Longshot Value Galway/Goodwood

longshotvalue

Galway 5:55

Water Sprite is interesting here at a huge price . He’s had a break and a pipe opener and also has a claimer on . He also has course form on the flat .

1 point ew 5 places 33/1 gen

longshotvalue

3:35

Southern France is a forgotten relatively unexposed 2 miler.

2 pts ew 25/1

supremenovice

Your old mate Valseur Lido in the Plate tomorrow at a huge 66/1. chances?

longshotvalue

My Newer Mate Coney island just wins. :rolleyes:

longshotvalue

7:40. Going for 4 last places in a row, but down in class, drawn 1 and blinkers on. It would be rude not to. #everythinghasitsprice . Zabriskie

1 Point EW 100/1 5 places various

longshotvalue

3:35 Goodwood
Its yet to be proven that the current 3yo’s are anything but ordinary, so given that the older milers form keeps getting strengthened this year , we’ll have to go for the value options here. Accidental Agent is near the best of these on his day. If his head is right today he can get involved at a huge price. Similarly I Can Fly has a big race in her at some stage .
1 Point EW 50/1 Accidental Paddy
1 Point EW I Can Fly 40/1 Paddy
7:20 Galway
I’ve only had 1 horse in mind for this since I saw the entry. Coney Island is the class horse in the race, of what look a good mark. Once more over the cliff
2 Points win 14/1 paddy/betfair/vc

longshotvalue

Good1:50

Fun Mac looks sure to go close here . Worst phrase in racing is ew bet to nothing , that might apply to him . I’ll still go win though .

1 point win 12/1 gen

longshotvalue

Gone with a fun bet in the next as i happen to be watching . Freetown 50/1 EW. Decent run last time. Actually went 33/1 EW 6 places 365

Peintre Celebre

aidankkk wrote: »

Gone with a fun bet in the next as i happen to be watching . Freetown 50/1 EW. Decent run last time. Actually went 33/1 EW 6 places 365

365 went 3 extra places on a maiden?

Earendil

Peintre Celebre wrote: »

365 went 3 extra places on a maiden?

EW extra with B365. Basically accepting lower odds for more placings.

longshotvalue

Never had time to look today. But I’m just on Due Reward at 33/1 ew . Good run at Cheltenham , unexposed .

longshotvalue

aidankkk wrote: »

Never had time to look today. But I’m just on Due Reward at 33/1 ew . Good run at Cheltenham , unexposed .

😩.... Feck sake . Great run though

RicketyCricket

Unlucky Aidan, so damn close, great pick.

longshotvalue

Good wood 3:00

Well Drawn, course form . Big price . Has to be backed here . Chance if he can get over standard meydan headache .



1 pt ew Original Choice 50/1 5 places

longshotvalue

3:35


There isn’t a lot between any of these after the fav and Ornate will be suited by the fast track here .

1 pt ew 50/1 gen

FortuneChip

aidankkk wrote: »

3:35


There isn’t a lot between any of these after the fav and Ornate will be suited by the fast track here .

1 pt ew 50/1 gen

Oh you cheeky divil!
Great shout.

MacGyver007

aidankkk wrote: »

3:35


There isn’t a lot between any of these after the fav and Ornate will be suited by the fast track here .

1 pt ew 50/1 gen

Very well done indeed!

longshotvalue

Galway 5:10
Can’t resist Orgilgo Bay . Back from a very long break with some flat runs . On a good mark in a race he has form .
1 pt ew 50/1 5 places (extra place special) 365 4 places elsewhere

4068ac1elhodqr

Tommorow 13:50 might be ideal for any longshots (7pl).
Thus (before any bias is factored in) there is a 29.16666666666665 (approx) chance of any horse placing.

Will simply play it safe with two short 7.0 and 10.0 shots,
before considering anything more venturous on the e/w accas.

longshotvalue

1:50 Goodwood

If you look at the races Dark Shot gets cover and the ones he doesn’t, there is a huge difference. He got none here during the week again and ran poorly. He’ll certainly get it here and look sure to get involved in the finish.

2 Points EW 7 places 20/1 sky 6places paddy/betfair

longshotvalue

2:25 Goodwood

What a Welcome, seemed to do too much early last time out and can be forgiven. If he can get back to the form of his run here earlier this year, he’ll be involve in the finish here. He’s on a workable mark compared to the fav.

1 Point EW 4 places 25/1 Gen

longshotvalue

3:40 Goodwood

George Bowen has been the only horse on my mind or this for a while, and I was hoping for a big price. He has been good this year, but has excuses for his last few poor runs, which have him now on the right mark.

2 Points EW 33/1 7 places Sky 6places paddy Lads

longshotvalue

2:30 Galway

Mitchouka, showed a return to form on his second last run and I wonder will he be suited by this step up in trip given his good 4yo form on soft ground. He’s on a nice mark with a 7lbs claimer on, in a relatively poor race for the money.

1 Point EW 33/1 5 places paddy/vc/sky

longshotvalue

3:40 Goodwood
I’ve been looking for a low drawn horse, and I’m going to go with Hyperfocus. He is an all or nothing performer but has won of this mark is drawn 2. He has been gradually improving lately, and 100/1 is the price I was looking for
1 Point EW 100/1 7 places sky, 6 places else