Paddy's log

Will be posting pre-game bets I like here. There will be a unit system and I'll use various bookies to maximize profit long term.

Hopefully a few of you will find it of use.

Profit and Loss:
1: +1.68
2: +1.66

#Tip 1

Ergotelis - Kerkyra
27-04: 17.30pm

Kerkyra -0.5 Asian Handicap - BetVictor - 1.84
2/10 units

Reasoning:
Late season in Greece, often these sort of things are decided prior to the event. Kerkyra opened at 2.80 in most places, and were quickly brought into odds on. Not too uncommon an occurrence in Greece at this point in the season. Ergotelis are already down, with after Levadiakos winning 2-0 currently, and Platanias have to play Niki Volos (which means they have been given 3 points automatically, Volos aren't playing games due to being suspended by the league) It leaves only Panthrakikos on 37 points who can go down. Ergotilis need to win their remaining games, which they won't and hope that results go for them, which they won't. Only a 2/10 bet as its not fixed, but more of a prediction of what will happen.

2-1 for Kerkrya.

#Tip 2

Zenit v Arsenal Tula
26-03. 4.30pm
2/10 units

WIN

Zenit win to nil 1.83 - Various



6 goals in 11 games away from home all of which have come against weak sides in the league like Torpedo (16th), Rostov (11th), Ufa (12th), Lokomotiv (7th), Amkar (15th) and CSKA (3rd), the only one there which sticks out is CSKA, but earlier on in the season CSKA had a lot of injuries in midfield and defense, with Wernbloom and Schennikov both out. Also CSKA have conceded a goal a game all season long, while Zenit concede one in around every 2 games. Zenit at home are 9 wins, 2 draw and 1 loss. Arsenal away are 5 wins, 6 losses. Should be a simple win for the best side in Russia against one of the worst.



Lineup for #ZenitArsenal: Lodygin - Criscito, Lombaerts, Garay, Smolnikov - Witsel, Javi Garcia, Danny - Shatov, Hulk, Ryazantsev

Two out of two

Have a good bet for tonight:
4/10

Haverfordwest County -1.75 at 1.77 with Bet365.

Haverfordwest need to win by 5 goals to get into second place. They'll cover the handicap against a side which have nothing to play for.

https://twitter.com/Haverfordwest…/status/594601352120119296

Won by exactly 5