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January 2020 Boards weather forecast contest -- new participants welcome

  • 29-12-2019 8:47pm
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,742 ✭✭✭✭


    As we start a new contest year, this is the best month to get involved as a new or returning (to our contest) forecaster. We have a steady turnout of about 20 to 25 but we would welcome a larger field. The benefits for you would include the fun of competing and once you're involved, regular updates on the developing trends of each month. Okay then, here's the contest which will be unchanged in format from previous years.

    1. Predict the IMT (Irish mean temperature, an average for five stations, Casement, Claremorris, Mullingar, Oak Park and Shannon). The 1981-2010 "normal" value is 5.1 C.

    2. Predict the MAX, the highest daily maximum at any reporting station as confirmed at end of month in the Monthly Summary.

    3. Predict the MIN, the lowest daily minimum at any reporting station as confirmed at end of month in the Monthly Summary.

    4. Predict the PRC, the average rainfall expressed as percentage of normal at the eleven stations we normally use, which include the five mentioned for IMT and also Ballyhaise, Belmullet, Malin Head, Johnstown Castle, Cork and Valentia.

    5. Predict the SUN, the total sunshine expressed as a percentage of normal at the six stations used (Belmullet, Casement, Dublin, Shannon, Cork, Valentia).

    6. For the BONUS question, predict the highest wind gust (knots) at any of the regularly reporting locations (those seen in "yesterday's weather" on the met.ie website). No date or location required. I have the link to that section here:

    https://www.met.ie/latest-reports/observations/yesterday

    _____________________

    Deadline for entries will be 0300h Wednesday 1st of January, with a relaxed penalty timetable for January. Normally we go with 1 point deductions for every 3h late to 1500h 2nd, after which penalties are 1 point per hour (in addition to the 12 points accumulated to that time). But for January, the late penalties will be one point for every six hours to that same cutoff, after which 1 point per hour (in addition to 6 points accumulated to that time), but picking up to 2 points towards the end of the countdown to terminate at the usual time (0700h of the 6th). If a late entry gains any advantage on a specific portion of the contest, a further 5 point deduction may be applied (for example, correctly stating that a wind observation on the 2nd will be the monthly maximum in an entry timed after that observation).

    Good luck !!


Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,738 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    sryanbruen__6.8__15.1__-4.0__105__80__60

    Photography site - https://sryanbruenphoto.com/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,299 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Pauldry__6.5__14.2__-4.3_100__90__65


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,780 ✭✭✭Bsal


    Bsal__5.5__13.1__-4.5__90__95__70


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 196 ✭✭sunflower3


    Sunflower3__5.8__13.8__-4.2__85__90__62


    Happy New Year everyone!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,444 ✭✭✭esposito


    esposito__6.2__14.9__-3.6__110__85__60


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,604 ✭✭✭200motels


    200motels _6.9_14.1_-4.0_107_80__55


  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,451 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    DOCARCH__5.0__12.7__-5.8__90__100__58


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 400 ✭✭mrskinner


    Mrskinner______5.9__13.9__-5.9__89__99__69


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,034 ✭✭✭Artane2002


    Artane2002__6.4__15.1__-3.7__85__90__59


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,513 ✭✭✭✭Rikand


    Rikand ____ 5.5 ____ 15.0 ____ -4.0 ____ 90 ____ 120 ____ 75


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 579 ✭✭✭dasa29


    Dasa29__5.0__13.0__-4.0__100__110__65


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 4,483 Mod ✭✭✭✭mickger844posts


    mickger844posts__6.2__14.1__-3.8__95__80__57


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24 WesternStorm


    WesternStorm__4.9__14.0__-4.0__93__97__60


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,845 ✭✭✭dacogawa


    Dacogawa__5.5__14.4__-6.3_120__92__67


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 350 ✭✭kindredspirit


    Kindred Spirit ___ 5.4 ___ 13.5 ___ -4.0 ___ 95 ___ 110 ___ 69


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 743 ✭✭✭Tae laidir


    Tae laidir __6.1__13.2__-4.6__95__90__72


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,742 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    MTC __________ 6.8 _ 14.7 _ -4.5 _ 095 _ 110 __ 78

    NormaL _______ 5.1 _ 14.0 _ -7.0 _ 100 _ 100 __ 67


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,490 ✭✭✭Jpmarn


    Jpmarn __5.8__14.4__-5.5__105__105__72


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,140 ✭✭✭John mac


    john mac __5.5__13.7__-5.3__105__100__58


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,788 ✭✭✭Joe Public


    Joe Public__5.1__13.8__-6.9__89__109__64

    Is it that time of the year already?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 843 ✭✭✭adam240610


    Adam240610 __6__13.3__-4.4__100__90__68


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,368 ✭✭✭✭JCX BXC


    JCXBXC__6.6__15.0__-4.7__105__90__65


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,987 ✭✭✭BLIZZARD7


    BLIZZARD7 _______ 6.8 _ 15.3 _ -7.0 _ 105 _ 110 __ 75


    Happy New Year to all !


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,742 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Welcome to the 2020 forecast contest ... we may get a few more entries but for now, this is the table of entries received. As noted in the original post, late penalties are cut in half for this month only. Even if you were to read this mid-day Thursday and enter, you would only be looking at a six point deduction instead of the normal 12 (at 1500h, after that, penalties will increase 1 point per hour). Welcome to esposito and WesternStorm, hope we do get some more new (to our contest) forecasters. For their benefit, I will mention that the table of entries runs from highest to lowest IMT predictions and where tied, from high MAX to lower MAX values, if still tied, same idea for MIN etc. Consensus is based on a median rather than a mean of the entries so that a few wildly different values don't have as much effect. Con Sensus has always been about a top five performer in our contests, rather hard for the math to be much different. Scoring is based on the following general concepts:

    IMT max of 25, deduct 1 pt per 0.1 error
    MAX and MIN score 20, deduct 1 pt per 0.1 error
    PRC scores 15, deduct 1 pt per 3% error
    SUN scores 10, deduct 1 pt per 5% error (rounded off, so within 2 scores 10, within 3-7 scores 9 etc)
    BONUS question usually scores 10 and sometimes a point or two extra if you get very close to the right answer(s).

    When regular scoring will be too low, scores revert to "minimum progression" which awards points on a rank-ordered scale from 1 under max to zero. There can be modified minimum progression if one forecaster's raw score is within 2 of the max, then the rest of the scores can only be boosted half as much from raw to progression so that the one accurate forecast is better rewarded relatively speaking. No minimum progression score will be lower than a raw score, sometimes a blend is the fair solution.

    Table of Forecasts for January 2020


    FORECASTER _______ IMT _ MAX _ MIN _ PRC _ SUN ___ Max gust (kn)

    200motels __________ 6.9 _ 14.1 _-4.0 _ 107 _ 080 ____ 55

    BLIZZARD7 ___ (-3) __ 6.8 _ 15.3 _-7.0 _ 105 _ 110 ____ 75

    sryanbruen __________6.8 _ 15.1 _-4.0 _ 105 _ 080 ____ 60

    M.T. Cranium ________ 6.8 _ 14.7 _-4.5 _ 095 _ 110 ____ 78

    JCXBXC ______ (-2) __ 6.6 _ 15.0 _-4.7 _ 105 _ 090 ____ 65

    Pauldry _____________6.5 _ 14.2 _-4.3 _ 100 _ 090 ____ 65

    Artane2002 _________ 6.4 _ 15.1 _-3.7 _ 085 _ 090 ____ 59

    esposito ____________ 6.2 _ 14.9 _-3.6 _ 110 _ 085 ____ 60

    mickger844posts _____ 6.2 _ 14.1 _-3.8 _ 095 _ 080 ____ 57

    Tae laidir ____________6.1 _ 13.2 _-4.6 _ 095 _ 090 ____ 72

    Adam240610 __ (-2) __ 6.0 _ 13.3 _-4.4 _ 100 _ 090 ____ 68

    Mrskinner ___________ 5.9 _ 13.9 _-5.9 _ 089 _ 099 ____ 69


    ___ Con Sensus ______ 5.9 _ 14.1 _-4.4 _ 100 _ 095 ____ 65


    Jpmarn _____________ 5.8 _ 14.4 _-5.5 _ 105 _ 105 ____ 72

    Sunflower3 __________ 5.8 _ 13.8 _-4.2 _ 085 _ 090 ____ 62

    Rikand ______________5.5 _ 15.0 _-4.0 _ 090 _ 120 ____ 75

    Dacogawa ___________ 5.5 _ 14.4 _-6.3 _ 120 _ 092 ____ 67

    john mac _____ (-2) ___5.5 _ 13.7 _-5.3 _ 105 _ 100 ____ 58

    Bsal ________________ 5.5 _ 13.1 _-4.5 _ 090 _ 095 ____ 70

    Kindred Spirit _________5.4 _ 13.5 _-4.0 _ 095 _ 110 ____ 69


    NormaL _____________ 5.1 _ 14.0 _-7.0 _ 100 _ 100 ____ 67


    Joe Public _____ (-2) ___5.1 _ 13.8 _-6.9 _ 089 _ 109 ____ 64

    Dasa29 ______________5.0 _ 13.0 _-4.0 _ 100 _ 110 ____ 65

    DOCARCH ____________5.0 _ 12.7 _-5.8 _ 090 _ 100 ____ 58

    WesternStorm ________ 4.9 _ 14.0 _-4.0 _ 093 _ 097 ____ 60

    ______________________________________________-

    The general consensus appears to be rather mild and near average for rain and sunshine, with a lack of apprehension for strong winds (only three of us went as high as 75 knots). Later entries will be added and Con Sensus may change as a result.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 382 ✭✭waterways


    I thought I had posted. :( Must be age ....


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,299 ✭✭✭pauldry


    14.3c in 3 locations today but Pheonix may have got higher or Moore Park

    Also saw gusts near 60 knots on reports so maybe a target gust has been set


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,742 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    waterways wrote: »
    I thought I had posted. :( Must be age ....

    No worries, just jump back in next month and try to avoid two low scores, for most people I've noticed the first score to go is a really low one but the second score discarded in best 10/12 is often just a point or two below the next lowest.

    So as long as you follow that pattern, missing one month just costs you a couple of points in the main contest.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,742 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Just a heads up also, if anyone is following this month's thread and didn't notice, I posted historical scoring records from the entire decade in the December thread. Will be adding a few things to that going forward.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 743 ✭✭✭Tae laidir


    Newport Furnace had a max of 14.4 yesterday.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,299 ✭✭✭pauldry


    Malin Head had a gust of 59


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,742 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    After the first week ...

    IMT on 7.6 which is 2.3 above normal.

    MAX of 14.4, MIN still looking for our location.

    PRC was 64.5% of normal.

    SUN was 103% (619/600), Belmullet rather cloudy otherwise average around 130%.

    As reported above, max gust so far is 59 knots.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,738 ✭✭✭✭sryanbruen


    -1.3C Markree, 10th.

    Photography site - https://sryanbruenphoto.com/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,742 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    OMG if that were to hold up to end of month. I think there's a -2 coming along though.

    The IMT was 6.9 after ten days (Shannon at 8.0). It may stay there one more day then begin a slow decline, thinking the mean temperature Sunday to a week from today will be closer to 5.5, which would leave the IMT at about 6.3 C.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,788 ✭✭✭Joe Public


    73 Knots at Roches Point yesterday - blows my prediction out of the water


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,742 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    After two weeks ...

    IMT now at 6.6 with the second week 5.6 (0.5 above normal).

    MAX 14.4, MIN -1.3

    PRC now up to 120% as the second week was 175% of normal.

    SUN down to 95% as the second week at 87% (522/600).

    ______________________________________________

    Bonus scoring if the 73 knot gust at Roches' Point holds up ...

    10 pts _ Tae laidir and JPmarn (predicted 72)

    9 pts _ BLIZZARD7 and Rikand (predicted 75)

    8 pts _ Bsal (70) and MrSkinner, Kindred spirit (69)

    7 pts _ M.T. Cranium (78) and Adam240610 (68)

    6 pts _ Dacogawa (67) also NormaL (67)

    5 pts _ JCX BXC, Pauldry, Dasa29 (all 65) also Con Sensus (65)

    4 pts _ Joe Public (64) and Sunflower3 (62)

    3 pts _ sryanbruen, esposito, Western Storm (all 60)

    2 pts _ Artane2002 (59), John mac and DOCARCH (both 58)

    1 pt __ mickger844posts (57), 200motels (55)

    (will adjust if we do get a stronger wind gust, not really expecting that now)


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 743 ✭✭✭Tae laidir


    -2.0 around the Fields of Athenry yesterday.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,299 ✭✭✭pauldry


    -4c there this morning and -4.5c in Ballymote


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,299 ✭✭✭pauldry


    -5c in both Mt Dillon and Mullingar


  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,451 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    -5.7c was low at Mullingar (according to ME this morning). Hoping for a correction to -5.8c! ;)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,140 ✭✭✭John mac


    still -5 at 4 stations at 08:00


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,490 ✭✭✭Jpmarn


    MIN is now -6.1 recorded at Mullingar on the 19th.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,742 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    After three weeks ...

    IMT on 5.9 (5.86) with third week a rather chilly 4.4 (0.8 below normal).

    MAX 14.4 MIN -6.1

    PRC 92% of normal after a dry 36% recorded in third week.

    SUN took a big jump to 132% as third week quite bright at 205% (1231/600).

    Max gust remains 73 knots.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,742 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    After four weeks ...

    IMT on 5.8 with the fourth week at 5.5 (0.5 above normal). Looks like a finish on 5.9 is most probable.

    MAX remains 14.4 and MIN -6.1.

    PRC at 83% with this past week rather dry at 67% of normal. This will perhaps finish as low as 80%.

    SUN has dipped to 117% with this past week on 72% (430/600). The finish here will be around 115%.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,742 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    With a very mild finish to the month, the IMT managed to reach 6.0 C. There was a run at a new MAX but nothing above 14 was reported.

    The PRC appears to be 81% and Claremorris was the only one of the eleven sites we use that came in above normal.

    SUN has been rather dim in the final three days so will adjust that estimate down to 110%.

    I will provide some provisional scoring as it will be the 4th of Feb before we see the MS.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,742 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Provisional scoring for January 2020

    * minimum progression required for MIN scores, boost reduced by half due to raw scores of 18 (which went to 20).


    FORECASTER _______ IMT_MAX_MIN_PRC_SUN___Max gust__TOTAL

    Estimated values _____ 6.0_14.4_-6.1_081_110___73


    Mrskinner ___________ 24 _ 15 _ 20*_ 12 _ 08 __ 08 _____ 87

    Jpmarn _____________ 23 _ 20 _ 18*_ 07 _ 09 __ 10 _____ 87

    Dacogawa ___________ 20 _ 20 _ 20*_ 02 _ 06 __ 06 _____ 74

    Joe Public _____ (-2) ___16 _ 14 _ 17*_ 12 _ 10 __ 04 _73-2=71


    ___ Con Sensus ______ 24 _ 17 _ 09*_ 09 _ 07 __ 05 _____ 71

    ___ NormaL _________ 16 _ 16 _ 16*_ 09 _ 08 __ 06 _____ 71


    M.T. Cranium ________ 17 _ 17 _ 09*_ 10 _ 10 __ 07 _____ 70

    Sunflower3 __________ 23 _ 14 _ 08*_ 14 _ 06 __ 04 _____ 69

    Tae laidir ____________24 _ 08 _ 10*_ 10 _ 06 __ 10 _____ 68

    Rikand ______________20 _ 14 _ 04*_ 12 _ 08 __ 09 _____ 67

    BLIZZARD7 ___ (-3) ___17 _ 11 _ 16*_ 07 _ 10 __ 09 _70-3=67

    john mac _____ (-2) ___20 _ 13 _ 17*_ 07 _ 08 __ 02 _67-2=65

    Pauldry _____________ 20 _ 18 _ 06*_ 09 _ 06 __ 05 _____ 64

    Bsal ________________ 20 _ 07 _ 09*_ 12 _ 07 __ 08 _____ 63

    Adam240610 __ (-2) __ 25 _ 09 _ 09*_ 09 _ 06 __ 07 _65-2=63

    Kindred Spirit ________ 19 _ 11 _ 04*_ 10 _ 10 __ 08 _____ 62

    DOCARCH ___________ 15 _ 03 _ 19*_ 12 _ 08 __ 02 _____ 59

    JCXBXC ______ (-2) ___19 _ 14 _ 10*_ 07 _ 06 __ 05 _61-2=59

    Artane2002 __________ 21 _ 13 _ 01*_ 14 _ 06 __ 02 _____ 57

    mickger844posts ______22 _ 17 _ 02*_ 10 _ 04 __ 01 _____ 56

    WesternStorm ________14 _ 16 _ 04*_ 11 _ 07 __ 03 _____ 55

    esposito _____________22 _ 15 _ 00 _ 05 _ 05 __ 03 _____ 50

    Dasa29 _____________ 15 _ 06 _ 04*_ 09 _ 10 __ 05 _____ 49

    sryanbruen __________ 17 _ 13 _ 04*_ 07 _ 04 __ 03 _____ 48

    200motels ___________16 _ 17 _ 04*_ 06 _ 04 __ 01 _____ 48


    ============================================

    (actual forecasts)

    FORECASTER _______ IMT _ MAX _ MIN _ PRC _ SUN ___ Max gust (kn)

    200motels __________ 6.9 _ 14.1 _-4.0 _ 107 _ 080 ____ 55

    BLIZZARD7 ___ (-3) __ 6.8 _ 15.3 _-7.0 _ 105 _ 110 ____ 75

    sryanbruen __________6.8 _ 15.1 _-4.0 _ 105 _ 080 ____ 60

    M.T. Cranium ________ 6.8 _ 14.7 _-4.5 _ 095 _ 110 ____ 78

    JCXBXC ______ (-2) __ 6.6 _ 15.0 _-4.7 _ 105 _ 090 ____ 65

    Pauldry _____________6.5 _ 14.2 _-4.3 _ 100 _ 090 ____ 65

    Artane2002 _________ 6.4 _ 15.1 _-3.7 _ 085 _ 090 ____ 59

    esposito ____________ 6.2 _ 14.9 _-3.6 _ 110 _ 085 ____ 60

    mickger844posts _____ 6.2 _ 14.1 _-3.8 _ 095 _ 080 ____ 57

    Tae laidir ____________6.1 _ 13.2 _-4.6 _ 095 _ 090 ____ 72

    Adam240610 __ (-2) __ 6.0 _ 13.3 _-4.4 _ 100 _ 090 ____ 68

    Mrskinner ___________ 5.9 _ 13.9 _-5.9 _ 089 _ 099 ____ 69


    ___ Con Sensus ______ 5.9 _ 14.1 _-4.4 _ 100 _ 095 ____ 65


    Jpmarn _____________ 5.8 _ 14.4 _-5.5 _ 105 _ 105 ____ 72

    Sunflower3 __________ 5.8 _ 13.8 _-4.2 _ 085 _ 090 ____ 62

    Rikand ______________5.5 _ 15.0 _-4.0 _ 090 _ 120 ____ 75

    Dacogawa ___________ 5.5 _ 14.4 _-6.3 _ 120 _ 092 ____ 67

    john mac _____ (-2) ___5.5 _ 13.7 _-5.3 _ 105 _ 100 ____ 58

    Bsal ________________ 5.5 _ 13.1 _-4.5 _ 090 _ 095 ____ 70

    Kindred Spirit _________5.4 _ 13.5 _-4.0 _ 095 _ 110 ____ 69


    NormaL _____________ 5.1 _ 14.0 _-7.0 _ 100 _ 100 ____ 67


    Joe Public _____ (-2) ___5.1 _ 13.8 _-6.9 _ 089 _ 109 ____ 64

    Dasa29 ______________5.0 _ 13.0 _-4.0 _ 100 _ 110 ____ 65

    DOCARCH ____________5.0 _ 12.7 _-5.8 _ 090 _ 100 ____ 58

    WesternStorm ________ 4.9 _ 14.0 _-4.0 _ 093 _ 097 ____ 60

    ______________________________________________________________

    Will be confirming these scores or adjusting them on the 4th. Looks like MrSkinner and JPmarn have sprinted out to an early lead with Dacogawa and Joe Public managing to stay within sight. Scoring in general fairly good I would say, don't often see a month with no scores below 48. No advantage in hugging consensus or normal this time.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,742 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    So the monthly summary appeared today and eventually so did MTC (long day for me on Monday, slept in) ... all appears good with the provisional scoring except that SUN calculates to 115% instead of 110% as used. This will alter most scores by one point. Revised scoring will be posted soon. It looks like everyone loses one point except Rikand who goes up one point (he had 120% for SUN). Will still post the new table anyway.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,742 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Updated (final) scoring for January 2020

    * minimum progression required for MIN scores, boost reduced by half due to raw scores of 18 (which went to 20).


    FORECASTER _______ IMT_MAX_MIN_PRC_SUN___Max gust__TOTAL

    Confirmed values _____ 6.0_14.4_-6.1_081_115___73


    Mrskinner ___________ 24 _ 15 _ 20*_ 12 _ 07 __ 08 _____ 86

    Jpmarn _____________ 23 _ 20 _ 18*_ 07 _ 08 __ 10 _____ 86

    Dacogawa ___________ 20 _ 20 _ 20*_ 02 _ 05 __ 06 _____ 73

    Joe Public _____ (-2) ___16 _ 14 _ 17*_ 12 _ 09 __ 04 _72-2=70


    ___ Con Sensus ______ 24 _ 17 _ 09*_ 09 _ 06 __ 05 _____ 70

    ___ NormaL _________ 16 _ 16 _ 16*_ 09 _ 07 __ 06 _____ 70


    M.T. Cranium ________ 17 _ 17 _ 09*_ 10 _ 09 __ 07 _____ 69

    Sunflower3 __________ 23 _ 14 _ 08*_ 14 _ 05 __ 04 _____ 68

    Rikand ______________20 _ 14 _ 04*_ 12 _ 09 __ 09 _____ 68

    Tae laidir ____________24 _ 08 _ 10*_ 10 _ 05 __ 10 _____ 67

    BLIZZARD7 ___ (-3) ___17 _ 11 _ 16*_ 07 _ 09 __ 09 _69-3=66

    john mac _____ (-2) ___20 _ 13 _ 17*_ 07 _ 07 __ 02 _66-2=64

    Pauldry _____________ 20 _ 18 _ 06*_ 09 _ 05 __ 05 _____ 63

    Bsal ________________20 _ 07 _ 09*_ 12 _ 06 __ 08 _____ 62

    Adam240610 __ (-2) __ 25 _ 09 _ 09*_ 09 _ 05 __ 07 _64-2=62

    Kindred Spirit ________ 19 _ 11 _ 04*_ 10 _ 09 __ 08 _____ 61

    DOCARCH ___________ 15 _ 03 _ 19*_ 12 _ 07 __ 02 _____ 58

    JCXBXC ______ (-2) ___19 _ 14 _ 10*_ 07 _ 05 __ 05 _60-2=58

    Artane2002 __________ 21 _ 13 _ 01*_ 14 _ 05 __ 02 _____ 56

    mickger844posts ______22 _ 17 _ 02*_ 10 _ 03 __ 01 _____ 55

    WesternStorm ________14 _ 16 _ 04*_ 11 _ 06 __ 03 _____ 54

    esposito _____________22 _ 15 _ 00 _ 05 _ 04 __ 03 _____ 49

    Dasa29 _____________ 15 _ 06 _ 04*_ 09 _ 09 __ 05 _____ 48

    sryanbruen __________ 17 _ 13 _ 04*_ 07 _ 03 __ 03 _____ 47

    200motels ___________16 _ 17 _ 04*_ 06 _ 03 __ 01 _____ 47


    ============================================

    (actual forecasts)

    FORECASTER _______ IMT _ MAX _ MIN _ PRC _ SUN ___ Max gust (kn)

    200motels __________ 6.9 _ 14.1 _-4.0 _ 107 _ 080 ____ 55

    BLIZZARD7 ___ (-3) __ 6.8 _ 15.3 _-7.0 _ 105 _ 110 ____ 75

    sryanbruen __________6.8 _ 15.1 _-4.0 _ 105 _ 080 ____ 60

    M.T. Cranium ________ 6.8 _ 14.7 _-4.5 _ 095 _ 110 ____ 78

    JCXBXC ______ (-2) __ 6.6 _ 15.0 _-4.7 _ 105 _ 090 ____ 65

    Pauldry _____________6.5 _ 14.2 _-4.3 _ 100 _ 090 ____ 65

    Artane2002 _________ 6.4 _ 15.1 _-3.7 _ 085 _ 090 ____ 59

    esposito ____________ 6.2 _ 14.9 _-3.6 _ 110 _ 085 ____ 60

    mickger844posts _____ 6.2 _ 14.1 _-3.8 _ 095 _ 080 ____ 57

    Tae laidir ____________6.1 _ 13.2 _-4.6 _ 095 _ 090 ____ 72

    Adam240610 __ (-2) __ 6.0 _ 13.3 _-4.4 _ 100 _ 090 ____ 68

    Mrskinner ___________ 5.9 _ 13.9 _-5.9 _ 089 _ 099 ____ 69


    ___ Con Sensus ______ 5.9 _ 14.1 _-4.4 _ 100 _ 095 ____ 65


    Jpmarn _____________ 5.8 _ 14.4 _-5.5 _ 105 _ 105 ____ 72

    Sunflower3 __________ 5.8 _ 13.8 _-4.2 _ 085 _ 090 ____ 62

    Rikand ______________5.5 _ 15.0 _-4.0 _ 090 _ 120 ____ 75

    Dacogawa ___________ 5.5 _ 14.4 _-6.3 _ 120 _ 092 ____ 67

    john mac _____ (-2) ___5.5 _ 13.7 _-5.3 _ 105 _ 100 ____ 58

    Bsal ________________ 5.5 _ 13.1 _-4.5 _ 090 _ 095 ____ 70

    Kindred Spirit _________5.4 _ 13.5 _-4.0 _ 095 _ 110 ____ 69


    NormaL _____________ 5.1 _ 14.0 _-7.0 _ 100 _ 100 ____ 67


    Joe Public _____ (-2) ___5.1 _ 13.8 _-6.9 _ 089 _ 109 ____ 64

    Dasa29 ______________5.0 _ 13.0 _-4.0 _ 100 _ 110 ____ 65

    DOCARCH ____________5.0 _ 12.7 _-5.8 _ 090 _ 100 ____ 58

    WesternStorm ________ 4.9 _ 14.0 _-4.0 _ 093 _ 097 ____ 60

    ______________________________________________________________


    So congrats to MrSkinner and JPmarn for their high scoring efforts in January, also well done to Dacogawa and Joe Public.


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