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Novelty/Special/Politics Bet: Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2015

  • 09-10-2015 1:20am
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭ 4068ac1elhodqr

    Extracts/quotes From the NYTimes:
    Five people in Oslo, all appointed by the Norwegian Parliament and all sworn to secrecy, already know who is winning the Nobel Peace Prize, to be announced on Friday.

    For everyone else, the winner’s identity is unknown. To many, it is an irresistible topic of speculation — and gambling.

    International bookmaking sites, which take bets on just about any unknown, including the winner of the Republican presidential nomination in the United States and who will play the next James Bond, are accepting bets on the Peace Prize...

    I Fancy Merkel's chances here, with her 'very significant' actions on the 'topical', slightly contentious and (importantly) 'unconcluded' issue of (generally) open doors migration policy in relation to refugees (as mentioned in the article):
    Before she made the announcement on housing 800,000 refugees, she was at 66 to 1; after the announcement she was at 25 to 1. She is now down to 2 to 1.

    Interestingly Snowden (x15) also features, and the Pope chap (x7) who seems generally better received by the public, than the last one.


    Market is due to close (very) soon, remember of course to donate 10-15% of any successful returns back to good causes. Ladbrokes is currently with the most generous of a price of x3 for Merkel.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭ Elsie Powerful Colander

    Just in, The Norwegian Nobel Committee has decided that the Nobel Peace Prize for 2015 is to be awarded to the Tunisian National Dialogue Quartet for its decisive contribution to the building of a pluralistic democracy in Tunisia in the wake of the Jasmine Revolution of 2011.

    Who dat?

    The Germans aren't doing well this week at all...