Thursday is set to be the warmest 27 October on record

Bluetonic

UK Report.

Thursday is set to be the warmest 27 October on record

Temperatures are set to soar to a balmy 21C (70F) as a mini-heatwave hits the whole of Britain.

The current record for 27 October is 20.3C which was measured in London back in 1888.

Michael Dukes, a Meteorologist at the PA WeatherCentre commented: "It's going to be a freak day.

"With clear skies coming up from France, there will be plenty of sun and temperatures will soar.

"It will stay mild for the rest of the week but tomorrow is a one-off.

"It's probably the last time we will see these temperatures until something like April of May."

Budding statisticians out there may also be interested to know that this month is set to be one of the five warmest Octobers on record.

What a difference a year makes - on this day last year Britain's south coast got a battering, as severe flood warnings were put into place following a combination of very high tides and gale force winds.

Clearly the best advice is to enjoy it while it lasts!

Gonzo

I well believe it too, I just went outside and its beautifull warm sunny day with only a few small clouds in the sky, even the wind feels warm, temperature outside currently 18C-19C, it could get to 20C in the afternoon here, maybe even 21C in a very sheltered location. We had days way colder than this in July and August, its mental! London could see 21C or 22C today. Altho today is a freak exception its meant to stay very mild over the coming week into November with temperatures around 16C.

sunset

So what is Ireland's warmest 27th October?

Bluetonic

Not too sure but according to Met.ie it was 19 degrees in both Casement and Malin Head at 12:00, which were reporting mist and cloud respectively.

I'd say thats not far off a record.

Warm eh? many inland palces are reporting a pleasant 19c and indeed It might be here if the sun had of stayed out.
The air is streaming up from Africa.
The south of England is likely to hit 23c.

Here in the sunny southeast it is cloudy and very windy.
(Don't mind the yearly rainfall below,the year started 6 weeks ago)

Gonzo

still blue skys and warm here but its getting very windy

sobberandclean

i aint complaning . just hope the weather keeps up.. hate that dam depresing rain

Gonzo

its a nice pleasant 29C in Ronda, Southern Spain right now, most of europe with the exception of Scandinavia is basking in this heatwave.

billy the squid

Its been very dark and gusty here, and very warm the sun came out for about five minutes at one o clock but that was about it.

overall i think this month has been warmer than usual.

Gonzo

they said on sky news its something like the 5th warmest overall October month on record with today being the warmest October 27th in about 117 years... I think we are lining up for another exceptionaly mild winter maybe another record breaker. Right now im finding these winter freeze storys in the english press very hard to believe the european continent is very warm (24c generally) and the seas around us are also warm for the time of the year,

ninebeanrows

Why just because of a mild October are we lined up for a very mild winter:(

Off late out October's have been below average and we've gotten mild winters and you were probably saying the same thing even then.

Winter is not in October or November it is from December to February
and at the moment things are looking around average which is a whole lot
colder than it has been in the last 8-10 yrs.

Stupid comments really Gonzo:rolleyes:

I want to RAMP:D

oh Ramp on.
In the six weeks though since I've had the weather station,I've yet to see a frost.
Not that I'm complaining.
The oil tank here hasn't needed to be filled since last march.
I suspect that when I fill it next it will be nearly twice the price

Gonzo-you do realise that the wind is coming all the way from Africa at the moment?
Straight from the south a couple of thousand miles.
If it swung from the north or East you would have the opposite effect and its equally capable.

I'm thinking myself that come january the Atlantic will have spun itself out of energy-The lowers SST's will be taking effect and we will have the beast from the East.

forget the near continent as I've often told ye.
You have to look way upwind to the beasts source...

Example

Better form now wcheck?

Gonzo

hopefully ye are right, theres nothing more I would rather see than 8 inchs of snow for a solid week or more, schools and offices closed, icles hanging from the roofs (yes we had those in the 80s!) and beautifull sunsets projecting an orange tint on top of the snow infested countryside! time to get that digital camera out etc.
(^^ dream come through as long as we dont get powercuts)

Takeshi_Kovacs

i dunno about heatwaves and sunny skies, but it was absolutely slashing down below here in Kerry...

ninebeanrows

I think i'd like power cuts too

I would like to have to clear snow from my front garden to form a
passage onto the road and path. I would like to wake up to windows
totally blacked out by a thick pasting of snow. I would like to have the whole
family at home off work and school keeping things going. i'd like to live
like they did in the past for a week or two to experience what it is
like to live through a real freeze. Hear news over radio of roads blocked
people walking home from the city center due to totaly gridlock. I would
like to see a 48 hour Blizzard with feet and feet of snow. I would like to
walk to the beach and see the water beginning to ice up.. to see ice floes
on the Liffey. I would like to build a huge snow cave. Have school off for
a number of weeks..

O.K This is all i want:rolleyes:

Man it comes round so quickly:D

By the way im going for a prolonged easterly from late November
through December and a cold January.

Reason for this is the total lack of an atlantic once the Tropical season
finishes the Atlantic will once again turn redundant and Blocking to the
north will begin. I expect November to turn out roughly average but
towards the middle and later part of the month signs will begin to
come clear that winter will truely arrive.

The shock will be utterly imeasurable. It will be a transition from Summer
to Winter in less than 3 weeks.

lucernarian

In fairness, I've heard about the link between warmer Octobers and colder winters and they seem credible enough. I remember October 1995 and what happened the following February (or thereabouts):) The second worst snowfall I remember.

I'm also "erring on the side of caution" mainly because I was always a bit suspicious about weather (mother nature is fickle) and after my lightning experience in August, I've learned the danger of jinxing something.:D

Seriously though, the fact that there is warm air being pumped into the artic region and lower SST's would help form HPs from what I can tell. I would expect good blocking to form in the north atlantic but I'm not too confident on the Siberian air reaching here intact.

unkel

16.5c in the back garden right now

BTW is that the ISS (International Space Station) out there to the east?

sunset

The UK MO cold winter experimental forecast was for January - February, not the autumn nor the first part of winter. A lot of misreporting has gone on about this, leading to wrong expectations of cold weather almost from now on.

sunset

The heading of this thread is about Thursday being the warmest on record?? I don't think this was ever a forecast for Ireland. It was mentioned by the UK media for Britain. At our synoptic stations the highest max temp was 19.2 (Kilkenny). That is far, far, below its own maximum recorded temperature for October. As far as the UK 'record' is concerned, this was for very few stations (probably about 5% (?), maybe less than that). The record was since the 1880s. That shows the temps have only now reached an extreme recorded over 100 years ago. You could argue that these temperatures merely reflect what the weather could be like back in the 19th century!

sunset

sunset wrote:

The UK MO cold winter experimental forecast was for January - February, not the autumn nor the first part of winter. A lot of misreporting has gone on about this, leading to wrong expectations of cold weather almost from now on.

Correct.
I'm tired pointing this out to people and have done so in the thread on this subject.

locked