What are the chances of snow on the next month it two?

AMKC

Just watching the weather there and she was saying that it was a blocking high thst eventually lead to the heavy snow of 2010 and 1995 too. So when this blocking high goes does that mean we could have a lot of snow again this year or next year?

Be prepared is what I say.

sryanbruen

Just nonsense. Current weather bears zero resemblance to 2010.

Meteorite58

Different types of blocking high. In 2010 it was a so called clean high which she explained let all the heat radiate out and eventually got colder and colder. She said the blocking high in 95 was durring the summer which let the heat sink and got warmer and warmer. She explained this current anticyclone contains cloud trapped in it creating a blanket and hence insulating us from heat radiating out and stopping the cold sinking in leading to our present mild temperatures. She referred to it as anticyclonic gloom.

Often also called a dirty high. So We are stuck in this pattern of cloudy dull days giving patchy light rain/ mist in some places and remaining dry for many. Some fronts possibly pushing on to the coasts at times but rainfall totals remaining low.

We need a bit of active weather to push away this weather and let new patterns form, the Jet stream has been taking a Northerly route for some time also, this needs to move South to let the colder airs move down from the Nothern Latitudes.

Two pics below of the extreme cold in 2010, we had just moved into our house and a bit of a building site, I remember the job I had trying to cover exposed water pipes but we kept the water flowing!

sryanbruen

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122790089#Comment_122790089

But there was no high pressure over us at this point in the year in 2010. November 2010 was a cyclonic month and the last week of October 2010 was also wet and westerly. It was a Greenland high which we don't have. NAO is positive

Meteorite58

Yeah I was more relaying what she said after the news without checking the stats, the pics above were from 27 Nov 2010. Looking through the charts yes it was variable HP and LP , more LP dominated, couldn't really attribute the following cold spell late Nov into Dec solely from HP, well not over us anyway but over Greenland as Sryan said, much more dynamic than that as usual with a lot of moving parts. Some memorable cold though .

From Met Eireann :

Daytime temperatures failed to go above freezing on many days during this period and we had 9 consecutive days when temperatures remained below zero in some areas. Night-time temperatures below -10°C became a regular feature, reaching as low as -17.5°C in Co. Mayo on 25th.Ballyhaise had the coldest day on record at any station on 21st when the temperature only got up to-9.4°C. The very low temperatures sustained over this duration allowed freezing conditions to penetrate into the ground

See full article

https://www.met.ie/cms/assets/uploads/2017/08/ColdSpell10.pdf

pauldry

In answer to the thread title

Zero for 1st 20 days of November then maybe 20 percent then around 30 to 40 percent December.

nacho libre

What a great time it was in December 2010. Will we ever see its like again?

AMKC

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122796541#Comment_122796541

I would say we will its just a question of when not if.

goldsparkle

I came onto boards to ask would there be any chance of ice and snow this winter and this side of Christmas? Out summer never really heated up for us. The summer was cold and wet and we got no heat spell. I'm wondering if this may mean a cold winter ahead.

If there is a chance of cold and ice, what is the best way to prepare?

littlema

Bread.........get into the shops now and grab as much bread as your freezer can store!!!!! 🤣 🤣 🤣 🤣 🤣

mikeecho

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122841342#Comment_122841342

The trick is, stock up on extra freezers.. that way you can store extra bread.

Up there for thinking, down there for dancing.

Meteorite58

Mod Note: Will close this thread now, can post in the Winter thread. Thanks