Christmas Bets, Ho Ho Ho !

realdanbreen

Fancies for Christmas, from the Lavazza handicap chase on Dec 23rd to the Ryanair Hurdle on Dec 29th.

My first fancy is Bon Papa @ 8-1 in the Racing post novice chase on St Stephens day.

piplip87

Stuck a few quid from the weekends winnings on the ante post today. will wait for final declarations before risking more but chose those who I think if they are declared will drop significantly in price.

Air Horse One-Racing Welfare Handicap 12/1
007 Silver Cup
Elgin Racing Welfare Handicap 10/1
Vicente Welsh Grand National 14/1
Acapella Bourgeois Paddy Power Chase 8/1
Ucello Conti Paddy Power Chase 16/1 (EW)
Jezki Squared Financial Christmas Hurdle 7/1

Also have Bristol de Mai done for the King George.

The Mig

piplip87 wrote: »

Stuck a few quid from the weekends winnings on the ante post today. will wait for final declarations before risking more but chose those who I think if they are declared will drop significantly in price.

Air Horse One-Racing Welfare Handicap 12/1
007 Silver Cup
Elgin Racing Welfare Handicap 10/1
Vicente Welsh Grand National 14/1
Acapella Bourgeois Paddy Power Chase 8/1
Ucello Conti Paddy Power Chase 16/1 (EW)
Jezki Squared Financial Christmas Hurdle 7/1

Also have Bristol de Mai done for the King George.

Filth

byronbay2

Apparently the bookies are facing a "monster" payout again this year if there is a white Christmas. There has been a "huge" gamble from 12/1 in to 2/1. This bet never seems to land but the bookies are always "running scared", even though they invariably seem to pocket all the cash!

4068ac1elhodqr

byronbay2 wrote: »

Apparently the bookies are facing a "monster" payout again this year if there is a white Christmas. There has been a "huge" gamble from 12/1 in to 2/1. This bet never seems to land but the bookies are always "running scared", even though they invariably seem to pocket all the cash!

Indeed, it will nearly be as warm and balmy as the warm sands of tallows beach along on Byron Bay itself. S'Weserterlys will be blowing in a mild 12oC average into NW Europe for Christmas Day.

Unless a temporary micro-climate appears somewhere up in Aberdeen on the day, it's safe to say there will be no snow, snow, snow.

One minus point is that Ed Sherry featuring Beoncey will again outsell all other records on the 45 rpm vinyl players.

RivetingRoger

if there is like a hard frost christmas morning, surely that counts as a "white christmas".............

4068ac1elhodqr

RivetingRoger wrote: »

if there is like a hard frost christmas morning, surely that counts as a "white christmas".............

Nope, actual snowflake(s) have to fall. Some places may have more specific terms such as the roof of a designated weather station/building. With SW winds this is very unlikely.

RivetingRoger

Gracie Tinkling Wiring wrote: »

Nope, actual snowflake(s) have to fall. Some places may have more specific terms such as the roof of a designated weather station/building. With SW winds this is very unlikely.

So accumulator, what your telling me is, there needs to be an "accumulation" is it.....
Boom!








sorry..........!!

4068ac1elhodqr

RivetingRoger wrote: »

So accumulator, what your telling me is, there needs to be an "accumulation" is it.....
Boom!

Yes, no accumulation of snow, and no betting accumulators involving snow.

The press like to milk it every year, and it rarely happens. It's a bit like winning anything in this year's 25€ golden raffle ticket thingy i.e. 1% chance.

diomed

realdanbreen wrote: »

My first fancy is Bon Papa @ 8-1 in the Racing post novice chase on St Stephens day.

Is there any reason why you think this will win?

diomed

My research does not find a horse named Bon Papa running in the Racing Post Novice Chase, Leopardstown, 14:20, 26th December.

STB.

diomed wrote: »

My research does not find a horse named Bon Papa running in the Racing Post Novice Chase, Leopardstown, 14:20, 26th December.

Mine does. 14:20 on the 26th. Mullins for JP.

Also entered up for the 3 miler on the 29th.

diomed

STB. wrote: »

Mine does. 14:20 on the 26th. Mullins for JP.
Also entered up for the 3 miler on the 29th.

This race ?

1 Any Second Now
2 Avenir D'Une Vie
3 Death Duty
4 Dinaria Des Obeaux
5 Footpad
6 Jett
7 Rathvinden
8 Tombstone

RivetingRoger

Anything footpad runs in, footpad wins

The new Vautour

JJs Left Hand

Ah here... Calm down

RivetingRoger

JJs Left Hand wrote: »

Ah here... Calm down

Telling ya, the spring he gets over fences, reminds me so much of the great Vautour
The way he just effortlessly gains a half a length at every fence and can just press the gas and take off mid gallop is pure vautour-esque
If there is to be a "new vautour", footpad is it

JJs Left Hand

1 chase start

Copper_pipe

diomed wrote: »

This race ?

1 Any Second Now
2 Avenir D'Une Vie
3 Death Duty
4 Dinaria Des Obeaux
5 Footpad
6 Jett
7 Rathvinden
8 Tombstone

BumperD

Cannot wait for the racing. Will pop up one or two fancies closer to the day (follow at your pearl )

Claregaafan18

diomed wrote: »

My research does not find a horse named Bon Papa running in the Racing Post Novice Chase, Leopardstown, 14:20, 26th December.

If he runs at Limerick he'll have Death Duty to beat.

WickIow Brave

Al Boum Photo

Might Bite by a mile

JagoMoon

If your willing to forgive the fall at the first lto Baywing is a big price for the Welsh National. Loves heavy ground conditions at chepstow always seems to be heavy this time of year. Trainer in good form. If he runs anywhere near his Wetherby run in February he should go very close

madmoose

Is Acapella not in the paddy power chase? Thought he was and then i couldn’t see him in the entries but saw he was in the Lexus.

RivetingRoger

Whats the craic with Native River?
Not a peep so far?

realdanbreen

diomed wrote: »

Is there any reason why you think this will win?

I saw him in Punchestown a few weeks back over 2miles and although he made a mistake earlier on he looked comfortable after. I know it's 2mile 3 in Limerick but I think the extra trip will suit.

antietam

According to Tony Martin his horses are over a long bout of Illness and he expects very big runs over Christmas and new year especially as his horses will be seriously well handicapped.Keep a very close eye on bumpers for an unraced Zagrab 7 yr old who suffered as a "wind sucker"but is now all clear and working extremely well [the softer the better].

Francie Barrett

antietam wrote: »

According to Tony Martin his horses are over a long bout of Illness and he expects very big runs over Christmas and new year especially as his horses will be seriously well handicapped.Keep a very close eye on bumpers for an unraced Zagrab 7 yr old who suffered as a "wind sucker"but is now all clear and working extremely well [the softer the better].

He said the same thing last year, didn't he? Couldn't be up to him.

RivetingRoger

antietam wrote: »

According to Tony Martin his horses are over a long bout of Illness and he expects very big runs over Christmas and new year especially as his horses will be seriously well handicapped.Keep a very close eye on bumpers for an unraced Zagrab 7 yr old who suffered as a "wind sucker"but is now all clear and working extremely well [the softer the better].

Stopped reading after that...............

piplip87

Did they leave you out to tomorrow in the bumper at Ascot. Won well on debut. It was an all weather bumper so don't know how he will handle the Soft ground. One to keep an eye on

Johner

piplip87 wrote: »

Did they leave you out to tomorrow in the bumper at Ascot. Won well on debut. It was an all weather bumper so don't know how he will handle the Soft ground. One to keep an eye on

Really looking forward to that race, looks a high class bumper.

krustydoyle

Lumping on Supasundae on the 28th now that the ground is drying in leopardstown

Gavin "shels"

krustydoyle wrote: »

Lumping on Supasundae on the 28th now that the ground is drying in leopardstown

Been pouring down for the past 3 hours... Weather not great for Mon/Tues either.

krustydoyle

Gavin shels wrote:

Been pouring down for the past 3 hours... Weather not great for Mon/Tues either.

Heard an update from leopardstown today and they said it'll be dry after today.. Course was yielding to good.. I'll hold off so.. Thanks

Gamebred

Shame to see Finians Oscar out again tomorrow so quick, trying his best to ruin the machine.

Nulty

Strong fancy for Mysteree in the Welsh National. Was banging in at 20/1, into 12s/14s now. Provided is rains as forecast from Monday, I'll be more confident.

Relative to Chase The Spud, he's totally the wrong price. A stone better off for his defeat in the Midlands National going down by a couple of lengths.

JagoMoon

JagoMoon wrote: »

If your willing to forgive the fall at the first lto Baywing is a big price for the Welsh National. Loves heavy ground conditions at chepstow always seems to be heavy this time of year. Trainer in good form. If he runs anywhere near his Wetherby run in February he should go very close

Strange they skip the Welsh National after saying that was the target. Hes enter at Wetherby on the 26th. Runs off a higher mark here but loves the course and the ground and still a bet at 9s.

piplip87

Had a dream last night which involved me going to Boylesports and collecting money on Suoersundae. Needless to say a few quid will be lumped on him

4068ac1elhodqr

piplip87 wrote: »

Had a dream last night which involved me going to Boylesports and collecting money on Suoersundae. Needless to say a few quid will be lumped on him

May be worth getting the spelling correct, as they probably have a T&C to void if there is too much of a differential between that and Supasundae.

In the Welsh, one of the Oracles indicates it will be won by a 10yr carrying around 10-7. Anyone care to list the possible contenders, haven't had a look as yet.