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How is the weather looking for June in Ireland?

  • 29-05-2020 11:06pm
    #1
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,550 ✭✭✭ ShineOn7


    Is it generally looking dry?



    Or can Apps etc only see 7-10 days ahead at most?


Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 12,653 ✭✭✭✭ ninebeanrows


    Cool and changeable


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 15,178 Mod ✭✭✭✭ Gonzo


    There is alot of uncertainty about June, particulary what happens after next weekend. We start off warm for the first 2 days then the GFS wants to bring us a week of much cooler northerlies. The tracking of this is important as a direct hit would definitely be cool and unsettled, but it may track more towards Netherlands and Germany which would put us on the western edge of this northerly, it would be cooler but probably mostly dry. The GFS wants to bring back warm or very warm and settled conditions into the second week of June with the Azores High back in control.

    The ECM brings the northerly but we only get side swiped by it and we go back to a warmer scene more quickly. GEM is fairly similar to the ECM with a brief flirt with a northerly then Azores High back in control very quickly.

    Many models are going for a warmer and dryer second half of June but that is a long way off.

    If we get side swiped by the northerly it would leave us relatively dry and if we build back the Azores High into week 2 we would continue with a very dry scene, so it is possible this June could be another very dry month.

    I don't see any of the models bringing back the Atlantic any time soon.


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