Brighton 28 May

Theonly way

Three bets : short odds




Tarrzan @11/4


Mamillius @ 5/4


Franz Kafka
@ 10/11


GL

Mostly Harmless

Theonlygoat

Theonly way

Mostly Harmless wrote: »

Theonlygoat

Well it would be hard to replicate your set of failures as posted .


Truly.

Theonly way

Yesterday, 14:43 #6
Mostly Harmless
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3.05 Windsor. Deputise, have bet this one heavy at around 5/1, been told by the baby sitter of the uncle of a trainee bookmaker that it wins today.

(I have genuinely backed it but couldn't resist the chance to take the piss)


Finished 4th of 5.

Theonly way

Mostly Harmless
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 2ndcoming View Post
Goat's most correct post ever on the day ye're all slagging him.
Even stopped clocks are right twice a day to be fair.

I have also bet:

First Sitting in the 4.10 at Redcar - generally needs first run of year and this is a grade below what he is used to, probably worth taking the 4 places 1/5.

Miss Mumtaz in the 4.50 at Windsor - top two in market can be opposed - Birch Grove looked a complete monkey on recent starts and the fav unlikely to have beaten a lot last time and bit of a question mark over firmer ground makes her plenty short enough at odds on, Miss Mumtaz done OK over jumps since last flat run and still unexposed at this trip.
Mostly Harmless is online now Report Post

Mostly Harmless

Theonly way wrote: »

Yesterday, 14:43 #6
Mostly Harmless
Registered User

Join Date: May 2013
Posts: 1,031
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3.05 Windsor. Deputise, have bet this one heavy at around 5/1, been told by the baby sitter of the uncle of a trainee bookmaker that it wins today.

(I have genuinely backed it but couldn't resist the chance to take the piss)


Finished 4th of 5.

Goatygoatygoatgoat

Not going to argue with a guy who cannot write normal sentences or figure out how to quote a post. Keep focussing on the sample size of three from yesterday. "Truly".

GL

Theonly way

Mostly Harmless wrote: »

Goatygoatygoatgoat

The ignorance of your posts suggests give up guessing .


For sure forget about betting as proven to yourself from your own posts .


Goodbye.

Mostly Harmless

Theonly way wrote: »

The ignorance of your posts suggests give up guessing .


For sure forget about betting as proven to yourself from your own posts .


Goodbye.

I'm reading your posts but all I am hearing in my head are fart sounds

IAMAMORON

Is anyone backing Mall Dini in the stayers chase at Ballinrobe tonight ?

Pat Kelly is so inconsistent I am kind of afraid to. But if he was trying he would certainly have a chance on his best form.

My worry would be maybe they are trying to get his mark down for a crack at the Galway Plate? Given he is such a ****e jumper it makes sense.

Theonly way

50x6x  Tesseract 0 39%-56%-18 
4x201  Peregrine Run 0 34%-63%-32 
500x0  Pylonthepressure 0 31%-54%-13 
41453  Mrs Lovett 0 29%-59%-17 
10x5l  De Name Escapes Me 0 26%-47%-19 
3x681  Mac N Cheese 0 25%-38%-16 
56210  Landofhopeandglory 0 23%-50%-30 
x340x  Stoneford 0 20%-60%-10 
0x231  Swingbridge 0 19%-59%-37 
x5351  Carrig Cathal 0 19%-41%-27 
01759  The Gatechecker 0 18%-44%-34 
20900  Wishmoor 0 18%-41%-22 
00x63  Ask Susan 0 15%-48%-33 
4l7x4  Full Cry 0 15%-44%-27 
x00x3  Icantsay 0 14%-33%-36 
1l000  Ah Littleluck 0 14%-31%-35 
3x62x  Mall Dini 0 13%-63%-24 
07010  Fine Theatre 0 11%-22%-27 

Theonly way

Opps Should have taken out the draw which is the 0.

Other than that wins_places_runs.

gl

IAMAMORON

Does your machine factor in Connachtabilty ?

Mostly Harmless

Theonly way wrote: »

Opps Should have taken out the draw which is the 0.

Other than that wins_places_runs.

gl

FYI: Your Mall Dini figure for places is WRONG (67% is correct), assume you are not counting a 4th place somewhere. I'd say raw figures without much context are largely meaningless but at least get the data right.

Luap

Theonly way wrote: »

Three bets : short odds




Tarrzan @11/4


Mamillius @ 5/4


Franz Kafka
@ 10/11


GL

Max win or max lay?

Theonly way

IAMAMORON wrote: »

Does your machine factor in Connachtabilty ?

Very funny >>>>>>>> ha!!!


Of course not but backing in that event well IMHO one needs alot of luck and a big price as there are plenty capable of winning.


Better opportunities to make a profit than that event. IMHO.


GL

IAMAMORON

What percentage chance has Getaway Katie Mai got in the handicap hurdle?

Is she prepping for Galway as well? Does she need to win this to get into Galway for the biggest and best hurdle race in the world ?

Mostly Harmless

My Brighton guesses, will be giving up the game if I blank out today

2.00: Tarzan
2.30: Elysium Dream
3.30: Narjes
4.00: King Athelstan
4.30: Imbucato
5.00: Cent Flying

Theonly way

2  12x11  Sole Pretender 0 67%-83%-6 
10  1x21x  Getaway Katie Mai 0 60%-100%-5 
18  83024  Bridge Native 0 5%-55%-20 
17  4x040  Masterstonemason 0 5%-25%-20 
7  30x05  Dromore Lad 0 31%-46%-13 
12  44311  Roxboro Road 0 30%-40%-10 
3  x15x0  Lone Wolf 0 29%-57%-7 
1  x0x50  Swamp Fox 0 19%-61%-36 
16  32313  Lethal Steps 0 17%-56%-18 
9  00020  Dorans River 0 17%-33%-24 
15  210x0  Lizzies Champ 0 16%-47%-19 
5  4lx21  Crossed My Mind 0 15%-38%-13 
14  71x22  Waterville Dancer 0 14%-64%-14 
13  x0x60  Eoline Jolie 0 14%-14%-7 
11  0x086  Silver Star 0 13%-53%-15 
8  x2512  Cosmo's Moon 0 10%-50%-10 
6  x7008  Awayinthewest 0 10%-48%-31 

Mostly Harmless

IAMAMORON wrote: »

What percentage chance has Getaway Katie Mai got in the handicap hurdle?

Is she prepping for Galway as well? Does she need to win this to get into Galway for the biggest and best hurdle race in the world ?

Off 123 today, low 130s to get into the Galway Hurdle, so would need to win and win well.

Theonly way

Fresh records (i.e horse running after a break)

2  12x11  Sole Pretender 0 31  2-0-3  but its had its fun whereas

10  1x21x  Getaway Katie Mai 0 166  2-2-4  Excellent record and with you .


Good pick.

gazza1

Couple of ew bets for me at ballinrobe

6.30 Silver Star
Stayed on well at punch and the extra today should benefit.

8.00 Icantsay
Big swing in the weights with Swingbridge. Drop in trip will suit and trainer does well here with chasers

GL

Kauto

Mostly Harmless wrote: »

Off 123 today, low 130s to get into the Galway Hurdle, so would need to win and win well.

I would doubt she is out for anything other than a sighter tonight Lovely mark which will be exploited in time to come.

The best handicapped horse in the country Waterville Dancer runs in the same race. Have no doubt this will win the 2M5F handicap hurdle on the Sat in Galway.

Should win tonight and judging how they are holding up the price on BF it looks like it will be punted.

Mostly Harmless

Kauto wrote: »

I would doubt she is out for anything other than a sighter tonight Lovely mark which will be exploited in time to come.

The best handicapped horse in the country Waterville Dancer runs in the same race. Have no doubt this will win the 2M5F handicap hurdle on the Sat in Galway.

Should win tonight and judging how they are holding up the price on BF it looks like it will be punted.

This being jumps I have no opinion, but as I am forced into watching it with the mixed cards at Ballybrit I know what bottom weight is normally in the Galway hurdle :pac:

realdanbreen

Mostly Harmless wrote: »

I'm reading your posts but all I am hearing in my head are fart sounds

Which of the 3 monkeys in there is farting?

Mostly Harmless

realdanbreen wrote: »

Which of the 3 monkeys in there is farting?

dunno but he's farting louder than ever when I read your posts

irish_major

Mostly Harmless wrote: »

Off 123 today, low 130s to get into the Galway Hurdle, so would need to win and win well.

The Galway hurdle is over 2 months away. No horses participation will be decided tonight.

Mostly Harmless

irish_major wrote: »

The Galway hurdle is over 2 months away. No horses participation will be decided tonight.

Question was asked if she would need to win tonight to get in to the race and it was answered. I have no idea about this jump racing muck anyway

Francie Barrett

Southwell 7:10 - Archimedes a horse I have been following for a good while. Runs in a race that is probably a bit better than what it's usually used to, but it is a four time course and distance winner, and I can't help but have a small ew bet at 33/1 given that it has a decent draw. JoGo had a bit of a nightmare season in the previous year or so, but recent rides been looking better, so maybe the jockey hitting some form too.

Theonly way

Look My data has been wrong on THIS day which is not over .

Fot sure I am down.

Fact.

TheMilkyPirate

Waterville dancer absolutely flew home for second there after looking in big trouble 5f out

SonOfGoat

First 2 bets of the day.

6.40 Southwell, Chetwynd Abbey, around 3.6'ish. I'm laying this. I don't think it can follow up on it's last win. Hopefully the price comes in a little but even at 3.6/3.65 it's a very solid lay.

6.50 Ayr, my strongest bet of the day, Jackhammer around 2.25 or 5/4 on the exchange. I think this is a good price and I think it will scoot in. Backing to win.

One more bet lined up for tonight.

Good luck

Kauto

TheMilkyPirate wrote: »

Waterville dancer absolutely flew home for second there after looking in big trouble 5f out

Useless yoke of a jockey. Got bullied out orbit early. Horse probably lacked a bit of experience but is chucked in and will win plenty

Mostly Harmless

Variance not playing ball at Brighton, few bets on the fibresand:
7.10: Eternal Sun
7.40: Poeta Brasileiro
8.10: Bee Machine

Theonly way

Well a fj today for me .

I had a few with my excellent math but lost and some more.

Agh Really annoying.

Should have won .

WicklowBrave

What a steed Wicklow Brave is.

Slattsy

WicklowBrave wrote: »

What a steed Wicklow Brave is.

Arkle contender I wonder?

WicklowBrave

Slattsy wrote: »

Arkle contender I wonder?

Nah I wouldn’t think so personally but I could be wrong.

SonOfGoat

8.20 Ayr, Addis Ababa. Around 6/4, I'm pretty confident this will win hard held.

Unfortunate with the last runner, would have been a perfect 3 on the day.

Til tomorrow

Theonly way

Ah Have to be really disappointed with my performance on a day where I would normally clean up.



On reflection getting in to a fruitless argument with that useless poster more than likely fkd up my bad choices.

or maybe looking for excuses .Possibly

Either way a huge disadvantage as knocked my confidence off the imaginary wall after having some absolute brilliant returns .

I will take a break from it now for about 3 days gather my data again and wait for the proper level tracks .

They dont begin with b .
and should end with K

(KIPS) Ha so said the loser .



gl

Theonly way

Mostly Harmless wrote: »

Variance not playing ball at Brighton, few bets on the fibresand:
7.10: Eternal Sun
7.40: Poeta Brasileiro
8.10: Bee Machine

Its not fibersand



For future reference is silica (i.e beach sand)

Theonly way

SonOfGoat wrote: »

8.20 Ayr, Addis Ababa. Around 6/4, I'm pretty confident this will win hard held.

Unfortunate with the last runner, would have been a perfect 3 on the day.

Til tomorrow

Truly thought you were unlucky in the 8.20.


One of those days .

Theonly way

to>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

Mostly harmless.


68 selections without a winner . +your rubbish = useless.

As stated before try the "pin" method and leave the professionals at it as you will save your money.

Theonly way

If you have any which given your record well there has to be a doubt because not unless you won the lotto your advice is what it states .

Look not in a good mood after losing alot today but for sure wont be tolerating some idiot who claims to win picking up stones and does not know the difference in the AW tracks.

I am not done with you yet as will prove what an idiot you are.

Theonly way

Bet you dont even know how many losers you put up today.

For sure .

Mostly Harmless

Yep. Still just hearing fart sounds. Paaarrrrrrp.

Slattsy

If only this place was Moderated.

Mostly Harmless

Slattsy wrote: »

If only this place was Moderated.

You'll probably get an infraction for back seat modding now :pac:
I quite enjoyed reading the ramblings of a lunatic posting through the night anyway.