Barizan II (The Return)

longshotvalue

Unfortunately like all sequels this may not have as good an ending as the Original and best tip i ever put up. I waited 2 years for the right conditions and put up a 3pt ew bet at 20/1 for his Swinton Hurdle win a few years ago. In fairness to him he finished 2nd the following 2 years as well. Today is likely to be the last chance he gets at the right conditions at his age. I wish Peter the Mayo Man wasn't in this as he beat a very good novice last time out and could have miles in hand.

Off the cliff i go for 1 last time.

Just as backup I've done a 1 pt Straight forecast on Bet365 at 15.65 . Peter the Mayo Man 1 Barizan 2 .

3:45 Newbury

I'm afraid i just cant resist a bet on Barizan here. He looked well on his last 2 flat runs but was particularity well in himself last time out and ran well when ridden way to far off the pace. He isn't going to get too many more chances of a 2mile Hurdle on Good Ground at his age so i have to assume he is ready to go today. Richard Johnson is a great booking for him as it looks to me like he needs a bit of stoking up . 8/1 is a lot bigger than i expected in this race. There is a small negative, i would be loosing my mind in a normal race of this type for him but there are unfortunately some possible improvers here. Particularly the favorite whose form has worked out really well. Still 8/1 is certainly value. Lets hope we see him prominent from the beginning and never see another horse

2 Points win 8/1 Generally

HarshOstrich

aidankkk wrote: »

Unfortunately like all sequels this may not have as good an ending as the Original and best tip i ever put up. I waited 2 years for the right conditions and put up a 3pt ew bet at 20/1 for his Swinton Hurdle win a few years ago. In fairness to him he finished 2nd the following 2 years as well. Today is likely to be the last chance he gets at the right conditions at his age. I wish Peter the Mayo Man wasn't in this as he beat a very good novice last time out and could have miles in hand.

Off the cliff i go for 1 last time.

Just as backup I've done a 1 pt Straight forecast on Bet365 at 15.65 . Peter the Mayo Man 1 Barizan 2 .

3:45 Newbury

I'm afraid i just cant resist a bet on Barizan here. He looked well on his last 2 flat runs but was particularity well in himself last time out and ran well when ridden way to far off the pace. He isn't going to get too many more chances of a 2mile Hurdle on Good Ground at his age so i have to assume he is ready to go today. Richard Johnson is a great booking for him as it looks to me like he needs a bit of stoking up . 8/1 is a lot bigger than i expected in this race. There is a small negative, i would be loosing my mind in a normal race of this type for him but there are unfortunately some possible improvers here. Particularly the favorite whose form has worked out really well. Still 8/1 is certainly value. Lets hope we see him prominent from the beginning and never see another horse

2 Points win 8/1 Generally

I had a good luck over this race and excluded peter the mayo man because he hasn't yet shown the form of others in the race , I didn't think he beat much in his previous races,
The 2 I liked where barizan and astre de la cour and I went for the latter, I thought he ran a good comeback race in welsh champion hurdle. 3 pound lower than last win in competive aintree handicap with jockey taking another 3 off, I still expect barizan to give a good go but his best form is long ago.
Astre de la cour had had his own problems tho, was absent after his first chase run last season

ShaneU

If this was at Haydock I'd be all over it

longshotvalue

ShaneU wrote: »

If this was at Haydock I'd be all over it

Hense the warning about sequels. Still reckon he is value at 8/1 in this 6 horse race.

HarshOstrich

In the Chelmsford 6.25 there's a former aiden o brien horse making it's stable debut having won a Dundalk race only a few weeks ago,being a Galileo I'm surprised Joseph didn't get him.
Horse is called London and is outsider of the field.

longshotvalue

Right to be worred about that Peter the Mayo Man, he was stones well in as i feared. Barizan ran well enough , bad jump 2 out killed the forecast chance.

Johner

That bumper horse at Newbury looked top class.