DENNIS (Four)

billy the squid

Going to be a busy week for the NHC this week. at present there is a hurricane watch and tropical storm watch for the island of dominica. There is also a hurricane watch for Jamaica and the Caymans.

anyone reading the forums last year would remember the local radio station Vibe FM taking on hurricanes charley, and winning, then taking on Ivan and losing.

some great music too

anyhoo here is the latest advisory

000
WTNT34 KNHC 060241
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT TUE JUL 05 2005

...DENNIS CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA...
...NEW HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED...

AT 11 PM EDT...0000Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE
SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER
AND PORT-AU-PRINCE WESTWARD.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC-HAITI BORDER.

INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND CUBA SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DENNIS WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 69.2 WEST OR ABOUT
345 MILES... 555 KM... SOUTHEAST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT
555 MILES... 895 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.

DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND DENNIS COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES
... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO
6 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HISPANIOLA WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
10 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...14.6 N... 69.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT.

FORECASTER STEWART

Media link - Jamaica

power 106
http://www.go-jamaica.com/power/

willl find more media links when i know where Dennis is going.

ninebeanrows

Deennis looks like it's gonna turn into a beast :eek:

Most models suggest a Cat 4 Hurricane within 4 days :eek:

Expected to crash acrss Jamaica and Cuba than into the GM
where it could hit the US between Texas and Florida :eek:

Watch out!

billy the squid

Dennis is now a hurricane. I reckon the US landfall will be western florida.

Hurricane warnings have been issued for Haiti, Jamaica, and southern Cuba.

hurricane watches are in effect for central cuba, and the cayman islands.

Am going to add media outlet for the Caymans here as that is where Dennis looks like it is going

Radio station - Vibe FM - Cayman Islands
http://vibefm.ky

billy the squid

hurricane watch for the cayman islands has been upgraded to a hurricane warning.

advisory
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/070241.shtml?

There is still a possibility that Dennis could reach category 2 status before it makes landfall on Jamaica.

==EDIT==

for those who dispise realplayer or are looking for a better quality stream heres a 24K winamp stream of power 106 Jamaica
http://war.str3am.com:7550/listen.pls

Radar - Cuba
http://www.met.inf.cu/asp/genesis.asp?TB0=PLANTILLAS&TB1=RADAR&TB2=../Radar/03Cienfuegos/cienfuegosa.gif

Outer bands would appear to be visible on the puerto rico radar also
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/latest/DS.p20-r/si.tjua.shtml

ninebeanrows

it's expected that Dennis could be classed as a Cat 5 Hurricane before
making lanfall in the US.. i reckon the panhandle..

Long time to go but Dennis have absolute perfect conditions
to turn into a Cat 5.. Most models make Dennis a Cat 4 or Cat 5 with
Ships Model turning Dennis into a 165knt Hurricane before US Landfall :eek:

fatherdougalmag

Can't find any webcams for Jamaica or Cuba but here's one in Key West I remember from last year's season. There are more webcams linked off that page.

There was a TV station in Florida that broadcast live on the web too. Wall to wall hurricane coverage. Must track it down in time for Saturday when it looks like skim by the keys.

And here's a map of Key West with various webcams plotted out.

ninebeanrows

Dennis should be a CAT 2 soon and has nothing to hinder it's intensification.

Currently it has 90knt+ winds and is passing Jamaica.

Should stay off the west of Florida and hit the Florida/Georgia
border well around there as a Cat3/4 or even 5 Hurricane.
130Knots +

ninebeanrows

Dennis now at Cat 3 should be a CAT 4 as it makes landfall in Cuba

:eek:

Could be a beast as it moves into the GOM although some
weakening over Cuba may occur for a time..

billy the squid

its official

Category 4

WTNT34 KNHC 080237
TCPAT4
HURRICANE DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT THU JUL 07 2005

...DENNIS BECOMES AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE...NEW WARNINGS ISSUED...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS UPGRADED THE
HURRICANE WATCH TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA
HABANA AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN
EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...CIUDANA DE LA HABANA...
MATANZAS... VILLA CLARA... CIENFUEGOS...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE
AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN
AND GUANTANAMO. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
REMAINING PROVINCES OF CUBA INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH AND PINAR
DEL RIO.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS
FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...AND A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
FLORIDA KEYS...EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF
AND FLORIDA BAY. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
FLORIDA KEYS EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF AND
FLORIDA BAY.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT
ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH...AND ALONG THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST SOUTH OF GOLDEN BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS
NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO
LONGBOAT KEY.

AT 11 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN
PENINSULA OF HAITI IS CANCELLED. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR ALL OF JAMAICA AND ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. WARNINGS
IN JAMAICA WILL LIKELY BE CANCELLED FRIDAY MORNING.

A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA.

A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA...FLORIDA...AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF DENNIS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.6 WEST OR NEAR CABO CRUZ
CUBA AND ABOUT 105 MILES... 170 KM...SOUTH OF CAMAGUEY CUBA.

DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH
...24 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF DENNIS
NEAR OR OVER SOUTHEASTERN CUBA TONIGHT AND CENTRAL CUBA ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE WHILE THE CENTER
OF DENNIS REMAINS OVER WATER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES... 85 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM. AMATEUR RADIO REPORTS FROM THE AFFECTED AREA
INDICATE WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES AND STRUCTURAL DAMAGE.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES.

DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS...WITH 5
TO 10 INCHES OVER HAITI...JAMAICA...CUBA...AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE SIERRA
MAESTRA MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE LIKELY IN
AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF CUBA EAST OF
CABO CRUZ. A MUCH LARGER STORM SURGE OF NEAR 20 FEET IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF CUBA WEST OF CABO CRUZ. A STORM SURGE
OF 3 TO 6 FEET IS POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...19.9 N... 77.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...135 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 950 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN


$$

and there you have it.

will dig up some southern and western florida media links in a moment.

billy the squid

http://mfile.akamai.com/12890/live/reflector:38189.asx
WESH- TV Channel 2 Orlando Florida
Windows Media Player
broadband video

billy the squid

Key West Florida - Radio station
US-1 104.1 FM
http://www.us1radio.com/

ABC News 13 TV - Panama City Florida
Streaming due to start tomorrow
http://www.wmbb.com/

Hurricane Dennis will weaken while it crosses Cuba, but will re - intensify to a Category 4 gurricane as it enters the Gulf of Mexico.

just a quick not to mention that Cuban media is reporting 10 fatalities as a result of Hurricane Dennis.

billy the squid

back up to category 3 and heading in the direction of mobile alabama. a little jog to the west could put southern louisiana in trouble again only weeks after Cindy passed over.

oh by the way there is another tropical wave west of the lesser antilles islands. the NHC is predicting a slow development. could be emily in the making.

billy the squid

TV stream Mobile Alabama
WKRG - TV Channel 5 (CBS affiliate)
[url]mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93320[/url]
Windows media player. Broadband required.

Radar - Mobile Alabama - NHC
http://radar.weather.gov/radar/latest/DS.p19r0/si.kmob.shtml

ro2

NBC 15, Mobile Alabama live coverage:

http://www.wpmi.com/mediacenter/default.aspx?videoId=113739

fatherdougalmag

A streaming webcam that hasn't suffered due to the weather or congestion. It's pretty good because it moves around every so often.

billy the squid

ro2 wrote:

NBC 15, Mobile Alabama live coverage:

http://www.wpmi.com/mediacenter/default.aspx?videoId=113739

this appears to only be hourly reports rather than a live stream.

billy the squid

http://mmslb.eonstreams.com/ccri_al_mobile_wntm_am.asf
NewsRadio 710 Mobile Alabama
carrying syndicated stormAlert broadcasting at the moment.

The video streams are proving to be tedious for me at the moment. not running as smoothly as they were for Ivan.

It's category 4 now according to fox news as I see now here on sky digital and they are reporting from several points and also the nat hurricane centre.
It's max wind speed is now 145 mph which is getting within 10mph of a cat 5 hurricane.
This will be stronger(wind wise) than Ivan when it reaches land, though in size its smaller and they are expecting flooding all the way up to ohio aas it spends a day or two dropping several inches of rain in the mid west.

Mossy Monk

http://www.wmbb.com/ they have a pretty good live webcast
an ABC channel btw. broadcasting non stop for 24 hours they announced at 12 midday central time

billy the squid

ro2 wrote:

It's live alright, there's a promo at the start for a few seconds then the live program kicks in.

its live now, it wasnt earlier, must have been a technical issue, it was showing reports from last night when I clicked on it, but it seems to be live now. actually running better than the channel 5 stream.

ro2

It looks like it isn't live now - it's starting at 10.20am every time I try it. You can always watch the guy on the beach on Fox News anyway...

Edit: They're back in business now. You'd think they were in the middle of a hurricane...

billy the squid

ro2 , this one is working fine for me, it was ropey earlier but good now

ABC News 13 TV - Panama City Florida
Streaming due to start tomorrow
http://www.wmbb.com/

ro2

Have a look at the "Wrath of Dennis" video on CNN

http://us.cnn.com/video/