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The new Europe, what happens next ?

  • 09-06-2024 11:49pm
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 199 ✭✭


    After the election results in 27 countries, its leaning to the right, hows this going to go .?



Comments

  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,375 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody


    Pretty much exactly as now with a more Putin bribed shills to share information to him. It will become a bit more fractious in getting things over the line and if some major groups decide to throw a fit (for both real and imagined issues) it will make it harder to pass laws but it's not a watershed moment in how things will be done. More negotiations, more flared feelings and more people to vote against negative actions for Putin basically.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 50,890 CMod ✭✭✭✭magicbastarder


    i suspect we can kiss goodbye to getting any decent environmental or climate policies over the line?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,998 ✭✭✭✭Peregrinus


    People are talking up the swing to the right, but it remains to be seen how big it will actually be, in terms of seats in the Parliament.

    Plus, the right-wing parties are incredibly fractious and divided; they'll find it hard to work together, much less to build any kind of majority by forming even tactical alliances with more centrist or liberal parties.

    So, early days yet, but we could see actually not much change - more noise from a larger right-wing faction, but it's still a minority faction and the established centrist and liberal parties will still (a) have a majority and (b) be able to work together tactically and strategically so as to exploit their majority. And von der Leyen will still be Commission president.

    Could be different in at the national government level in at least some countries.

    Macron is taking a risk calling elections now, obviously; we'll see how that pans out.

    In Belgium, which also had national elections this week, the Greens have been hammered and the centre-right has lost seats; there will be a change of government. But the lost seats have been mostly picked up not by right-wingers but by centrists and liberals and even by the left. At this point it looks as if the right-wing parties have only picked up two seats, to a total of 44, which is well short of the 76 they would need to form a government. It's not clear where they can find another 32 votes. Belgian politics is insanely complicated and I don't pretend to understand it; it may be weeks or months before we know who's in power in Belgium.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 50,890 CMod ✭✭✭✭magicbastarder


    or years, based on previous history in Belgium IIRC?



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