Wed 23/03/16

sdoc13

Actually fancy a few tomorrow on the AW. 2 at Dundalk, 1 at Southwell and 1 at Kempton.

2 30 Southwell. Khajaaly has won over C and D off 70 and 68 down to a mark of 67. Ran well in November at Volverhampton beaten 2.3l off 73. Given a break and 2 runs since come back and down a few pounds as a result of those runs. Drawn well and Rob Hornby takes off 3lbs. 14/1 looks decent value 2 pts win

18 30 Dundalk
Your pal Tal Looks overpriced at 10s. Multiple C and D winner and down to a mark of 68 which he won off starting a hatrick of victories in Jan 2015. Everything else in the race looks priced right/underpriced. 2 pts win

19 00 Dundalk
Sharjah Looks decent value and well handicapped. Multiple C and D winner off marks from 74 to 81. Runs off 72 tomorrow. Decent third off same mark last run and well drawn in stall 1. 2 pts win

19 15 Kempton
Bit more speculative but this 1 could be thrown in.
Thimaar is a C and D winner of 93 back in 2012. Hasnt run over C and D since may 2012. Contested some really decent staying flat races including being beaten by cavalryman at sandown off 105 by 5l. Went NH route for a few years and back on the flat since AUG 2014. Has only run over 2m once since in Nov 15 when well beaten off a mark of 82. has been running over 12 to 14 furlongs since and has plummeted in the ratings. 20/1 looks too big and worth the chance if retaining any of its ability and back up to optimum trip. 2 pts win.

Have done a Yankee on the above as well for the miricale. :pac:

the groutch

6/4 Tiger Roll in the first at Dundalk is a huge price, should be odds on.

posturingpat

Tiger roll in the 1st at Dundalk tomorrow is available at 13/8 7/4 mark in a maiden. He's a Triumph hurdle winner and although he disappointed over hurdles last season he was running in real good company and has had a wind op over the winter, he's in against a bunch of animals tomorrow that you'd fancy a donkey from the back field to run close and I think he's a good thing barring accidents even if he is only 70 or 80 percent.

Rare I have more than small interest bets on the all weather but I've had a reasonable bet by my standards on him and fully expect to collect.

gazza1

Was advised earlier by text to back CRACK OF THUNDER EW 4.50 warwick but as i was working late missed the 12s opening price. Best price now 7s
gl

sonnky

In 3.15 at Warwick Bayley's Dream is worth a play at 14/1. He's yet to put it all together over 3 miles but he's shaped as though the trip will suit. His form at Warwick is 21 both runs coming after a break, and tomorrow he is going in after 121 days off the track. The ground shouldn't be a problem and I think he'll outrun his price.

StringerBell

gazza1 wrote: »

Was advised earlier by text to back CRACK OF THUNDER EW 4.50 warwick but as i was working late missed the 12s opening price. Best price now 7s
gl

Seems to be a good bit of money gone on it, 11/2 on bet365 at the moment.

Price seems to be gone anyway for the EW punter.

Ben Gadot

sdoc13 wrote: »

Actually fancy a few tomorrow on the AW. 2 at Dundalk, 1 at Southwell and 1 at Kempton.

2 30 Southwell. Khajaaly has won over C and D off 70 and 68 down to a mark of 67. Ran well in November at Volverhampton beaten 2.3l off 73. Given a break and 2 runs since come back and down a few pounds as a result of those runs. Drawn well and Rob Hornby takes off 3lbs. 14/1 looks decent value 2 pts win

18 30 Dundalk
Your pal Tal Looks overpriced at 10s. Multiple C and D winner and down to a mark of 68 which he won off starting a hatrick of victories in Jan 2015. Everything else in the race looks priced right/underpriced. 2 pts win

19 00 Dundalk
Sharjah Looks decent value and well handicapped. Multiple C and D winner off marks from 74 to 81. Runs off 72 tomorrow. Decent third off same mark last run and well drawn in stall 1. 2 pts win

19 15 Kempton
Bit more speculative but this 1 could be thrown in.
Thimaar is a C and D winner of 93 back in 2012. Hasnt run over C and D since may 2012. Contested some really decent staying flat races including being beaten by cavalryman at sandown off 105 by 5l. Went NH route for a few years and back on the flat since AUG 2014. Has only run over 2m once since in Nov 15 when well beaten off a mark of 82. has been running over 12 to 14 furlongs since and has plummeted in the ratings. 20/1 looks too big and worth the chance if retaining any of its ability and back up to optimum trip. 2 pts win.

Have done a Yankee on the above as well for the miricale. :pac:

Sharjah has been run into the ground this season. It's actually ludicrous the amount of times he has run.

superfurry1

Epic Warrior 3.15 at Warwick Pipe stable having a few winners and slipping down weights 10-1 ew value

Mr E

Great call, sf. Wish I hadn't been on a call for the last hour.

Ian Whelan

posturingpat wrote: »

Tiger roll in the 1st at Dundalk tomorrow is available at 13/8 7/4 mark in a maiden. He's a Triumph hurdle winner and although he disappointed over hurdles last season he was running in real good company and has had a wind op over the winter, he's in against a bunch of animals tomorrow that you'd fancy a donkey from the back field to run close and I think he's a good thing barring accidents even if he is only 70 or 80 percent.

Rare I have more than small interest bets on the all weather but I've had a reasonable bet by my standards on him and fully expect to collect.

Off for a year, never ran in a flat race before, never been on the all weather before. Looks for all the world like he's out for the run. I'll be a layer I think.

shmeee

Ian Whelan wrote: »

Off for a year, never ran in a flat race before, never been on the all weather before. Looks for all the world like he's out for the run. I'll be a layer I think.

Ogradys is well fancied I'm told and the cash is down. 9/2 into 9/4

Niallers87

6/4 in powers now; there really gettin stuck in

ON ZEE BRIDLE

Fancy Lusis Naturea to win 7.00 at Dundalk 7/2

shmeee

shmeee wrote: »

Ogradys is well fancied I'm told and the cash is down. 9/2 into 9/4

Not if that's not what you call an unlucky loser I don't know what is.

Hit the rail and stopped and then only beaten a lenght when got going again

game4it70

Roconga would have hacked up if he got up the rail imo.

Clique

Wouldn't be Wayne Lordans finest hour going for a closing gap! Was lucky Reconga didn't come down.

shmeee

Clique wrote: »

Wouldn't be Wayne Lordans finest hour going for a closing gap! Was lucky Reconga didn't come down.

I was wondering where he was even going like. Not a gap to be had. All he had to do was sit and wait, loads of horse

Clique

shmeee wrote: »

I was wondering where he was even going like. Not a gap to be had. All he had to do was sit and wait, loads of horse

Seen him tanking around the false bend and seen him cut for the rails and thought the worst! Hindsight an all that he'd be coming out wide and winning comfortably! Try telling that to O'Grady though

Ian Whelan

Wouldn't be surprised to see Tiger Roll running at Aintree.

shmeee

Clique wrote: »

Seen him tanking around the false bend and seen him cut for the rails and thought the worst! Hindsight an all that he'd be coming out wide and winning comfortably! Try telling that to O'Grady though

Come as wide as he wanted, would have had no bother. Would have pissed in.

What price he hit on the machine? 1/3 on powers when they suspended it.

O'Grady will be like a bull, serious cash down, 9/2 into 11/8 is a savage gamble

NaiveMelodies

Ian Whelan wrote: »

Wouldn't be surprised to see Tiger Roll running at Aintree.

Ah here if he can't win that maiden doing handstands he'll be tailing up if he goes to Aintree.

posturingpat

Tiger roll well beatn by a horse rated in the 60's. Embarassing,and embarassing i was stupid enough to back him.

posturingpat

Ian Whelan wrote: »

Wouldn't be surprised to see Tiger Roll running at Aintree.

Wouldn't put it by Gordon to get him ready for a handicap hurdle. I remember Carlito Brigante getting beaten in a race at Dundalk(admittedly not the donkey derby todays race was) and 2 or 3 months later winning the Coral cup with him.

Ian Whelan

NaiveMelodies wrote: »

Ah here if he can't win that maiden doing handstands he'll be tailing up if he goes to Aintree.

Hadn't run for a year. Never ran on the sand before. Never ran on the flat before. Gigginstown have not kept him on to run at Dundalk. I would say he will go to Aintree.

posturingpat

Ian Whelan wrote: »

Hadn't run for a year. Never ran on the sand before. Never ran on the flat before. Gigginstown have not kept him on to run at Dundalk. I would say he will go to Aintree.

There's a certain massive prize money handicap hurdle in the summer over in the west he could possibly go to? He fairly flew up the hill in the Triumph and the other time he beat Calypto at Cheltenham so Galway could suit lovely.

posturingpat

There's a handicap hurdle at Aintree that could suit either over 2 mile 4,Gordon won it a few years back with Russian war.

Ian Whelan

posturingpat wrote: »

There's a certain massive prize money handicap hurdle in the summer over in the west he could possibly go to? He fairly flew up the hill in the Triumph and the other time he beat Calypto at Cheltenham so Galway could suit lovely.

Probably wants a bit of ease in the ground though. Might not get that at Galway. I reckon Aintree. I will stick it in the tracker and we'll see.

Ian Whelan

I was looking at Trans City in the 7:30pm at Dundalk. Getting on in years and has not run for a while but has no weight at all. I can't resist a small bet at a big price. I am also a big Leigh Roche fan.

NaiveMelodies

Ian Whelan wrote: »

Hadn't run for a year. Never ran on the sand before. Never ran on the flat before. Gigginstown have not kept him on to run at Dundalk. I would say he will go to Aintree.

Not doubting this was a prep or anything but he has just been beaten by a 62 rated animal in an awful AW maiden which would suggest his hurdle rating of 145 leaves him with very little chance in a handicap.

sdoc13

sdoc13 wrote: »

Actually fancy a few tomorrow on the AW. 2 at Dundalk, 1 at Southwell and 1 at Kempton.

2 30 Southwell. Khajaaly has won over C and D off 70 and 68 down to a mark of 67. Ran well in November at Volverhampton beaten 2.3l off 73. Given a break and 2 runs since come back and down a few pounds as a result of those runs. Drawn well and Rob Hornby takes off 3lbs. 14/1 looks decent value 2 pts win

18 30 Dundalk
Your pal Tal Looks overpriced at 10s. Multiple C and D winner and down to a mark of 68 which he won off starting a hatrick of victories in Jan 2015. Everything else in the race looks priced right/underpriced. 2 pts win

19 00 Dundalk
Sharjah Looks decent value and well handicapped. Multiple C and D winner off marks from 74 to 81. Runs off 72 tomorrow. Decent third off same mark last run and well drawn in stall 1. 2 pts win

19 15 Kempton
Bit more speculative but this 1 could be thrown in.
Thimaar is a C and D winner of 93 back in 2012. Hasnt run over C and D since may 2012. Contested some really decent staying flat races including being beaten by cavalryman at sandown off 105 by 5l. Went NH route for a few years and back on the flat since AUG 2014. Has only run over 2m once since in Nov 15 when well beaten off a mark of 82. has been running over 12 to 14 furlongs since and has plummeted in the ratings. 20/1 looks too big and worth the chance if retaining any of its ability and back up to optimum trip. 2 pts win.

Have done a Yankee on the above as well for the miricale. :pac:

1 Out of 4 for a 11 point profit including the yankee not too bad.

Will be keeping an eye on Khajaaly when down 4 or 5 punds more and Thimaar who went off 14s and ran ok finishing 5th.

Ian Whelan

Ian Whelan wrote: »

Hadn't run for a year. Never ran on the sand before. Never ran on the flat before. Gigginstown have not kept him on to run at Dundalk. I would say he will go to Aintree.

Tiger Roll declared at Aintree tomorrow:

http://www.irishracing.com/cards/Aintree_Sat_9th_Apr_2016_1_45.html