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Sunday 05th Jan

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  • 06-01-2019 10:56am
    #1
    ON ZEE BRIDLE
    Registered Users Posts: 314 ✭✭


    Cracking novice hurdle at Naas today, I can't split the two in the market and either can the bookies it seems!


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    #2
    La danseuse au cheval
    Registered Users Posts: 100 ✭✭La danseuse au cheval


    I've an e/w on Baddesley Prince in the 12:40, can't see him not placing.
    Elite Icon e/w in the 13:30.
    Drumconnor Lad e/w in the 14:20.
    And Dommersen e/w in the 14:30.

    Good luck all!


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    #3
    HarshOstrich
    Registered Users Posts: 1,107 ✭✭✭HarshOstrich


    I taught isharah was interesting yesterday when I first looked at the cards in the first at Newcastle, was 20/1 then and I see he is 5s now,,only runner for the Irish trainer I think and only ride for Oisin Orr,big run looks on the cards for a previous course winner in a much higher class.

    Battleroverdoyen looked to achieve more than tornado flyer on there hurdling debuts,TF looked abit laboured to me while battleroverdoyen was like an aero plane, slick and travelled powerfully.


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    #4
    gazza1
    Registered Users Posts: 1,137 ✭✭✭gazza1


    Have had an ew nibble on Sam's Profile in that grade 1 @22's.
    Beaten 4L by Derrinross who followed up next time in a Grade 2.
    Based on that run I think the drop back 20f will be ideal and with just the 3 runs to date must have more to offer.

    GL


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    #5
    STB.
    Registered Users Posts: 5,380 ✭✭✭STB.


    Yes HarshOstrich, I was watching this morning to see if there was any interest. Best price I could get was 13/2 with UnFair. Horse was bought out of Mark Johnsons a year ago to go hurdling and has been abysmal.

    A horse whose rating has been dropped 30 pounds by running over inadequate trips at Dundalk in recent times, it seems.

    Now back out to sevens due to the money for Grey Mist.

    On the Irish card, I thought Arvico Bleu was the bet of the day in the 2.20 5/2. When you see the ratings of the horse that beat it in beginners chases (Le Richbourg is now rated 150). Only danger is the one down the bottom off 10st 3. So thats the forecast.


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    #6
    HarshOstrich
    Registered Users Posts: 1,107 ✭✭✭HarshOstrich


    Isharah 16/1 now ha


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    #7
    STB.
    Registered Users Posts: 5,380 ✭✭✭STB.


    HarshOstrich wrote: »
    Isharah 16/1 now ha


    And ran like a drain. The regression looks real. Outpaced, unfit or injured. Take your pick.


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    #8
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭ [Deleted User]


    Master Dino looked pretty decent there!


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    #9
    Auroras_encore
    Users Awaiting Email Confirmation Posts: 568 ✭✭✭Auroras_encore


    Fair play to rhubarb lots of jockeys would have kept going when something was clearly amiss


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    #10
    gazza1
    Registered Users Posts: 1,137 ✭✭✭gazza1


    gazza1 wrote: »
    Have had an ew nibble on Sam's Profile in that grade 1 @22's.
    Beaten 4L by Derrinross who followed up next time in a Grade 2.
    Based on that run I think the drop back 20f will be ideal and with just the 3 runs to date must have more to offer.

    GL

    2nd !!
    Ran a cracker


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    #11
    ON ZEE BRIDLE
    Registered Users Posts: 314 ✭✭ON ZEE BRIDLE


    Another disgusting drift right before the off on a mullins hotpot, im sure the boys in Closutton made a few quid there


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    #12
    IAMAMORON
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 9,078 ✭✭✭IAMAMORON


    It's gas how Paddy Power give a money back offer on all losers if a pulled up horse wins. Fortune Tellers. I would love to get my hands on their crystal ball.


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    #13
    Auroras_encore
    Users Awaiting Email Confirmation Posts: 568 ✭✭✭Auroras_encore


    ON ZEE BRIDLE wrote: »
    Another disgusting drift right before the off on a mullins hotpot, im sure the boys in Closutton made a few quid there

    mod edit: <snip>


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    #14
    Mostly Harmless
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,192 ✭✭✭Mostly Harmless


    Market does always seems to know when Mullins ones are set to run below expectations to be fair, also when they are NRs in big AP betting races the market knows few hours before news breaks. Rancid operation.


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    #15
    Auroras_encore
    Users Awaiting Email Confirmation Posts: 568 ✭✭✭Auroras_encore


    Mostly Harmless wrote: »
    Market does always seems to know when Mullins ones are set to run below expectations to be fair, also when they are NRs in big AP betting races the market knows few hours before news breaks. Rancid operation.

    The tfp partnership has one horse they own, you try and convince them to have their horse purposely lose


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    #16
    Gringo180
    Registered Users Posts: 9,205 ✭✭✭Gringo180


    ON ZEE BRIDLE wrote: »
    Another disgusting drift right before the off on a mullins hotpot, im sure the boys in Closutton made a few quid there

    What price did he open up at? Went off at 9/4


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    #17
    NaiveMelodies
    Registered Users Posts: 3,172 ✭✭✭NaiveMelodies


    Gringo180 wrote: »
    What price did he open up at? Went off at 9/4

    2/1. A huge drift:)


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    #18
    Mostly Harmless
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,192 ✭✭✭Mostly Harmless


    LOL. Didn't actually see that, but general point stands re WPM and market.


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    #19
    Gringo180
    Registered Users Posts: 9,205 ✭✭✭Gringo180


    Tat drift on Limini over Xmas was rancid and she was duly stuffed


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    #20
    ON ZEE BRIDLE
    Registered Users Posts: 314 ✭✭ON ZEE BRIDLE


    Auroras_encore wrote: »
    Ohh shut up you absolute loser
    Right back at you forum wum


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    #21
    Fanny Wank
    Registered Users Posts: 1,288 ✭✭✭Fanny Wank


    Jollies flip flopped right at the off in that Grade 1

    Battleoverdoyen was over 3/1 then a minute later was 3.1. Tornado went the opposite way

    Betfair SP is money weighted over a longer period so doesn't fully reflect the late drift


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    #22
    Motivator
    Registered Users Posts: 2,761 ✭✭✭Motivator


    Fanny **** wrote: »
    Jollies flip flopped right at the off in that Grade 1

    Battleoverdoyen was over 3/1 then a minute later was 3.1. Tornado went the opposite way

    Betfair SP is money weighted over a longer period so doesn't fully reflect the late drift

    Battleoverdoyen was a bigger price in running, after Tornado Flyer had pulled up, than he was at the start of the race.


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