Whatever happened to driverless cars being everywhere by 2020?

badabing106

Google’s Sergey Brin gave this prediction in 2012, when he suggested: “You can count on one hand the number of years it will take before ordinary people can experience
this.

General Motors president Dan Amann in 2014 said he would be surprised if his company wasn’t shipping self-driving cars by 2020.

In 2016 Telsa said it would be "Two years until self-driving cars are on the road"

A big can of baloney and hullabaloo

Cluedo Monopoly

Hindsight is 2020

Riesen_Meal

Is the Tesla not self driving if you live stateside?

kippy

badabing106 wrote: »

Google’s Sergey Brin gave this prediction in 2012, when he suggested: “You can count on one hand the number of years it will take before ordinary people can experience
this.

General Motors president Dan Amann in 2014 said he would be surprised if his company wasn’t shipping self-driving cars by 2020.

In 2016 Telsa said it would be "Two years until self-driving cars are on the road"

A big can of baloney and hullabaloo

I'd say they were trying to drum up investment or the likes.

AMKC

The crash happened so they got delayed till 2030.

Archeron

Christine was made in 1983 so they've actually had them since then. Seeing how that car turned out I'm not surprised they pushed it back a bit.

saabsaab

Fieldog wrote: »

Is the Tesla not self driving if you live stateside?

Some places. I'd say that the legal and insurance issues could be holding up their roll out?

Cluedo Monopoly

Archeron wrote: »

Christine was made in 1983 so they've actually had them since then. Seeing how that car turned out I'm not surprised they pushed it back a bit.

The VW Herbie also freaked me out a little back in the 70s.

Capt'n Midnight

Cluedo Monopoly wrote: »

The VW Herbie also freaked me out a little back in the 70s.

It wasn't just you.


Dougal: Can I stay up tonight to watch the scary film?

Ted: Ah, no no no. The last time you stayed up to watch a scary film you ended up having to sleep in my bed. I wouldn't mind, but it wasn't even a scary film.

Dougal: Come on, Ted. A Volkswagen with a mind of its own. If that isn't scary, I don't know what is.

Padre_Pio

badabing106 wrote: »

Google’s Sergey Brin gave this prediction in 2012, when he suggested: “You can count on one hand the number of years it will take before ordinary people can experience
this.
A big can of baloney and hullabaloo

The first 80% was easy, the last 20% is hard.
Lots of variables and the high profile crashes from Uber and the like didn't help. The media hype also died away, but I'm sure plenty of work is ongoing.

saabsaab

Padre_Pio wrote: »

The first 80% was easy, the last 20% is hard.
Lots of variables and the high profile crashes from Uber and the like didn't help. The media hype also died away, but I'm sure plenty of work is ongoing.

I read that the Uber cars had their software modified.

Capt'n Midnight

Padre_Pio wrote: »

The first 80% was easy, the last 20% is hard.
Lots of variables and the high profile crashes from Uber and the like didn't help. The media hype also died away, but I'm sure plenty of work is ongoing.

They aren't at 80% yet.


By putting some tape on a 35 mph sign to they tricked a Tesla into going 85 mph.

Neither loop is closed so it doesn't look like an 8. And Highway Signs use specific fonts.

AI car should have maps of speed limits too.

Humans know that 85mph isn't a valid speed option.

And the car completely ignored the context, humans would have known that it wasn't an area where high seed would be expected.

And the lack of road markings normally expected on highways.


AI is still mostly pattern recognition from picture sets. No intelligence.

Until the software team or better still the marketing team are legally responsible, driverless cars have no business on the public roads at high speeds.

AMKC

AMKC wrote: »

The crash happened so they got delayed till 2030.

What crash?

Self driving cars are all hat and no cattle. Most AI is.

riclad

Ai for driving cars is very complex, other drivers make mistakes ,pedestrians cross roads at random places, cars have to deal with people on bikes .
Ai just follows rules, looks for signs, traffic lights,
maybe have a speed limit on the cars like 50 mph.
the problem is the software has to work and be safe to other drivers all the time.i think it,ll be 5 years before self driving cars are common.
it,ll be easier to have self driving vans in rural area,s with low levels of traffic maybe outside peak hours eg after 10 am before 4pm.
tech experts always overly optimistic about how long it takes to make robots or software to do things in the physical world.
meanwhile software is replacing many office jobs.