Thursday 23rd May

rossom

2.35 Goodwood

Swift Bounty 5/1

I am very sweet on the chances of Alan Jarvis's Swift Bounty who has shown an awful lot of promise in his 4 runs to date and this 3 year old is very unlucky not to have won at least one of them. After making a highly encouraging debut at Haydock back in September when staying on to good effect over 6f he was definitely unlucky not to win on his 2nd start at Kempton a month later when going down by a nose in a race that has worked out really. Upped to 7f, Swift Bounty sat in behind the leaders before being switched very sharply by Mick Murphy with about 2f to go where he collided with another runner before pressing the winner Birdoliver all the way to the line where he was denied by the narrowest of margins. Given the deficit of defeat, had he not bumped his opponent I think he would have probably gotten up to win but it was a superb run in a defeat and an effort which strongly suggested that he would be better over further. The form of that race looks very strong with the winner subsequently beaten by narrow margins in Group 3s having been sold to the US whilst the 3rd Jodies Jem won his next 2 starts including in a handicap off a mark of 75 and he was last seen going down by a neck off a mark of 80 in January. Swift Bounty's final start as 2 year old came a month later over that same C+D when filling the runner up spot once again with another really good run. A reluctant leader and pulling quite hard for the first couple of furlongs, Swift Bounty sat in 3rd when the eventual winner took up the running and he was caught a little flat footed a couple of furlongs from home when Lilac Tree injected pace off a steadily run race in what proved a race winning move. It took Swift Bounty a while to get going but he was staying on really strongly late on as he eventually finished a 0.75L beaten 2nd. The form of that race isn't overly strong but Swift Bounty made an extremely eye catching handicap debut earlier this month off his current mark of 79 where he was definitely quite unlucky.

Sent off an unfancied 33/1 shot over a mile at Ascot under today's jockey Mick Murphy, Swift Bounty was held up at the rear of the main body of the field and was quite keen early on as the race wasn't run at that quick a pace. He made some pretty smooth progress before finding a wall of horses in front of him at the 2f pole and when he looked set to make his challenge he was again blocked off at a crucial stage which ended his chance. However, he looked full of running at the finish as he picked up 4th spot with a fair amount of ease late on as he finished 3L behind the winner. That winner King Of The Danes reopposes today but he was unchallenged and allowed to dictate things off the front end and was given an excellent ride Franny Norton and with a 6lb pull today I strongly believe Swift Bounty can turn around that form. Additionally, that rival doesn't look like he'll get his own way up front today which should ensure a decent gallop which Swift Bounty should appreciate a lot more than how the race panned out 13 days ago and he should relish the step up to 9f. I think the handicapper has been lenient to have left his mark of 79 unchanged and given that he was sent off such a big price that day I expect him to come on an awful lot for what was his first start in nearly 6 months. Trainer Alan Jarvis's stable is really starting to get going lately and I think Swift Bounty will come here in really good form. The excellent Mick Murphy takes the ride and an invaluable 5lb off and he really seems to ride Goodwood well with 6 wins from just 13 rides and Swift Bounty has a lovely draw in stall 2. If getting a decent pace to aim at, I think Swift Bounty is going to take a huge amount of beating in this contest and I think trainer Alan Jarvis could have a really good day tomorrow and I wouldn't put anyone off having a bet on any of his other runners.

sb78

rossom wrote: »

2.35 Goodwood

Swift Bounty 5/1

I am very sweet on the chances of Alan Jarvis's Swift Bounty who has shown an awful lot of promise in his 4 runs to date and this 3 year old is very unlucky not to have won at least one of them. After making a highly encouraging debut at Haydock back in September when staying on to good effect over 6f he was definitely unlucky not to win on his 2nd start at Kempton a month later when going down by a nose in a race that has worked out really. Upped to 7f, Swift Bounty sat in behind the leaders before being switched very sharply by Mick Murphy with about 2f to go where he collided with another runner before pressing the winner Birdoliver all the way to the line where he was denied by the narrowest of margins. Given the deficit of defeat, had he not bumped his opponent I think he would have probably gotten up to win but it was a superb run in a defeat and an effort which strongly suggested that he would be better over further. The form of that race looks very strong with the winner subsequently beaten by narrow margins in Group 3s having been sold to the US whilst the 3rd Jodies Jem won his next 2 starts including in a handicap off a mark of 75 and he was last seen going down by a neck off a mark of 80 in January. Swift Bounty's final start as 2 year old came a month later over that same C+D when filling the runner up spot once again with another really good run. A reluctant leader and pulling quite hard for the first couple of furlongs, Swift Bounty sat in 3rd when the eventual winner took up the running and he was caught a little flat footed a couple of furlongs from home when Lilac Tree injected pace off a steadily run race in what proved a race winning move. It took Swift Bounty a while to get going but he was staying on really strongly late on as he eventually finished a 0.75L beaten 2nd. The form of that race isn't overly strong but Swift Bounty made an extremely eye catching handicap debut earlier this month off his current mark of 79 where he was definitely quite unlucky.

Sent off an unfancied 33/1 shot over a mile at Ascot under today's jockey Mick Murphy, Swift Bounty was held up at the rear of the main body of the field and was quite keen early on as the race wasn't run at that quick a pace. He made some pretty smooth progress before finding a wall of horses in front of him at the 2f pole and when he looked set to make his challenge he was again blocked off at a crucial stage which ended his chance. However, he looked full of running at the finish as he picked up 4th spot with a fair amount of ease late on as he finished 3L behind the winner. That winner King Of The Danes reopposes today but he was unchallenged and allowed to dictate things off the front end and was given an excellent ride Franny Norton and with a 6lb pull today I strongly believe Swift Bounty can turn around that form. Additionally, that rival doesn't look like he'll get his own way up front today which should ensure a decent gallop which Swift Bounty should appreciate a lot more than how the race panned out 13 days ago and he should relish the step up to 9f. I think the handicapper has been lenient to have left his mark of 79 unchanged and given that he was sent off such a big price that day I expect him to come on an awful lot for what was his first start in nearly 6 months. Trainer Alan Jarvis's stable is really starting to get going lately and I think Swift Bounty will come here in really good form. The excellent Mick Murphy takes the ride and an invaluable 5lb off and he really seems to ride Goodwood well with 6 wins from just 13 rides and Swift Bounty has a lovely draw in stall 2. If getting a decent pace to aim at, I think Swift Bounty is going to take a huge amount of beating in this contest and I think trainer Alan Jarvis could have a really good day tomorrow and I wouldn't put anyone off having a bet on any of his other runners.

just noticed Hugh Taylor on ATR Website has posted your bet as well

sb78

this isn't going to make me a great pundit overnight but...
Treasure the Ridge surely has to break his duck tonight in the 18:25 maiden at Clonmel.
Very weak contest

superfurry1

Have gone for Ithimal 2.00 at Goodwood 7-1
And Zeshov 3.30 haydock. when they both lose will ye sign up for my exclusive tipping service, only one member so far

BQQ

rossom wrote: »

I think trainer Alan Jarvis could have a really good day tomorrow and I wouldn't put anyone off having a bet on any of his other runners.

Yeah, I fancy his Oetzi in the last.


Also, Key People in the 20:00 at Clonmel was 3rd to Seskinane last time out.
With Seskinane unlucky to be DQed when beating On his own and Twigline yesterday, 9/2 looks a very fair price.
Paul Townend rides again and he should improve on just his second hurdle start.

Overthelast

sb78 wrote: »

just noticed Hugh Taylor on ATR Website has posted your bet as well

Rossom has finally been unmasked. Reveal yourself Hugh

UrbanSea

Montaff the only bet of the day for me over at Goodwood at 11/1

Johner

Nice performance that by King Of The Danes.

Michael Owens horse made a nice debut at Haydock coming second.

Goldcupfav

A maiden from Newmarket that is working out really well is..

http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/results/05-05-2013/newmarket/result/558674/makfi-future-stars-maiden-stakes

The 2nd and the 7th place horse have come out and won since. Plus the 9th placed ran 2nd to a decent Hannon 2yo the other day.

Two horses that were 3rd and 4th in it run today. Nathr in the 3.30 at Haydock and Wind fire in the 6.00 at Sandown. Could be worth doing the double with them two horses today.

Gringo180

Going to go with the Willie Haggas filly in the 3.45 at Goodwood, same owners of Dancing Rain and if it wins impressively today she could be supplemented for The Oaks.

realgolfgeek

3.55 All that remains
5/1

hawkeyethenoo

LOST GLORY. 13/2 wetherby 4.30.

hawkeyethenoo

classic mccoy. ****ing beauty 7/1 yeeeehaw

ste2010

Pretty sure the last race at wetherby will be between pollystone and buxom but I'm going to side with pollystone and double it with Halifax in the race before

UrbanSea

UrbanSea wrote: »

Montaff the only bet of the day for me over at Goodwood at 11/1

Was only beaten 60 lengths

BQQ

UrbanSea wrote: »

Was only beaten 60 lengths

Breakheart was just 2nd at Haydock (14/1)
Was also 2nd two starts back.

In between these 2 runs, I backed it and tipped it on here.
It was 10th of 12. Breakheart indeed.:(

Oh. And I actually backed against it in today's race [last]

Johner

ste2010 wrote: »

Pretty sure the last race at wetherby will be between pollystone and buxom but I'm going to side with pollystone and double it with Halifax in the race before

Buxom for me.

BQQ

Luci di mezzanotte was a head 2nd to a well regarded Alan King horse lto
will do for me

jimjamcos

BQQ wrote: »

Luci di mezzanotte was a head 2nd to a well regarded Alan King horse lto
will do for me

Nice shout!

Goldcupfav

Goldcupfav wrote: »

A maiden from Newmarket that is working out really well is..

http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/results/05-05-2013/newmarket/result/558674/makfi-future-stars-maiden-stakes

The 2nd and the 7th place horse have come out and won since. Plus the 9th placed ran 2nd to a decent Hannon 2yo the other day.

Two horses that were 3rd and 4th in it run today. Nathr in the 3.30 at Haydock and Wind fire in the 6.00 at Sandown. Could be worth doing the double with them two horses today.

Looks like Nathr bumped into a decent Hannon horse in Bunker today. Wind Fire won easy enough. Got word for Roman Numeral in the 8.30 at Clonmel today. Race shouldnt take much winning around 7/1 worth an e/w bet.

ste2010

NAP of the month Theatrical queen in the last at clonmel...beast

Johner

Mutashaded looks a nice horse. Did that well.

MoscowFlyer

ste2010 wrote: »

NAP of the month Theatrical queen in the last at clonmel...beast

Wages are on it! 100/1!!