IRENE (Nine)

billy the squid

All tropical depressions this year look like they are going to become named storms. TD 9 is now Irene

000
WTNT34 KNHC 071444
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IRENE ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SUN AUG 07 2005

...NINTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON FORMS IN THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC...EARLIEST NINTH STORM ON RECORD...

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IRENE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 45.5 WEST OR ABOUT
1160 MILES...1865 KM... EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

IRENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH
...15 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IRENE REMAINS A POORLY ORGANIZED TROPICAL CYCLONE AND LITTLE
CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES
... 75 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...20.5 N... 45.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN

map
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT09/refresh/AL0905W5+gif/145036W_sm.gif

It did look earlier as though it would head towards bermuda, making it the third storm to do so, but now it looks like it will be a fish instead.

billy the squid

Now upgraded to hurricane status and set to become extratropical.

NHC forcast
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT09/refresh/AL0905W5+gif/084624W_sm.gif

All computer Models
http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_09.gif

billy the squid

For the past few days Irene has been forcast to weaken and turn to the northeast. what does she go and do? strengthens to a category two hurricane and keeps going east.

It may not hit any land, but it would be fun to see how wrong the forcasts are

000
WTNT34 KNHC 162027
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IRENE ADVISORY NUMBER 49
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST TUE AUG 16 2005

...IRENE NOW A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE...THREAT TO SHIPPING...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 36.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 61.6 WEST OR ABOUT 830
MILES...1335 KM... SOUTHWEST OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND.

IRENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IRENE
IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...36.5 N... 61.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 975 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM AST.

FORECASTER PASCH

$$