Tuesday 28/5

longshotvalue

Redcar 4:10

Jedward is a difficult horse to get at the right time, but he has looked to be working up to something over his first 2 runs this year and it should pay to follow him for a few runs in the hopes that he bangs one in shortly of this mark. He does need a decent amount of luck in running but he’s worth the risk here at 14/1 with Paddy Power. That price seems a bit too big and id have him more of a 10/1 Shot. He has form on both good and soft ground so hopefully tomorrow is his day.


1 Point win 14/1 Paddy Power

longshotvalue

3:50 Newton Abbot

Takeroc, on the face of recent form shouldn’t really have much of a chance here, but as soon as I looked at the race he stuck in my mind. I’m somewhat hopeful that Tony McCoy can galvanise resurgence from him and if he can do anything at all he is well capable of winning this of his current mark. He’s worth a small risk at what looks a decent price of 12/1. He has a nice racing weight here and that could well help along with the obvious assistance.


1 Point win 12/1 Generally

the groutch

the only question about tomorrow is how far Twin Plan (8:00 Ballinrobe) wins by.
already won off 114 over hurdles LTO, so is still well ahead of the handicapper running off 100 over fences.

ste2010

aidankkk wrote: »

3:50 Newton Abbot

Takeroc, on the face of recent form shouldn’t really have much of a chance here, but as soon as I looked at the race he stuck in my mind. I’m somewhat hopeful that Tony McCoy can galvanise resurgence from him and if he can do anything at all he is well capable of winning this of his current mark. He’s worth a small risk at what looks a decent price of 12/1. He has a nice racing weight here and that could well help along with the obvious assistance.


1 Point win 12/1 Generally

This looks like a giant plot or not? I can't see 12's lasting very long. Backed myself. Surely a plot, 2 races ago they ran him over 3m when it's obvious the horse is not an out and out stayer.

mike65

aidankkk wrote: »

Redcar 4:10

Jedward is a difficult horse to get at the right time, but he has looked to be working up to something over his first 2 runs this year and it should pay to follow him for a few runs in the hopes that he bangs one in shortly of this mark. He does need a decent amount of luck in running but he’s worth the risk here at 14/1 with Paddy Power. That price seems a bit too big and id have him more of a 10/1 Shot. He has form on both good and soft ground so hopefully tomorrow is his day.


1 Point win 14/1 Paddy Power

15.00 12.00 9.00, it'll be evens by dawn!

rossom

aidankkk wrote: »

Redcar 4:10

Jedward is a difficult horse to get at the right time, but he has looked to be working up to something over his first 2 runs this year and it should pay to follow him for a few runs in the hopes that he bangs one in shortly of this mark. He does need a decent amount of luck in running but he’s worth the risk here at 14/1 with Paddy Power. That price seems a bit too big and id have him more of a 10/1 Shot. He has form on both good and soft ground so hopefully tomorrow is his day.


1 Point win 14/1 Paddy Power

Highly doubt she'll run on good to firm ground so I'd expect her to be pulled tomorrow morning.

SRFC

half sister to Frankel runs in the first race in Lingfield by Oasis Dream,Cecil's first runner of the season expect it to improve for its debut though might just watch it.

sting60

After getting very badly burnt in the bumper at Ballinrobe last night with the Roscommon horse Miss Mardan[cannot figure out how she was beaten,watch the race]today is to be quite.In the bumper John Lambe runs a well bred sort in Vinnies Son with Nina Carberry on board 6/1.

ste2010

sting60 wrote: »

After getting very badly burnt in the bumper at Ballinrobe last night with the Roscommon horse Miss Mardan[cannot figure out how she was beaten,watch the race]today is to be quite.In the bumper John Lambe runs a well bred sort in Vinnies Son with Nina Carberry on board 6/1.

Vinnie roes offspring flying at the moment.
Well done on Napoli / Benitez what was best price you got?

superfurry1

Greenaways eye 14-1 newton abbot, flora de medici 16-1 redcar both first races on card. Have seconditis at the moment:o looking to continue the run

sting60

ste2010 wrote: »

Vinnie roes offspring flying at the moment.
Well done on Napoli / Benitez what was best price you got?

4/6.Last night took that and a few wads more im afraid.

nevis7

the only question about tomorrow is how far Twin Plan (8:00 Ballinrobe) wins by.
already won off 114 over hurdles LTO, so is still well ahead of the handicapper running off 100 over fences.



to save you from doing in a packet tonight. a long time friend bill from east cork owns this mare and has her leased out to jimmy's syndicate. the mare was covered by winged love ten days ago and has missed a fair bit of training as a result. in the circumstances don't be surprised to see her finish out with the washing tonight. the plan of action is that her last run will be in a black type mares hurdle at the maze in I think 6 weeks, when she will be at the end of the timeframe when she is allowed to run in foal, and in theory the pregnancy hormones give her an advantage at that advanced stage, after that run she is retired and sent back to cork.

rossom

2.10 Redcar

Nelson's Pride 8/1

Kevin Ryan has clearly targeted this race having saddled winning newcomers in 2006, 2011 and 2012 and having got off the mark with a debutant winner at the weekend and with Nelson's Pride a likely type on paper I think this filly has a great chance in landing this race for the Ryan team for the 3rd successive year. This early February foal has a likely pedigree by Mount Nelson out of the Group placed (at 2) Bandanna and Nelson's Pride is a half sister to 4 useful horses. Her half siblings include Markazzi who reached a peak rating of 93, Art Sale who was rated 97 when retired as a 2 year old, Rowayton who made a winning debut at Redcar and Mandys Hero who was a decent enough dual 5f winner so there is a lot to like about this filly on paper. Additionally, this £22,000 purchase has a lot of decent entries including the Wetherby's Super Sprint, DBS Premier Yearling Stakes and 2 Year Old Trophy at Redcar and has obviously shown quite a bit at home so far. The trainer's daughter Amy takes the ride and Kevin Ryan getting off the board with his 2 year olds the other day I fully expect Nelson's Pride to know her job in a race that the yard have successfully targeted in the past. Of those with experience, current favourite Kirtling Belle sets an ok standard but I'd personally think that this will go to a newcomer and I have no reason to feel why that won't be Nelson's Pride. Her price tag of 8/1 is a lot bigger than I was expecting and hopefully she can do herself justice and win this for the yard for the 3rd consecutive season.

ste2010

nevis7 wrote: »

the only question about tomorrow is how far Twin Plan (8:00 Ballinrobe) wins by.
already won off 114 over hurdles LTO, so is still well ahead of the handicapper running off 100 over fences.



to save you from doing in a packet tonight. a long time friend bill from east cork owns this mare and has her leased out to jimmy's syndicate. the mare was covered by winged love ten days ago and has missed a fair bit of training as a result. in the circumstances don't be surprised to see her finish out with the washing tonight. the plan of action is that her last run will be in a black type mares hurdle at the maze in I think 6 weeks, when she will be at the end of the timeframe when she is allowed to run in foal, and in theory the pregnancy hormones give her an advantage at that advanced stage, after that run she is retired and sent back to cork.

This is good stuff. Keep us posted on this if you can. Can you tell us anything about the Lambe horse in the NHF sting pointed out?

ste2010

4.20 kayfrou Newton Abbot c and d winner Daryl Jacob on board at 14's

sting60

Just noticed N.A.4.50 Dune Shine 16/1-11/8,wow.

UrbanSea

Be sick if Takeroc wins have backed him twice in the last three runs

Edit first beat according to IR market, same with last time, looks a right mule atm

carpothepunk

aidankkk wrote: »

3:50 Newton Abbot

Takeroc, on the face of recent form shouldn’t really have much of a chance here, but as soon as I looked at the race he stuck in my mind. I’m somewhat hopeful that Tony McCoy can galvanise resurgence from him and if he can do anything at all he is well capable of winning this of his current mark. He’s worth a small risk at what looks a decent price of 12/1. He has a nice racing weight here and that could well help along with the obvious assistance.


1 Point win 12/1 Generally

He is certainly a plot job, just not today.

UrbanSea

carpothepunk wrote: »

He is certainly a plot job, just not today.

Not sure he's so much of a plot job rather than a horse who needs a break or just isn't putting in the effort atm

rossom

Great to see Ed Walker get a really nicely bred horse in the shape of 4.30 Leicester Veya 25/1. This son of Giant's Causeway is a half brother to a number of decent winners including Irish 2,000 Guineas winner Bachelor Duke and was picked up for €160,000 back in October. Has an early entry in next years Derby and will clearly need further than 6f in time and although he'll be doing well to win on debut in a sprint I've had a small bet on him today. Definitely a horse I expect to see run with promise.

razorhead

I have a bit of word for Super Cookie in the 5.35 Leicester. It was an each way play earlier but has shortened during the day.

rossom

You've got to think that race at Leicester is going to prove very, very useful. The Walker horse was shaping encouragingly before meeting interference and being eased right off.

UrbanSea

rossom wrote: »

You've got to think that race at Leicester is going to prove very, very useful. The Walker horse was shaping encouragingly before meeting interference and being eased right off.

Not sure it's going to prove that great, the first two could be decent but never like to see a big gap back to the rest if I'm looking at the rest of the field. Think the Newmarket maiden won by Fire Blaze could be one of the best we've seen


Just looked through that maiden, of the 17 runners four haven't run since. Of the remainder, forth, fifth, sixth, seventh, eighth, ninth, twelfth, thirteenth and fourteenth have all won

Goldcupfav

UrbanSea wrote: »

Not sure it's going to prove that great, the first two could be decent but never like to see a big gap back to the rest if I'm looking at the rest of the field. Think the Newmarket maiden won by Fire Blaze could be one of the best we've seen


Just looked through that maiden, of the 17 runners four haven't run since. Of the remainder, forth, fifth, sixth, seventh, eighth, ninth, twelfth, thirteenth and fourteenth have all won

Yeah agree with Urban here hate to see a big gap between the front two and the rest of the field. The two strongest maidens so far look to be the Newmarket races which Fire Blaze and Green Door won loads of winners coming out of them races.

Gringo180

Anyone see that last race at Ballinrobe the horse that finished 3rd was treading water about 2f out and was well beaten in the last furlong but yet the jockey still absolutely battered it with the whip on the run to the line :eek:

rossom

For any followers of Ismail Mohammed, he has Autumnus 13/2 run in the finale at Yarmouth. Yard planner Terry Norman has said he has more than enough ability to win this poor race but he's an absolute rogue and does what he likes when he likes. I've had a small bet in the hope he's in a good mood tonight!