Canary Island Tsunami theory model.

billy the squid

someone sent me this link was trying to figure out where to put it

The Canary island tsunami theory a pretty good depiction of where will be hit

http://mfile.akamai.com/5022/wmv/coast.download.akamai.com/5022/video/lp_tsu_atlantic.asx

The question is, this could happen in 10 years or 400 years, so is it worth more research?

Doper Than U

I heard about this just the other day and I'd be lying if I said I wasn't freaked out by it. The documentary I watched said 100-150 years so I thought we'd have some decent time.. but 10 years leaves little time to do anything. Anybody know what level of destruction Ireland is looking at? I know most of the Asian Tsunami areas were very low level, if not at sea level, but Ireland is slightly higher (clutching at straws here)... I mean, if you were on top of the Sugarloaf would you be high enough to be out of harms way, or are we looking at pretty much the entire country being submerged?

As for warranting research? I'd have to say YES!. There will be millions of deaths if it takes us by surprise... the scale would be a hundred times that of the Asian Tsunami...

taby

Firstly this theory must be freaking out alot of people cos ive heard it from a few sources. From what i know about tsumanis - even tho i can't spell very well. Basically the closer you are the most destructive force is imparted. Also it would depend where you live on Ireland the amount of destruction. If living in the south of ireland you would be badly hit and would have to be evacuated. But if living on east coast of west or north would just expereince rough sea conditions at worst i'd guess. Maybe an increased water level too and some flooding. But we actually have a very good monitoring system and thus if any tsumani did happen people would be evacuated evry quickly. the reason the asia tsumnai took so many lives is because there wasn't a good communication between the warning system technicans and the people who needed to be told.

So i wouldn't worry about it too much. There would be damage but nothing on the scale of what occured this year.

seamus

Yeah, from that model, it would seem the south coast would take the initial, highest, and most prolonged waves, followed by a battering on the west coast. The East coasts would have more of a delayed effect, but some still significant waves, although not nearly as big or as long as the one hitting the other coasts. Dublin and Louth would be the last two coasts in the country to be hit. I'm not sure if the time on that simulation is DD:HH:MM or HH:MM:SS. If it's the latter, then we've pretty much no warning, but I suspect it's the former, which would give us more than 3 hours from the initial waves on the south coast to begin emergency planning and evacuation on the east coast.

Scary stuff either way.

LegacyUser

How come this is not talked about more? I have always heard little bits of it but how serious is this? It is really scary. Also, if people in Ireland needed to be evacuated, where the hell would they go too? It is not as if another country is an option...

taby

There is always the option of evacuation to england. I'm sure the British would also be affected and would also have to evacuated to other parts of england not affected like northern scotland and eastern coats. The port tunnel would prob aloso be damaged. Essientially higher ground would be best option in ireland. Anywhere that is above the level of water. The south of ireland would have to be evacuated entirely up north. The east of ireland would be the least worst affected I'd say and thus we could all be evacuated to the middle of ireland and east coast. It's scary but it's a fact of life. The fact that we are far away from the epicore of the earthquake and where the wave begins would mean that by time it reaches us it may have lost some of its power - this and the fact we have time and warning would mean not as much life would be lost.

Moriarty

.. a 10m tsuanmi wont wash Ireland away, folks. Galway and Cork will be completely stuffed, Limerick will get nailed pretty hard and Dublin would probably experience severe flooding. The entire island wouldn't be anywhere near completely submerged. It's impossible to know how much damage would happen because a lot would depend on circumstances when it happened (tides, weather, blah blah blah).

Doper Than U

I saw a documentary about this very Tsunami on Discovery Channel (or was it National Geographic?) and it's repeated regularly. Basically, at the end of it, they gave a rough estimate of the damage scale. The entire East coast of America would be wiped out, Ireland would be pretty much submerged, the reason being that this is considered a "Mega-Tsunami", as opposed to a regular one. I saw a different documentary on Tsunami ages ago that gave a "limit" to the size a Tsunami could possibly be, but this "Mega" one seems to blow that out of the water (no pun intended). I'll find the name of the documentary if I can.

http://dsc.discovery.com/convergence/tsunami/news/tsunamidanger.html

165 ft waves... Our coast is pretty high right? It should take the brunt of that right? Tell me I'm right?

galactus

Tidal wave threat 'over-hyped'
The risk of a landslide in the Canary Islands causing a tidal wave (tsunami) able to devastate America's east coast is vastly overstated.
That is the view of marine geologists studying ancient landslides in the area.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/3963563.stm


Here's the transcript of BBC's Horizon documentary:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/science/horizon/2000/mega_tsunami_transcript.shtml



Jury seems out on this one...

Doper Than U

Yup, agreed galactus, I searched around a bit more, and found numerous Tsunami websites debunking this theory of the La Palma Mega Tsunami.

http://www.drgeorgepc.com/TsunamiMegaEvaluation.html

That guy is a world leader in Tsunami's and he has some good points to offer. I for one feel quite relaxed about it now, having read up a bit more on it. Although, I was freaked out by that documentary, as there is a certain amount of trust in Discovery Channel. Either way, if I hear of La Palma erupting, I'll run for the hills...