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UK General Election - (Overall Majority) @x10

  • 26-04-2015 8:40pm
    #1
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭ Joe Millions Fir


    Like the look of the Cons for an OM. Value @x10 and the stats show it the most popular betting option with 33.84% of all stakes. Certainly not a fan of posh boy Cam or their policies, but a x10 multiplier add-on isn't bad.

    Fairly simple logic behind this one, reports of high UKIP conversion (40%) towards the cons, NF also nodded support for them in some circumstances. The economy is doing well, and Miliband certainly isn't leadership material of any sort, nor a definite authority-type figure. Added to this the thought of a team-up with the SNP could easily set the jeepers into middle England on the day.


Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭ Joe Millions Fir


    As predicted x10 return, superb value. Dropped to x7 during the week but also reached best price of x13 at one stage yesterday.

    Logic as explained above, but primarily Milband's fault: He's an 'almost repulsive' and 'very timid' leader, whom would have got beaten down by the likes of Merkel etc. Ironically the SNP's 'near whitewash' leaves Scotland with some but little power (relative to results) in Westminster - all the more reason for independence of Scotia perhaps?

    In the North SF could have taken more seats from SDLP if they took seats at Westminster, controversial as it may be, it's still a primary issue for the Nationalist vote to have as much representation as possible. Once they have the main share - could then revert to not recognising it. The UKIP made some progress in the North even eating into the middle and neutral ground.

    bet_toryx10.png
    bet_toryx10_326.png

    Next up on the Novelty circus is the likes of Finland for the Europop, with Australia to place top 4. Poland top 10. All the value has left though...


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭ Joe Millions Fir


    Picked up the lucky x13 (12/1) also, on an accumulator via SJ also, good stuff.
    bet_x13.png

    One advantage of trading these 'novelty events' is that they are real-world, complex, long-term, static factored - but yet still readable, unlike e.g. horseracing/football whereby the weather, other minor/random factors or even just slight physical defects on the day can affect the outcome. Sometimes 'complex abstraction' is easier to read than a->b processes.


  • Registered Users Posts: 10,546 ✭✭✭✭ okidoki987


    Yeah good call all right but might be explained a bit too complicated for most on here especially as it's a novelty event.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭ Joe Millions Fir


    Perhaps, can also be summarised by the most basic of human instinct, that of the desire to: "seek pleasure and avoid pain".

    The 'unstable alternative' cure offered to the established conservatives carried an immense risk of new, widespread and long-term pain for the in-recovery patient (uk).


    • Next up on the novelties is the lefty-euro-pop comedy show.
    • Longer down the road is SPOTY15, hosting it in Nordy could be a strong nod towards either AP or Rory (both having a good year).


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