El Nino & La Nina, Environmentalist hype or forboding and prophetic?

Typedef

http://www4.nationalacademies.org/opus/home.nsf/web/elnino?OpenDocument

Basic concept of El-Nino/La-Nina oscillation [1]
Some people are not convinced that the El-Nino/La-Nina oscillation is as a result of human activities. If the doomsayers are right then this oscillation is caused by global warming [2]

Scientists believe that this global warming trend is resulted from the enhanced greenhouse effect. The notion of an "enhanced" greenhouse effect refers primarily to the incremental global warming caused by the exponentially increasing concentrations of anthropogenically introduced greenhouse gases over and above the greenhouse effect caused by naturally occuring greenhouse gases. Although there exist large uncertainties, scientists suggest that the emissions of greenhouse gases and sulfate aerosols could, by the end of the next century, lead to an increase in global mean temperatures of about 1-4 degree centigrate.

There is a body of sceptical people who don't believe that El Nino and the greenhouse effect are linked.

http://www.objectivescience.com/articles/env_review.htm
El Nino and global warming: What connection?
It's been a hot year, thanks to El Nino. Much to the frustration of environmental activists, however, responsible climate scientists have steadfastly refused to blame the unusually strong El Nino on manmade greenhouse gases. They have also denied any relationship between global warming and hurricanes, putting the lie to politicians who were quick to blame Hurricane Mitch and other weather disasters on the greenhouse effect.

Lots of environmental scares exist without any scientific foundation, but global warming must take the cake when it comes to hype. The late Aaron Wildavsky referred to it as the "mother of all environmental scares." It certainly is the most expensive -- potentially. If the Kyoto Protocol for cutting CO2 emissions and energy use were ever ratified by the U.S. Senate and enforced by the United Nations, there go jobs and prosperity -- all because of the feverish imagination of environmental activists and some computer printouts that don't relate to what's really happening in the atmosphere.

Some people think that then El-Nino/La-Nina osciallation is directly linked to global warming and the greenhouse effect
http://whyfiles.org/050el_nino/6.html . Whatever your opinion some food for thought.

azezil

hmmm hadn't considered a link before, i did however consider much of climatic changes going on are in part due to the greenhouse effect.

But by gum now that the issue has been raised i'll complain about that too!

Typedef

Damn straight.

What he said, but more of it.... and down with Goldstein