzTROyo.gif

    ZF2FYKT.gif

    kNVI2Jy.png


  • #59
    squarecircles
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,283 ✭✭✭squarecircles


    lots of spainish plumes pushing up over the uk,on the gfs,bringing the plus 15 isotherm and high temperatures,ireland for the most part out in the cooler airmass.

    ukmaxtemp.png

    h850t850eu.png


  • #60
    sryanbruen
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,046 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    The GFS 06z showing a huge dartboard low / storm on June 10th :pac:. This is way OTT :pac:.

    LHJO0sS.gif

    Photography site - https://sryanbruenphoto.com/



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  • #61
    pad199207
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,337 ✭✭✭pad199207


    sryanbruen wrote: »
    The GFS 06z showing a huge dartboard low / storm on June 10th :pac:. This is way OTT :pac:.

    LHJO0sS.gif

    Fake News lol


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