Saturday 23rd April 2022

5.45 Wolverhampton DEFILADE ~ 25/1 e/w

CD winner from August, has chance at a price if can break on terms and lead/chase the pace in this apprentice handicap; or else to be held up completely, a tactic which has seen Susan Leech's gelding come placed over track and trip before,, is drawn 6th of 11, so likely to have options here re riding plans,,

The horses drawn In stalls 1,2,3 & 5 are favourably positioned to try make all/chase the pace, as they are as often as not likely to do,, I feel the selection needs to break on terms and get a good possy behind one of the lower drawn ones, as i imagine at least one of em will be in the van, and that this will be Defilade's best chance of prevailing here.. Callum Hutchinson is 0 from 59 at the course alas, but he's more than good enough i think - must have been on 58 poor ones or else has really bad luck at the Black Country venue 🙂

Gl :D

8.50 Wolverhampton PRYDWEN ~ 13/8

Short-priced one for a change to shake things up a bit,, Was inspired by H2DPB's tasty ~ 7/1 treble 2day (Thursday) , and it might be the way forward - in this race anyroad 😃

Takes on the extended 9f at Wolves in the last, does the selection,, didn't show much in his first three runs, but the 4yr old has won his last two races, with them both over 10f, at Lingfield lto on the AW, and on the turf at Yarmouth before that,, Likes to chase the leader/s, which is how he travelled when winning the last twice,, a cursory look at his five opponents tells us that most like to get on with it, so as long as he gets the rail early on (and no reason why he shouldn't, being drawn in stall 2 of 6) it should (on paper 😎) be straightforward enough,,

I think he'll handle the surface on first attempt, and there looks to be no real dangers to his winning here,, Ciotog, a new recruit for Daniel Loughnane, may be unexposed on only his 4th ever run, and can't be overruled completely,, he has a layoff to overcome tho,, will hope Ciotog leads/tries to lead/races keen, and, if he does, it's tough to see him prevail against the selection here,, be worried if he gets held up, but breeding suggests the trip will be too stiff for him

Sophosc has a squeak, and he has won over 1m in the past, but in the recent past most of his runs and wins have been at ~ 1.5m or further, even, so will not overly worry about him.. put him down as a 'trip will likely be too sharp' ,, if i weren't living in a free house, i wouldn't be laying him for the mortgage all the same 😁

If he runs his race I think Prydwen wins,, looks about a 5/4 shot the pick, and worth a bet @ 11/8 or bigger,,, be no surprise if he trades/goes off at odds on, and if so i'll leave him off,,

Can only go on the 'probable sp' evidence atm,, not my fault if he opens up 1/2 nine o'c Sat'dee morning 😆

g'luck

j@utis

15:15 Haydock, Big Bear Hug 10/1, showed some promise last year, PP is paying 4 places.

j@utis

That didn't go well... Two more to keep me entertained 16:35 Ripon - Bruno's Gold in betting w/o fav market, and 17:35 Doncaster - Dion Baker 4/1.

A poor day for the thread 😂 :(

not backing my 2nd pick - no way no how, was a bit of value two days back, think Fred was going 13/8 and no one else had 8.50 priced up then,, 'no odds' to me as no a/c's 😂

there be other days !

j@utis

Yeah, crap day, I'm giving up... till tomorrow 🤣