Friday 10/07

sdoc13

Really fancy Gabbiano in the 16 10 Ascot. has won over C and D off a mark of 77 and also won at the course off a mark of 85 in jul 13. Runs off 76 tomorrow and has being running ok recently while still coming down the weights. I think the 16s available is outstanding value and I cant see it last long. 3 pts win.

19 00 Chepstow. Two turtle doves has been running ok recently 3 4th places in a row and has come down to a mark of 52. Won over C and D here last year off 55. With conditions to suit I think he will run well and the 14/1 looks generous. 1 pt win

16 55 Newmarket. Someone put up Mezzotint recently( think it was mostly harmless). Has won off marks of 91 to 83 and runs off 83 tomorrow. Will handle the conditions and the 33/1 looks too big to me. 1 pt win

PM me nudes

Lucida Lucida Lucida (Take 2)

Mostly Harmless

sdoc13 wrote: »

16 55 Newmarket. Someone put up Mezzotint recently( think it was mostly harmless). Has won off marks of 91 to 83 and runs off 83 tomorrow. Will handle the conditions and the 33/1 looks too big to me. 1 pt win

Aye. Was me. Steering well clear tomorrow FWIW. I would be interested if and when he drops a few lbs more and drops back down in class - money will likely point the way too. But there was nothing promising in his run LTO and his record in these big fields is pretty poor.

He hacks up now doesn't he

sdoc13

Mostly Harmless wrote: »

Aye. Was me. Steering well clear tomorrow FWIW. I would be interested if and when he drops a few lbs more and drops back down in class - money will likely point the way too. But there was nothing promising in his run LTO and his record in these big fields is pretty poor.

He hacks up now doesn't he

Just think at the price its worth a small investment. Likelyhood of it winning is small but 1 in 33 dont think so.

Mostly Harmless

Just done the card at HQ and have the following bets:

3.15 - Amazing Maria - Looked to be no fluke about her win at Royal Ascot and she has improved with every run since joining David O'Meara, any further improvement should see her in the thick of things here and worth chancing at the price. Was 11/1 when I got on, 9/1 is best available now and that's still just about value IMO. 1pt Win

3.45 - Taking two against the field here

George Dryden - Highly tried since winning on career debut as a juvenile, has by and large been outclassed but was running against some top class horses. Ran well enough when 2nd and dropped back down to a more achievable grade LTO, runs in the same grade off the same mark here and should be suited by the likely strong pace in this big field. Trainer does not send many this far south and Buick looks a positive booking to me. 25/1 plenty big enough to my eyes. 1.5pts Win

Merdon Castle -Similar profile to my other selection, has been restricted to non handicap company for a while, running very well in classified races on the AW before being outclassed in listed and G3 company on the turf. Actually making his handicap debut tomorrow and definitely capable off going close off this mark if he is still capable of running up to the best of the form he has shown so far in his career. Talented claimer booked and 33/1 is massive. 1.5pts Win

Mostly Harmless

sdoc13 wrote: »

Just think at the price its worth a small investment. Likelyhood of it winning is small but 1 in 33 dont think so.

I agree and I'll be sick if he wins but can't afford to follow them all and I just think connections will have a more winnable race lined up at some stage.

Were the market vibes particularly positive nearer race time I will have a small interest to keep the vomit at bay :pac:

shmeee

PM me nudes wrote: »

Lucida Lucida Lucida (Take 2)

With you on this on, had a bet @ 11/4.

PM me nudes

shmeee wrote: »

With you on this on, had a bet @ 11/4.

Managed to get 3s earlier on. The allowance should be a big help

sdoc13

sdoc13 wrote: »

Really fancy Gabbiano in the 16 10 Ascot. has won over C and D off a mark of 77 and also won at the course off a mark of 85 in jul 13. Runs off 76 tomorrow and has being running ok recently while still coming down the weights. I think the 16s available is outstanding value and I cant see it last long. 3 pts win.

19 00 Chepstow. Two turtle doves has been running ok recently 3 4th places in a row and has come down to a mark of 52. Won over C and D here last year off 55. With conditions to suit I think he will run well and the 14/1 looks generous. 1 pt win

16 55 Newmarket. Someone put up Mezzotint recently( think it was mostly harmless). Has won off marks of 91 to 83 and runs off 83 tomorrow. Will handle the conditions and the 33/1 looks too big to me. 1 pt win

Gabbiano NR unfortunately

jj mac

NEWSLETTER in the summer stakes at york. Won a weak enough race at Nottingham 2 races back and last time out was just caught close home by Annippe. That one has gone on to win a group 3 easily since so the form is looking good. 3 pts e/w 12/1.

akelly02

PM me nudes wrote: »

Managed to get 3s earlier on. The allowance should be a big help

only 9/4 now

Double with Easton Angel anyone?

Johner

akelly02 wrote: »

only 9/4 now

Double with Easton Angel anyone?

3/1 still available.

akelly02

Johner wrote: »

3/1 still available.

where?

in work so cant access sites

Johner

akelly02 wrote: »

where?

in work so cant access sites

Bet 365 and Betfred went 3s, all gone now unfortunately.

PM me nudes

Integral scratched.

superfurry1

Quietly fancy teqneeya in the first at Newmarket 16-1 looks value.

Francie Barrett

PM me nudes wrote: »

Lucida Lucida Lucida (Take 2)

Praying Manning doesn't screw this one up.

Francie Barrett

Francie Barrett wrote: »

Praying Manning doesn't screw this one up.

What a clown :pac::pac::pac::pac:

PM me nudes

Manning is literally awful.

brassringclub

Not sure Kevin Manning is even related to a jockey

Peintre Celebre

She wouldn't have won anyway, when she got in the clear she never picked up couldn't even get by Euro Charline. Not a good ride but not good enough anyway.

masterK

Francie Barrett wrote: »

What a clown :pac::pac::pac::pac:

Terrible alright, that's 2 races in a row he's possibly could of cost her. Had her perfectly positioned early doors but then allowed himself to get boxed in.

Skintwin

Mostly Harmless wrote: »

Just done the card at HQ and have the following bets:

3.15 - Amazing Maria - Looked to be no fluke about her win at Royal Ascot and she has improved with every run since joining David O'Meara, any further improvement should see her in the thick of things here and worth chancing at the price. Was 11/1 when I got on, 9/1 is best available now and that's still just about value IMO. 1pt Win

Nicely called!

Jeez. That was bad. What was he doing?

Francie Barrett

Peintre Celebre wrote: »

She wouldn't have won anyway, when she got in the clear she never picked up couldn't even get by Euro Charline. Not a good ride but not good enough anyway.

Not sure how you can say that, the winner had about an extra 2 furlongs of momentum behind it. By the time Lucida got going, it was far too late.

I would not be at all surprised if that's the end of Manning on any Godolphin horse. It must really have rubbed salt into the wounds that their retained jockey won on another ride.

idnkph

gonna go with Tatting ew in the last at ascot. Has been improving each race. Mr musicmaster is the other ew claim but im going for the value on Tatting so this probably mean the latter will beat it.

835. Navan. Secrets safe. First run on irish soil. Carrying over a stone less than he did when 2nd at this distance back in feb. Sneaking in here under a very competitive weight. Just hope he can go on the grass as last time out didnt perform on it. But I still maintain the handicapper is giving this horse too much away and with the claimer being used it cant be ignored. 14/1

5.50 cork. Barnahash. 25/1 looks enormous. has won 2 pt2pts this year carrying a stone more than today. gets the distance. won over it too carrying alot more weight

Mostly Harmless

sdoc13 wrote: »

16 55 Newmarket. Someone put up Mezzotint recently( think it was mostly harmless). Has won off marks of 91 to 83 and runs off 83 tomorrow. Will handle the conditions and the 33/1 looks too big to me. 1 pt win

I'll be on again next time anyway, just about last off the bridle but given rather too much to do, going to go down a few more lbs now too.

BorneTobyWilde

Space War 12-1 6.15

Has run consistently this year. I like it's ew value .

****

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Francie Barrett

Reckon Blueberry Gal overturns Catwilldo this time in the 7:05 at Navan. Thought Catwilldo had the benefit of a sweet draw, broke brilliantly and ran an absolutely perfect race when it beat Blueberry last week. This time out, it's Blueberry Gal with the course experience should reverse things. best price 4/1.

idnkph

Francie Barrett wrote: »

Reckon Blueberry Gal overturns Catwilldo this time in the 7:05 at Navan. Thought Catwilldo had the benefit of a sweet draw, broke brilliantly and ran an absolutely perfect race when it beat Blueberry last week. This time out, it's Blueberry Gal with the course experience should reverse things. best price 4/1.

Connections feel Red All Star will win tonight.

idnkph

5.50 cork. Barnahash. 25/1 looks enormous. has won 2 pt2pts this year carrying a stone more than today. gets the distance. won over it too carrying alot more weight[/QUOTE]

slipped up bad on the turn. Jockey lost his irons. definitely think it would of got a place. One for the tracker

BorneTobyWilde

BorneTobyWilde wrote: »

Space War 12-1 6.15

Has run consistently this year. I like it's ew value .

****

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Snipp

6.50 Cork - Oscar's Passion
7.05 Navan - Clear Focus
Double

BorneTobyWilde

Bountybeamadam 11-1 ew 8.00 B.S
Won a similar race last year over C&D beating a few of these in process.
I think it should run a decent race here.

Mostly Harmless

Peak Storm makes a bit of appeal to me in the next at Chepstow at 6/1. The other market principles have fairly big question marks over them and he's very nicely weighted on historical form.
1pt Win