Garda crime rates data

Ranjo

Been looking through some crime data from CSO website.

Noticing that after 2008 crime stats across the board have been generally dropping.

Looking for some insight as to why that would be. Any significant programs, change of leadership, law changes, etc that would be making such an impact?

Pat Mustard

If they have dropped across the board, fair enough.

However, perhaps the criteria have changed. For instance, perhaps a type of crime could be put into a different category, which would appear to drop the incidence in that category.

Also, perhaps if there are fewer Gardai, perhaps the crime detection rate has fallen.

I haven't studied the stats. This is just conjecture.

Ranjo

True, taxonomy changes could be part of it, but looking at the data it wouldn't be my first thought.

Less Garda and less detections, hmm could be.

In fact, the stats show that the impact is lower on the frequent events such as public order offences, burglary and theft but very high on the less frequent events such as murder/assault, controlled drug offences, dangerous acts/ government offences.

maybe focus is on the important stuff, so less detections in the less frequent events.

still, be interested if any other definite impactful things happened around 2008.

Pat Mustard

The peak of the property market was in 2007, I think. The recession hit in 2008, iirc.

I've heard it said that in times of economic downturn, property offences become more common.

There were fewer vehicles on the road around that time, with less commercial activity and fewer people commuting to work due to unemployment. Therefore, one would assume that there were fewer road traffic offences.

Some of the worst effects of the recession may not have hit until 2009.

Bepolite

Crime has been steadily falling for many years both here and in the UK. There is an element of less guards = less detection but realistically society is getting safer contrary to popular belief.

Victor

Be careful. In saying there is less crime, are you saying 1 murder = 1 rape = 1 assault = 1 robbery = 1 larceny?

Ranjo wrote: »

Been looking through some crime data from CSO website.

Noticing that after 2008 crime stats across the board have been generally dropping.

Looking for some insight as to why that would be. Any significant programs, change of leadership, law changes, etc that would be making such an impact?

Less money = less booze and drugs. Less violence.

Less money = more emigration, especially of 17-25 years old males - those most likely to be involved in crime.

Again population = less 17-25 years old males.

Less money = less 17-25 years old males with booze and drugs.

Ranjo

Victor wrote: »

Be careful. In saying there is less crime, are you saying 1 murder = 1 rape = 1 assault = 1 robbery = 1 larceny?

I said "across the board" which means split out by the type of offence, all detection rates are dropping. Being careful.