The Daily bets, Banter & Accumulators thread III

retalivity · 23-06-2016 04:23PM

Flora havent been great in the Estonian league this year either, currently 4th behind some nothing teams. Will have a look at handicaps once prices are uo

Lasagna Diarra · 24-06-2016 10:52PM

Belshina DC
Taraz DC
@ 2.27

and a safer version of the same bet:
Belshina DC
Taraz +1.5
@ 1.57

both teams have lost their last 4 games

tinpib · 25-06-2016 03:00PM

Double on Corinthians and under 2.5 in Parana/Joinville in Brasil later.

Corinthians are current champs and very good at home, their opponents got off to a great start in the league but are now in free fall. 1.36

Not super dooper confident of unders in Parana/Joinville but still worth a punt at 1.44

Lasagna Diarra · 25-06-2016 05:50PM

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Belshina DC
Taraz DC
@ 2.27

and a safer version of the same bet:
Belshina DC
Taraz +1.5
@ 1.57

both teams have lost their last 4 games

double boom

both teams won after losing their previous 4 games!

tinpib · 25-06-2016 06:20PM

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

double boom

both teams won after losing their previous 4 games!

Could you elaborate? I must confess I don't really follow Beleraus/Kazakh footie but I assume they are both probably as bent as a 10 bob note?

Lasagna Diarra · 25-06-2016 06:27PM

tinpib wrote: »

Could you elaborate? I must confess I don't really follow Beleraus/Kazakh footie but I assume they are both probably as bent as a 10 bob note?

bent as a nine bob note
Extremely homosexual.

British slang, "bent" being slang for gay, and a "nine bob note" being a fictitious currency ("bob" is slang for shilling, or post-decimalization, a five pent coin).

Ok now I'm confused

tinpib · 25-06-2016 06:29PM

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Ok now I'm confused

Anyway, would love to hear more about Kazak/Belarus footie.

inforfun · 25-06-2016 06:29PM

Dodgy as **** he probably meant.

9de5q7tsr8u2im · 25-06-2016 06:54PM

tinpib wrote: »

Anyway, would love to hear more about Kazak/Belarus footie.

You seem to be new here, las has been doing teams which ive never heard before and las always gets it spot on, let the man at it

Lasagna Diarra · 25-06-2016 07:02PM

tinpib wrote: »

Anyway, would love to hear more about Kazak/Belarus footie.

Basically Taraz have signed a bunch of players including Aliev (former Dynamo Kiev player) and a former BATE Borisov player and badly needed points. Belshina almost got a draw at home vs BATE recently and had lost their last 4 games (it's pretty rare for a team to lose more than 4 in a row)

tinpib · 25-06-2016 08:01PM

Franco Salty Seal wrote: »

let the man at it

???? was just asking for more info.

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Basically Taraz have signed a bunch of players including Aliev (former Dynamo Kiev player) and a former BATE Borisov player and badly needed points. Belshina almost got a draw at home vs BATE recently and had lost their last 4 games (it's pretty rare for a team to lose more than 4 in a row)

Which he just provided. Thanks Lasagna, just curious.

9de5q7tsr8u2im · 26-06-2016 09:59PM

Copa america final

Over 9.5 corners in final 5/6

Over corners seems to always be underpriced!!

Chuppa Siopa · 26-06-2016 10:08PM

Argentina -1 AH at 2.375, I think that's great value

jbt123 · 26-06-2016 10:19PM

Franco Salty Seal wrote: »

Copa america final

Over 9.5 corners in final 5/6

Over corners seems to always be underpriced!![

/Considering only 1 of Argentinas games and 2 of Chiles games have covered this line. 3/10 in total in the Copa I don't think this is underpriced at all.

May well come in but certainly no value at all in it.

Bookies set these lines using a vast logarithmic model and are usually on the money.

Corners are the most cruel mistress at times as we can all attest to round here.

Good luck with it anyway.

9de5q7tsr8u2im · 26-06-2016 10:29PM

jbt123 wrote: »

Franco Salty Seal wrote: »

Copa america final

Over 9.5 corners in final 5/6

Over corners seems to always be underpriced!![

/Considering only 1 of Argentinas games and 2 of Chiles games have covered this line. 3/10 in total in the Copa I don't think this is underpriced at all.

May well come in but certainly no value at all in it.

Bookies set these lines using a vast logarithmic model and are usually on the money.

Corners are the most cruel mistress at times as we can all attest to round here.

Good luck with it anyway.

thats true but the ones that haven't covered it for either they have been goal fests, and this is a final so i reckon it will be tight and cagey affair between these two strongly matched oppositions!

inforfun · 26-06-2016 10:40PM

Played Argentina 5x, booked 3x

inforfun · 26-06-2016 10:43PM

Franco Salty Seal wrote: »

jbt123 wrote: »

thats true but the ones that haven't covered it for either they have been goal fests, and this is a final so i reckon it will be tight and cagey affair between these two strongly matched oppositions!

11 corners in the Copa final last year but that was after 120 mins. No idea how many in regular time.

Tonight is on plastic btw. Good way to **** up a final

inforfun · 27-06-2016 07:48AM

inforfun wrote: »

Played Argentina 5x, booked 3x

Enough cards but not for Medel.

Chili after penalties and Vargas top scorer. Same outcome as last year. Unfortunately, i didnt take those bets this year .

keano25 · 27-06-2016 10:58AM

Between Euros and Copa America.. real struggle to make money

Lasagna Diarra · 27-06-2016 11:21AM

Gone very big on this double for the Europa League qualifiers:

under 3.5 in:
Videoton vs Zaria
Dinamo Minsk vs Spartaks Jurmala
@ 1.91

Dinamo Minsk vs Spartaks:
Spartaks are top of the Latvian league atm and their coach knows Minsk very well since he's Belarussian and there are a few Belarussian players in the team. Their coach is known for his defensive tactics, he used to be the coach of Gomel in Belarus and BATE (back when they were really strong) always had a hard time beating them. 2 seasons ago he passed 3 rounds in the EL with a Moldovan team, in all those games the team played very defensively and they managed to knock out a Bulgarian and an Austrian team then beating PAOK 1-0 only to lose the return fixture 4-0. This should be definitely be a tight game.

Videoton vs Zaria:
Zaria have bought a lot of Moldovan internationals, they're almost the Moldovan national team at this point, no doubt they will be hard to beat. They played a friendly against Kuban (Russian Premier League) a few days ago and only lost 1-0. Their coach was the coach of Saxan last season (another Moldovan team) and played defensively in both of the EL games (losing 2-0 twice to a Cypriot team). I can see an upset here.

---- Another good bet imo is MTK Budapest DC against Aktobe, looks like the bookies haven't factored in Aktobe's situation when making the odds, Aktobe used to be one of the top teams in Kazakhstan but this season they've sold almost all their players (financial problems?) and signed a bunch of nobodies from the Russian 2nd or 3rd divisions.

---- and another bet lol:
La Fiorita not to score (Europa League)
Tre Penne not to score (Champions league)
@ 1.93

both of these teams are from San Marino, 'nuff said!

retalivity · 27-06-2016 07:37PM

Going large on Hearts vs Infonet over 2.5gls @2.05 myself

Hearts are by far the better team, even if the estonians are in the middle of their season. Infonet have conceded in their last 5 league matches too, hoping that Hearts try to put the tie to be before the second leg.
Might be a misprice too...Hearts are 1/4 to win, same as videoton, but the over for videoton are only 1.65

retalivity · 27-06-2016 10:54PM

Small punt on pardew to be next english manager @10/1

Loafing Oaf · 28-06-2016 12:54PM

retalivity wrote: »

Small punt on pardew to be next english manager @10/1

And I've gone with Redknapp at 14s (Harry I mean although with the FA involved who knows?:p). Just a hunch, after ruling out nearly every other contender, plus he's second favourite with Skybet so maybe they know something. Won on Woy last time so had to have a go...

inforfun · 28-06-2016 01:34PM

They should give it to me.
I have no problem collecting £14 million in 4 years and make mediocre players look absolutely terrible.
I even would keep Rooney if they insisted.

Raving_Magic · 28-06-2016 06:58PM

Going throw €30 on TNS -3 because of boredom 6/5, Tre Penne have lost their last 4 European away games by three or more

Lasagna Diarra · 28-06-2016 07:31PM

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

---- and another bet lol:
La Fiorita not to score (Europa League)
Tre Penne not to score (Champions league)
@ 1.93

both of these teams are from San Marino, 'nuff said!

16 Fraternali (Tre Penne) scores!

Lasagna Diarra · 28-06-2016 09:00PM

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

CL qualifiers begin next Tuesday! Gone big on this double. The odds will certainly drop in a few days.

Under 3.5 in:
Santa Coloma vs Alashkert
Flora Tallinn vs Lincoln
@ 1.70

boom

If that Europa League double comes in Thursday, I will have earned more from betting this month than from actually working, that would be insane :O

retalivity · 28-06-2016 10:25PM

Large on btts in jeonbuk vs jeonnam tmoro @1.8
med on jeonbuk win & btts @3.4

Jeonbuk have conceded in 6/7 home games and 13/16 total. Jeonnam have scored in 5/8 away and 11/16 total. The last 5 h2h have seen this land. Its a local derby, jeonbuk are top, at home and undefeated. Jeonnam are 3rd bottom, but found some form and apparently have some sh1t hot new recruit from croatia up front.

Also,
Seongnam dc @2.15
Sangju sangnu @2.25

Edit: croatian lad is a defender, and he doesnt start or make the bench

Shanotheslayer · 29-06-2016 12:31AM

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

boom

If that Europa League double comes in Thursday, I will have earned more from betting this month than from actually working, that would be insane :O

You've finally reached the level of professional gambler. Well done man :pac:

Congrats! great month for you

PopePalpatine · 29-06-2016 12:04PM

retalivity wrote: »

Large on btts in jeonbuk vs jeonnam tmoro @1.8

Dammit, I should have checked this earlier, it's already 2-1 to Jeonbuk at HT.

The Daily bets, Banter & Accumulators thread III

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