New Car Sales in ROI

BenEadir

Hi all,

I need to find new car sales numbers from 200 to 2013 and for the life of me I can't find them. I've checked on the SIMI and CSO websites.

Any other suggestions?

vandriver

Try here http://www.cso.ie/px/pxeirestat/DATABASE/Eirestat/Vehicle%20Licensing%20Statistics%20Monthly%20Series/Vehicle%20Licensing%20Statistics%20Monthly%20Series_statbank.asp?SP=Vehicle%20Licensing%20Statistics%20Monthly%20Series&Planguage=0

BenEadir

vandriver wrote: »

Try here http://www.cso.ie/px/pxeirestat/DATABASE/Eirestat/Vehicle%20Licensing%20Statistics%20Monthly%20Series/Vehicle%20Licensing%20Statistics%20Monthly%20Series_statbank.asp?SP=Vehicle%20Licensing%20Statistics%20Monthly%20Series&Planguage=0

Thanks, I was able to extract the private new car monthly sales from Jan 2000 to Dec 2013 and it looks like this when graphed



It's not a pretty picture.

Any ideas as to why there was a short unsustained minor recovery in 2010 and 2011 but declining sales again in 2012 and 2013? Was there a scrappage scheme during 2010/11 which was discontinued in 2012?

noelf

BenEadir wrote: »

Thanks, I was able to extract the private new car monthly sales from Jan 2000 to Dec 2013 and it looks like this when graphed



It's not a pretty picture.

Any ideas as to why there was a short unsustained minor recovery in 2010 and 2011 but declining sales again in 2012 and 2013? Was there a scrappage scheme during 2010/11 which was discontinued in 2012?

yes i availed of a scrappage deal in july 2010

Contrails

2014 will see that graph rise back to just under 100k. Hopefully next year will be more of the same trend.

AltAccount

BenEadir wrote: »

Any ideas as to why there was a short unsustained minor recovery in 2010 and 2011 but declining sales again in 2012 and 2013? Was there a scrappage scheme during 2010/11 which was discontinued in 2012?

Most company cars and a lot of cars on finance would be on 3 or 4 year deals, so a bump in 2010 may be precipitated by the changing of these cars.
New finance being hard to come by, they may have just been returned and not replaced by new cars.

That's in addition to the scrappage scheme.

You might get data on number of taxed cars in the country by year. There'll be a natural attrition rate of >10yo cars.

The increase in attrition rate may indicate some of the cause of the spike (if actual scrappage figures aren't available) .

porsche959

BenEadir wrote: »

Thanks, I was able to extract the private new car monthly sales from Jan 2000 to Dec 2013 and it looks like this when graphed



It's not a pretty picture.

The unsustainable bubble is over and we are back to a more 'normal' and sustainable level.

2000 was bit of an outlier just as much as 2009 at the other extreme.

If you were to graph back to 1970, say, you would see the long term trend.

As Contrail says, 2014 sales will finish at around 100k which is probably a sustainable level.

I remember reading an interview with an importer in the early 1990s where he said he didn't like to see the annual sales go over about 80k as he knew it was unsustainable!